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Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland

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Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 6:27pm On Sep 15, 2008
Stock markets are crashing with the news that Lehmann Bros have finally gone over. Fear is the overriding emotion as one of America's old economic institutions goes into administration. Stock markets are crashing with a vengeance. Merrill Lynch has had to be taken over by Bank of America to avoid bankruptcy. If we were not in a recession before, we are surely in one now. The financial sector has not taken this many blows since the Great Depression of 1929.

Ordinarily, this would lead to a change of Government. How will the American electorate react to this? Will they let the frivolity of a potential woman VP override the need for change? How has Republican attitudes to the free market helped the economy? Has it promoted the lax culture of greed and fiscal irresponsibility? If the Democrats do not win this election, it will prove what I thought when Hillary and Obama were the front runners for the Democratic ticket - that by choosing two minority candidates, they have lost the bestest chance ever of taking over the White House. Rest assured, if they had put forward John Edwards or someone like that for election, they would have walked the election. Can the appointment of Sarah Palin stem the tide of anti-Republican sentiment? Have the Republicans pulled off the greatest escape of all time or does Obama still have a chance of stealing the nomination?
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 7:01pm On Sep 15, 2008
Cheya! Treasury Secretary Hanry Paulson has been holding question and answer session with journalists. I feel sorry for the guy. He looks completely shaken.


Here is a summary of some of the points he has made (My points in brackets):


The regulatory system is inefficient and defunct and needs to be updated. (Republicans always favour less regulation)

Market discipline is now non-negotiable and regulation must reflect that (This is what the Democrats have been saying for ages)


Question from Journalist: Did the Bush administration fall asleep at the switch?

Henry Paulson: I will not comment on that because we have a general election going on now. I will leave the election candidates to argue that over the next few weeks.



My comment: A golden egg just landed in Obama's lap. He needs to make political capital out of this.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by tpia: 7:03pm On Sep 15, 2008
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Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by TayoD1(m): 7:54pm On Sep 15, 2008
@Ibime,

My comment: A golden egg just landed in Obama's lap. He needs to make political capital out of this.
Are you serious? Obama will be wise to stay clear of this. Fanine mae and Freddie Mac have also gone belly up, and guess who is the second biggest recipient of their politically motivated contributions? You got it right - Obama. While he claims he is against lobbying, he has received so much from them in his short stint as a Senator. Check out the figures here: http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2008/09/update-fannie-mae-and-freddie.html
http://www.uncorrelated.com/2008/09/barack_obama_dfannie_mae.html
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 8:09pm On Sep 15, 2008
Nah. . . .the debate is about regulatory policy, not about blahdeblah. . . .why are Republicans always quick to advise Obama not to pursue a certain strategy. . . . are they scared or what?. . . . suddenly Frannie and Freddie are the cause of all economic problems just because Obama took money from them. . . . we can look into McCains campaign contributions and cancel out that debate completely. . . . the issue here is that Obama should argue that the Republicans laissez faire attitude to regulation led to the problems we are seeing now. . . . and it is up to him to convince the American public of such. . . . McCain fully subscribes to all of George Bush's economic policies. . . . so he has to make the argument that the same policies which caused these meltdowns will be carried on under McCain. . . . like Bill Clinton said, it's the economy stupid!
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by TayoD1(m): 8:21pm On Sep 15, 2008
@Ibime,

Nah. . . .the debate is about regulatory policy, not about blahdeblah. . . .why are Republicans always quick to advise Obama not to pursue a certain strategy. . . . are they scared or what?
First I am not a Republican. Second, you can have your guy make this a big campaign issue. Like Gullianin said, you can't substitute a record for rhetoric. Obama's record of being a bed-fellow with F & F will forever overshadow his rhetoric.

. . . . suddenly Frannie and Freddie are the cause of all economic problems just because Obama took money from them. . . . we can look into McCains campaign contributions and cancel out that debate completely. .
The housing bubble and slow down is the biggest problem facing the US economy today. What is Obama's record in this area? Not only does he receive lobbying funds but he obtained favorable loans from Countrywide. he is neck deep in the problem. Like I said, he won't be doing himself a whole lot of favor making this a campaign issue.

. . the issue here is that Obama should argue that the Republicans laissez faire attitude to regulation led to the problems we are seeing now. . . . and it is up to him to convince the American public of such. . . . McCain fully subscribes to all of George Bush's economic policies. . . . so he has to make the argument that the same policies which caused these meltdowns will be carried on under McCain. . . . like Bill Clinton said, it's the economy stupid!
McCain on the other hand should insist not on more Govt control, but on holding people responsible for the failure. From those who took advantage of their political posts to obtain questionable financing (like Obama), to the Congress that continually takes money from these guys so as to bail them out at such times as this.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 8:39pm On Sep 15, 2008
Campaign financing has nothing to do with policy. . . . both Republicans and Democrats collect contributions from all the major financials. . . . McCains campaign manager is a lobbyist for Frannie and Freddie so I don't know what you are talking about. . . . Lehmann Brothers also contributed to both campaigns. . . . it is normal for banks to hedge their bets by contributing to both candidates campaigns. . . .the question is, whose fiscal policy represents these special interests?. . . .McCains policies favour less regulation and lower taxes for them whilst Obama's policies favours more regulation and higher taxes for them. . . . . so whose policy is like George Bush's. . . . infact, McCains economic policies are an almost exact replica of Bush's policies.


You can read about lobbyists and contibutions to both the McCain and Obama camps here:

http://www.commondreams.org/archive/2008/07/16/10392/
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by NegroNtns(m): 8:42pm On Sep 15, 2008
WORD OF ADVISE ::

IF you have 401k in a money money market account or if you are participating in a company vested account with matching funds, get with your account manager and review your standing balance.  Obtain a performance sheet going back three years and see what you are worth today.  If you can, invest it in FOREX or FEATURES, even GOLD.  

Take your money away from market speculation and put it in tangibles right away.  
Another you could do, use the money to purchase high valued art or works of craftmanship, heirlooms and stuffs like that that you could reconvert later on for profit  when the economy recovers.  I am not your financial adviser, this is just a friendly heads up.  Consult your financial adviser for tax liabilities.  It is 10% on Federal on 401k and then a 20% penalty for early withdrawal, depending on the way you had it secured and also, how you get it out.

You can also convert it to educational fund for your children.  Get hold of your life savings and act right now, Trust me!!!
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by TayoD1(m): 9:17pm On Sep 15, 2008
@Ibime,

Campaign financing has nothing to do with policy. .
You serious? You put your money only where you expect to get some returns!

. . both Republicans and Democrats collect contributions from all the major financials. .
True

. . McCains campaign manager is a lobbyist for Frannie and Freddie so I don't know what you are talking about. .
Lobbying is legal and a necessary evil caused by too much govt regulations. The more regulations we have, the more lobbyists we will see, unless of course it becomes illegal. McCain has no problems with lobbyists but Obama who has is seen getting more money than every other person except 1.

. . Lehmann Brothers also contributed to both campaigns. . . . it is normal for banks to hedge their bets by contributing to both candidates campaigns. . . .
Like I said, I have no problems with lobbying, and they do so to both campaigns, but compare their contributions of
$126,000 to Obama (in 2 years) and just $16,000 to McCain in a space of 10 years. Something is wrong somewhere.

the question is, whose fiscal policy represents these special interests?. . . .
Of course it is the Democrats. They are certain that a bail-out will come despite their irresponsible lending practices.

McCains policies favour less regulation and lower taxes for them whilst Obama's policies favours more regulation and higher taxes for them. . . . . so whose policy is like George Bush's. . . . infact, McCains economic policies are an almost exact replica of Bush's policies.
There is nothing wrong with the policy. What is wrong is the fact that they have been under too much regulation and under control of an arm of govt. More govt control and regulations ensured they had to play "fair" by making sure they give loans to minorities who otherwise would not have qualified for a loan. The sub-prime mortgage problem is a creation of not just the govt, but the private sector greed. And their boldness is underscored by the confidence of a govt bail-out.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 12:41am On Sep 16, 2008
Tayo-D:

Lobbying is legal and a necessary evil caused by too much govt regulations. The more regulations we have, the more lobbyists we will see, unless of course it becomes illegal. McCain has no problems with lobbyists but Obama who has is seen getting more money than every other person except 1.

Was it not McCain who refused to take the route of state-funding? Until voters realise that the Government should be responsible for sponsoring election campaigns, we will never see the end of special interest lobbying. On top of that, Obama ran the most effective fundraising campaign by receiving donations from millions of private individuals. This is more democratic and better reflects the will of the people.

Tayo-D:

Like I said, I have no problems with lobbying, and they do so to both campaigns, but compare their contributions of $126,000 to Obama (in 2 years) and just $16,000 to McCain in a space of 10 years.

It is called hedging their bets. They obviously thought McCain had little chance of winning. However, they still put some money on him to hedge their risk.

Tayo-D:

Of course it is the Democrats. They are certain that a bail-out will come despite their irresponsible lending practices,

What irresponsible lending are you talking about? Has George Bush not been in office for the last 8 years?

Tayo-D:

There is nothing wrong with the policy. What is wrong is the fact that they have been under too much regulation and under control of an arm of govt. More govt control and regulations ensured they had to play "fair" by making sure they give loans to minorities who otherwise would not have qualified for a loan. The sub-prime mortgage problem is a creation of not just the govt, but the private sector greed. And their boldness is underscored by the confidence of a govt bail-out.

What nonsense! Where did you read that? In some Republican website? Blame it on the minorities ehn? Rednecks in the bible belt defaulted on their loans more than minorities. There is no Govt regulation that forces anyone to lend to minorities. If your credit stinks, then no one cares about the colour of your skin.


Now you seem to have a problem with this concept of regulation. The problem of the subprime crisis is simply caused by cowboys who have not been regulated properly. Little loan companies packaging up bad debt without properly checking the credit worthiness of the underlying and selling it on to banks. The problem is further compounded by derivative divisions short selling such debt and banks taking derivatives on top of derivatives and so on and so forth. Everybody took out derivatives on these debts to the point that the market was driven by speculation on futures. It was like a game of hot potato. At the moment the penny dropped, Lehmann Bros, Merril Lynch and such were left holding the potato. Even if 1 million home owners default on their mortgages, it is nowhere near enough to bring the financial system down. The financial system was brought down by complex financial instruments which were not properly regulated by Government. On top of that, these Hedge Funds then proceeded to engage in negative carpet bagging, spreading rumours about companies and calling back their loans to these companies so that their share price could drop and they could make money by short selling these shares. Hedge funds and carpet baggers constitute the greatest moral hazard to the financial sector, sucking confidence out of the markets and injecting fear. If not for moral hazard, Lehmann brothers and co would have survived - but they couldn't raise enough capital to weather the storm because no one would invest in them. On top of that, banks were allowed to hide their losses in their income statements which led to the loss of trust and moral hazard. Up till now, at least $400 billion of subprime losses are still unaccounted for and are still hiding in the cooked up balance sheets of these banks. Until this money is accounted for, the market will not recover. The greatest mistake the Reagan Government ever made was deregulating just when the world was entering into the computer era and needed more effective regulation.

Just like in in 1929, the proponents of Laissez Faire econonomics and deregulation have shown that they are incapable of self-regulation. Greed, Corruption and Ponzi schemes are the ultimate endgame of right-wing Conservatism.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 2:02am On Sep 16, 2008
Here is some copy and paste for you:


Their Brand is Collapse
Posted by Joe Klein


John McCain is up with an ad touting his "experience" to deal with the financial crisis. But no specific experience is cited--which is attributable to the fact that McCain has been a happily orthodox Republican when it comes to financial regulation these past 26 years. He's against it. He's against Washington telling you how to run your business. The unseen hand of the market and all that,

This has been the long-standing Republican bait and switch--scaring small businesses with the threat of new regulations if the Democrats win, commiserating with larger businesses about the evils of environmental and plant safety rules, while lifting as many regulations as possible governing the financial titans whose credit should be at the heart of new economic development. But that hasn't been happening: the financial titans have been going for the quick buck rather than the sound one. Money and creativity have been redirected during the Reagan-Bush era away from substantive loans to real businesses into a Ponzi scheme of borrowing by investment bankers, so they could engage in the most irresponsible, if lucrative (for them) speculative lending imaginable, In this sense, the mortgage crisis was a perfect metaphor for Republican financial governance: Investment banks like Lehman--R.I.P.--took loans to invest money in, bad loans. In this case, the loans were bad mortgages. This is called throwing good money after bad.

Actually, John McCain has excellent experience--a ringside seat--in the vagaries of this experiment in greed and anarchy. He was a member of the Keating Five. This was the signature scandal of the Savings and Loan crisis, twenty years ago. It concerned the insider help that five Senators gave Charles Keating and his Lincoln Savings and Loan, in return for contributions and gifts. The deregulation of S&Ls--community banks dedicated to local mortgages (like George Bailey's bank in "It's A Wonderful Life"wink--enabled slick operators like Keating to make reckless loans in new areas where they had no expertise. The final tab to the taxpayers was $165 billion.

McCain wasn't the worst offender in the scandal. He was included in the Five to make it bipartisan (the other four were Democrats). But he knew Keating, partied with him, made inquiries on his behalf. He once told me that his role in the scandal was harder on him, in some ways, than being a prisoner of war "Because my honor was called into question."

After an experience like that, you might think Senator Honorable would have devoted himself to preventing other such crises--to making sure the Big Wall Street Casino was operating according to rules that wouldn't screw the small investors and, more to the point, the taxpayers. But he walked the anti-regulatory party line, with only occasional exceptions, and tried to lay down a smokescreen of righteousness by campaigning against small potato[e!]s like legislative earmarks--money to study the mating habits of, uh, crabs, in, uh, Alaska (proposed by Governor Honorable).

What we are seeing on Wall Street today is the result of an ideology gone amok. There was call to loosen and change the antiquated regulations governing investment back in 1980. But the Republican era has seen that loosening go to the point of near-cataclysm. Banks are failing, markets dropping. We are in the midst of a slow-motion economic crash. What happens next is an economic contraction: loans aren't available, so businesses can't expand. A crash comes at the beginning of a period of economic trouble.

John McCain, after his political near-death experience, could have made the responsible regulation of markets one of his great causes. He didn't. And today he said, once again, "The fundamentals of our economy are strong." I hope he's right, but it's entirely possible that he knows as much about our economy as Sarah Palin knows about The Bush Doctrine.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 2:53am On Sep 16, 2008
hmmmmmm. . . . my political anlysis was spot on. . . . last week I said the impending collapse of Lehmann brothers was going to shift the goalposts in the political debate. . . . today, I said regulation would become the hot topic on the campaign trail. . . . and guess what. . . . it is!. . . .Tayo-D tried to cloud the argument by talking about campaign donations which has nothing to do with it and is completely off the radar. . . . . it seems McCain and Palin have been reading this thread. . . . this is what they've had to say in the past few hours. . . .


McCain: We need more regulation

Last week, he was against regulation


Palin: We need more regulation. The White House fell asleep at the switch.

Ibime:

Question from Journalist: Did the Bush administration fall asleep at the switch?

Come on - is this plagiarism or what? This bitch doesn't know what she is talking about. She watched Henry Paulsons press conference and stole the journalists words. Last week, she was against regulation. Poto-poto Journalism degree doesn't qualify you to hold an opinion on economic matters, I'm afraid!

If I was Obama, I would go and find an old video of McCain declaring his anti-regulation views and air it on live TV.

Now, the same John McCain said he knows nothing about economics and would read Alan Greenspans book to find out. Guess what? It is Alan Greenspans policies of deregulation which are being blamed for the slump.


The Republicans are trying to turn regulation into THEIR agenda. They cannot be allowed to get away with it. Unfortunately, wind has already blown and fowl nyash is already open.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by NegroNtns(m): 3:29am On Sep 16, 2008
If I was Obama, I would go and find an old video of McCain declaring his anti-regulation views and air it on live TV.

What makes you think he doesn't already have it? The question is not what he has but the negative impact rebounding back to hit his own camp.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by TayoD1(m): 1:33pm On Sep 16, 2008
@Ibime,

Come on - is this plagiarism or what? This bitch doesn't know what she is talking about. She watched Henry Paulsons press conference and stole the journalists words. Last week, she was against regulation. Poto-poto Journalism degree doesn't qualify you to hold an opinion on economic matters, I'm afraid!
Why do you have to call her that? You make debates about issues more difficult when you embark on character assassinations.


hmmmmmm. . . . my political anlysis was spot on. . . . last week I said the impending collapse of Lehmann brothers was going to shift the goalposts in the political debate. . . . today, I said regulation would become the hot topic on the campaign trail. . . . and guess what. . . . it is!. . . .Tayo-D tried to cloud the argument by talking about campaign donations which has nothing to do with it and is completely off the radar. . . . . it seems McCain and Palin have been reading this thread. . . . this is what they've had to say in the past few hours. . . .
That's one of the problems have had with the Republicans so far. They have been moving more and more to the center, while the Democrats are moving more and more to the Left. And by the way, they have been talking about regulation before you opened this thread, so take it easy on your ego a little bit.

Like I said before, the main cause of the belly-up is the greed of the financial institutions as well as the borrowers. I'll explain. Despite all the complex financial instruments, there wouldn't have been a problem if the borrowers have the resources to pay and are paying up. The problems only came to light due to default on the loans. I personal do not blame the govt for the problems. I know I have 2 of those kind of loans on my investment properties and they are absolutely killing me. I do not blame the govt but myself for signing those documents. I believe in individual and corporate responsibility, and I consider myself to blame and to an extent, the Mortgage companies for ignoring financial common sense and giving me those loans worth about $400,000.00.

Now concerning regulation, the question is: where does it end? And if I may add, the Banks are now using the same sense they should have had before to offer loans today - under existing regulations. Even though the regulation is the same for now, their practices have changed. So the problem is not the regulations or lack of it, but corporate and managerial irresponsibilities. That is why I said before that McCain needs to hype this a lot. We can't give people a get-out-of-jail-free card for their fiscal irreponsibilites. Where are the probes right now? Where are the special tribunals? Why isn't anyone in jail?

I have a feeling all the legislators have their hands mired in this mess, and that is one reason why govt intervention is bing called for without asking and prosecuting who is responsible.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 10:06am On Sep 18, 2008
Tayo-D:

Like I said before, the main cause of the belly-up is the greed of the financial institutions as well as the borrowers. I'll explain. Despite all the complex financial instruments, there wouldn't have been a problem if the borrowers have the resources to pay and are paying up. The problems only came to light due to default on the loans. I personal do not blame the govt for the problems. I know I have 2 of those kind of loans on my investment properties and they are absolutely killing me. I do not blame the govt but myself for signing those documents. I believe in individual and corporate responsibility, and I consider myself to blame and to an extent, the Mortgage companies for ignoring financial common sense and giving me those loans worth about $400,000.00.

Now concerning regulation, the question is: where does it end? And if I may add, the Banks are now using the same sense they should have had before to offer loans today - under existing regulations. Even though the regulation is the same for now, their practices have changed. So the problem is not the regulations or lack of it, but corporate and managerial irresponsibilities. That is why I said before that McCain needs to hype this a lot. We can't give people a get-out-of-jail-free card for their fiscal irreponsibilites. Where are the probes right now? Where are the special tribunals? Why isn't anyone in jail?

Bad loans alone cannot bring down so many institutions. The regulation needed now involves the regulation of financial instruments. McCain can, will and is taking the blame for supporting deregulation as witnessed in the current news reports.

Short selling is the trojan horse which will kill the West. The worst is yet to come. This is the pivotal point at which everybody moves their money East. George Soros and the like have already done that and sure enough the market will follow. I fear for my future and the future of everyone in the finance sector over the next 10 years. Agriculture and Engineering are back in, whilst finance is out - just like the 60's and 70's.

Republicans should be ashamed of themselves for promoting the Laissez Faire economics that led us to this stage. People with no solid grasp of economics such as McCain keep trumping their Republican economic arguments and simple minded people follow. The Republican argument of the citizens adding to the economy by promoting innovation and competition through less regulation and cutting of taxes holds shallow especially in a globalised world where companies do not represent their countries of origin but themselves alone. How can such companies work toward National goals? State-directed economies are taking over. Compare that with the success of Nationalistic economies like China, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea and Japan who are efficient and achieve optimal social utility. I think we have reached a pivotal point in Western Economic domination. Nationalism or National Socialism is the new capitalism.

As I said before, I will say again:

Ibime:

Just like in in 1929, the proponents of Laissez Faire econonomics and deregulation have shown that they are incapable of self-regulation. Greed, Corruption and Ponzi schemes are the ultimate endgame of right-wing Conservatism.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by TayoD1(m): 6:07pm On Sep 18, 2008
@Ibime,

Bad loans alone cannot bring down so many institutions. The regulation needed now involves the regulation of financial instruments. McCain can, will and is taking the blame for supporting deregulation as witnessed in the current news reports.
Here's an article I read on CNN today. It explains in very simple terms, how the bad loans are the biggest problems. Like I said earlier, if everyone was paying up, we won't have this problem. So default on the loans is the principal cause of the mess - http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/17/beck.wallstreet/index.html

Now concerning regulation, I have no problems with regulation to the extent that it is reasonable. As I have mentioned earlier, where does regulation end? The truth is that everything is regulated by the govt, ortherwise there will be no cases in our courts for apparent disregard for laws.

I have a problem with the fact that 3 and still counting of the bigest financial insitutions in this country are now under govt oversight. That is a huge step in the direction of socialism. Governmetnshouldn't be running anything. Laws/regulations must be put in place and implemented to the letter, but tthe govt shouldn't have any administrative power over the corporations.

The govt only messes things up and not make them better (social security and medicaid comes to mind). Why do we prefer private schools and clinics to the public? Why are FEDEX and UPS prefered to USPS? Corporations in the hands of the private sector fairs better than in the hands of the govt.

I disagree that this is a problem for McCain. Rather, he has shown leadership and forsight in this regard. he forewaned of this problem and co-sponsored a bill for oversight over F&F in 2006. But of course, Congress did not let it pass due to its political fallout. Congress had their hands too dirty in it - or should I say their hands were too green in it (Obama's $100,000 in 3 years readily comes to mind). http://www.govtrack.us/congress/record.xpd?id=109-s20060525-16.

Just as an addendum, here's some information from wikipedia about Franklin Raines that McCain mentioned in his address: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franklin_Raines
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 8:25pm On Sep 18, 2008
Firstly, your article just scratches the surface. You need an indepth knowledge of these things to understand the cause, effect and propagation. Bad loans alone could never bring down the system. Consider the domino effect of the structured products built on top of these bad loans. They are like a pack of cards. The bottom goes and everything comes crumbling. However, if there were no structured products on top of the bad loans, the banks would have survived. They simply used good money to chase bad money.

We can play the game of links all day. I can show you several hundred links explaining the role of strutured OTC's in the subprime collapse. No doubt the foreclosures caused problems but not enough to affect the market to the extent that we see. Just take my word for it, I know what I am talking about.


Tayo-D:

I have a problem with the fact that 3 and still counting of the bigest financial insitutions in this country are now under govt oversight. That is a huge step in the direction of socialism. Government shouldn't be running anything.

Someone called it "socialism for the rich". It is the ultimate end game of neo-conservative thinking. If they had allowed proper Government oversight in the first place, they wouldn't be in this position. Government shouldn't run any business but the economy should be state-directed to fulfill the nations goals like they do in China and not left to the Laissez Faire forces of the market who are more interested in speculation than building a sound economy from basic business practice. The Republican argument is the argument of the 70's and 80's not the argument of the 2000's. All tax breaks for these corporations simply go toward more investment in Ponzi schemes and do not help the economy in any way.

I would like to see a more sensible approaching from Obama and McCain. I would like to see them propose tax cuts according to the sector of the economy that needs it most, not according to tax brackets. For example, if you want to encourage more agriculture, propose tax cuts for the agriculture sector. . . . .and so on and so forth.


Tayo-D:

I disagree that this is a problem for McCain. Rather, he has shown leadership and forsight in this regard. he forewaned of this problem and co-sponsored a bill for oversight over F&F in 2006. But of course, Congress did not let it pass due to its political fallout.


He neither foresaw nor foretold any nonsense. The man was anti-regulation till last week. He even voted for deregulation in 2000 so I don't know WTF you are talking about. McCain has absolutely no right to claim regulation as his thing. Absolute rubbish!

Talking about Frannie and Freddie shows that McCain is a economic lightweight who barely understands economic matters. What is the point of asking for more oversight of Frannie and Freddie when you have already voted aginst tighter regulation on several prior occasions? By chance, he happened to fall on the right side of the divide on F&F but that does not mean he is a regulator. This coming from a man who has described himself in the past as a'deregulator'. This is what gets me - why does someone who says he knows nothing about economics always take stands on something he knows nothing about? In Nigeria, we call this Aproko noser.

To show how quickly he switched position and tried to claim a populist stance, he said yesterday that AIG should not be bailed out, then changed his tune today. He was playing to a populist tune yesterday and playing to a common-sense tune today. The man has absolutely no knowledge of economics as he has said several times in the past. Obama on the other hand took the default position of saying he does not know enough about the AIG balance sheets to decide - which is perfectly correct seeing how it is impossible to decide overnight without doing proper analysis - unlike McCain who hears the basic gist and puts his mouth in it. This is a Republican tendency. They learn simple rhetoric and cling to it as perfect truth without any investigation. The same basic gist that people like 4Play have been spewing here for ages - less tax for the rich, less regulation, let the market take care of itself because regulation is stifling productivity etc. Maybe this argument was valid in the 70's and 80's but not in the 2000's. The complex mathematics involved in such structured products need strong regulation. I should know because I have studied derivatives intensely.


Here is McCain talking shit about regulation in 1995:

http://www.businesssheet.com/2008/9/obama-more-regulation-mccain-okay-maybe



His hypocrisy is being exposed everywhere:


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/16/AR2008091603732_pf.html

http://tpzoo./2008/09/18/john-mccain-deregulation-hawk-criminal/

http://www.nowpublic.com/world/mccains-good-buddy-gramm-architect-deregulation-wall-street-0


I can go on and on but let me just stop there.


In 2006 Obama sponsored a bill for more regulation and full disclosure from Wall Street. McCain voted against it. I cannot remember the specifics but I heard it on CNN this morning.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by TayoD1(m): 9:13pm On Sep 18, 2008
@Ibime,

Firstly, your article just scratches the surface. You need an indepth knowledge of these things to know what is happening. Bad loans alone could never bring down the system. Consider the domino effect of the structured products built on top of these bad loans. They are like a pack of cards. The bottom goes and everything comes crumbling. However, if there were no structured products on top of the bad loans, the banks would have survived. They simply used good money to chase bad money.
Looks like we are now saying the same thing even though weith different conclusions. No doubt there were complex deals relying on the bad loans, but I maintain the position that the institutions would not have crumbled if those loans were honored, and those loans would have been honored if they were not given to high risk borrowers in the first place. And guess who encouraged the socially correct attitude of giving the loans to them?

Let me use something I'm very familiar with to illustrate my point. As a structural engineer, you know that if you want to build a 100 story building, you need a bigger column at the ground floor than you will need if you were building a 2 story. Assuming that someone now goes ahead and continue to develop on my 2-story building regardless of the structural integrity of the pillars, a collapse will be inevitable. So the problem is not the superstructure, but the foundation. In order words, this is a judgement problem (not regulation) on the part of those who should know better - the CEOs.

That is why I said someone needs to be held accountable. These CEOs, aware of what they were doing wrong, bought the consciences of the Congress men that should oversee their activities. Do you think it is mere coincidence that the biggest recipient of the largese from F&F in the Senate is Senator Chris Dodd who happens to be the Chairaman of the Senate Banking Committe? This is the guy who should oversee their activities but has been made a lame duck through lobbying and outright bribery. And as I noted before, the second biggest recipient of money from them is Obama, and one of his economic advisers is the same former CEO of Fanie Mae.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 9:50pm On Sep 18, 2008
Tayo-D:

but I maintain the position that the institutions would not have crumbled if those loans were honored, and those loans would have been honored if they were not given to high risk borrowers in the first place. And guess who encouraged the socially correct attitude of giving the loans to them?

So the problem is not the superstructure, but the foundation. In order words, this is a judgement problem (not regulation) on the part of those who should know better - the CEOs.

Tayo, you really need to stop reading these Republican manuals. I cannot believe that you are linking the subprime crisis to legislation that Jimmy Carter passed in 1977. Grow up, will ya! If Jimmy Carters legislation was that dangerous, we would have seen the effects in the 1980's not in 2007. A smart Republican would link Carters legislations to the Housing collapse of 1992. . . . but that leaves you no leg to stand on because we did not have these unregulated OTC's and short sellers flying around with much frequency in 1992 and we did not see the kind of aftereffect we are seeing now. Therefore your argument is invalid. You are simply trying to pass the buck. Let me leave you with a subtext of John McCains quote from yesterday: "They were doing complex mathematical instruments. They didn't even understand what they were doing." Goddamn it! Even John McCain admitted what the problem was. Why don't you?


Tayo-D:

And as I noted before, the second biggest recipient of money from them is Obama, and one of his economic advisers is the same former CEO of Fanie Mae.

Why bring it back to Obama. . . . do you have any evidence that Obama voted against stricter lending procedures or is this just supposition. . . . Damn it, Obama has only been in senate for 3 years. . . . pull out his voting record on lending regulation please before talking bla bla bla. . . . I advise you Republicans to drop this argument about who is sponsoring who because we all know who attends John McCains "staff meetings"  grin grin. . . . stop trying to cloud the argument. John McCains hypocrisy on regulation has been exposed and you have no riposte to it except to pull straws over our face about campaign funding.
Re: Lehman Bros bust! Merrill Lynch taken over. What now for the Elections? by Ibime(m): 10:53pm On Sep 18, 2008
Tayo, you see. . . . markets rallied 400+ points today on news that SEC was changing laws regarding short selling. . . . how does this fit in with your "bad loans only" theory?

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