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Who Will Win COPA America - See Scientific Simulation (photo) by isobadt: 1:07pm On Jun 02, 2016 |
Copa America Simulation: Argentina projected to win, USA won't advance Copa America Centenario is set to start on Friday night as the US national team will face Colombia at Levi's Stadium (9:30 pm ET, FS1). What we don't know is who will be there at the end of the tournament on June 26 at MetLife Stadium. But thanks to a model, we can try and predict who will be there and who are favorites to get out of their group. The following projections are found by simulating the entire tournament 100,000 times. Individual games are simulated using a statistical model that estimates how the two teams would be expected to fare against one another based on their respective FIFA rankings. The model was also built using results from past Copa America and Gold Cup. Argentina is the favorite Argentina is the favorite via this model, with a 38.53 percent chance of lifting the trophy. This is unsurprising, as Lionel Messi’s side is currently ranked No. 1 in the world. The model gives the USMNT a 1.10 percent chance of winning the tournament, while Bolivia and Haiti are the biggest underdogs, each with a mere 0.20 percent chance of being crowned champion. United States not projected to advance Klinsmann and the US are in a tough group and have a 37.69 percent chance of advancing to the knockout rounds – this breaks down to a 9.03 percent chance of winning Group A and a 28.67 percent chance of finishing second in the group. USA has a 14.25 percent chance of advancing to the semifinals and a 3.79 percent chance of advancing to the final in East Rutherford. Chances of reaching the quarterfinals: GROUP A 91.71% - Colombia 44.21% - Costa Rica 37.69% - United States 26.39% - Paraguay GROUP B 86.98% - Brazil 76.14% - Ecuador 22.79% - Peru 14.08% - Haiti GROUP C 86.25% - Uruguay 73.69% - Mexico 23.28% - Jamaica 16.79% - Venezuela GROUP D 93.54% - Argentina 84.35% - Chile 13.12% - Panama 9.00% - Bolivia Chances of winning Copa America Centenario: 38.53% - Argentina 20.60% - Chile 12.98% - Colombia 8.55% - Brazil 6.58% - Uruguay 4.45% - Ecuador 3.31% - Mexico 1.35% - Costa Rica 1.10% - United States 0.65% - Paraguay 0.43% - Jamaica 0.40% - Peru 0.40% - Panama 0.28% - Venezuela 0.21% - Bolivia 0.20% - Haiti You can only watch the 2016 COPA America in Africa and Nigeria on StarTimes You can find out how to get connected here - http://www.startimes.com.ng/copa/ You can also download the free app on StarTimes to watch all the matches LIVE and FREE here https://bnc.lt/FB-Copa-Poster
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