1[b]. Advantage Cercie:[/b] Like I predicted last week, the war is closer than we all think. Dany will not "crush" cercie like we were all predicting, instead it will be a very close one. I highlighted the need for a real battle commander in Dany's camp and the stupidity of Yara, Elaria and the sand snakes just makes this even more obvious.They were no match for Euron and the Iron fleet and they were defeated with relative ease. Now all Dany has are foreign soldiers as Jamie is trying to rally the reach to his side through Randyl Tally. People who have read the books know that Randyl Tally (Sam's father) is no push over and another very strong commander with lots of experience. He was actually the only one who won a battle against King Robert during Robert's rebellion. Add to that the Dragon killing thing created by Cercie's hand, and Dany should be really afraid. She needs a Jon snow in her camp.
2. A distracted Jon snow: Talking about Jon snow, Will he support Dany in the war for the Iron throne or is he more concerned about the threat from beyond the wall? Like Sansa stated, the north is part of the Kingdom Dany is fighting for and Jon snow will never cede the north to her. And this means he will never join her in her fight against the iron throne. Even if she agrees to give the north independence, will Jon snow sacrifice more men in a war that he sees as irrelevant? KingRob pointed out last week that Jon would join forces with Dany to take the iron throne but westerous is running out of soldiers as it is and I do not see him taking part in that war.
3. Hope for Dany: Funny enough, the only hope Dany has for an experienced battle commander is at the Citadel currently covered in greyscale. The only hope they have is Sam's ability to work a miracle. And talking about Sam, will this give him more respect and attention at that God awful place because he really needs it. If Sam can successfully cure Jorah Mormont, this will give him more respect and attention which means the Citadel will take the threat of the white walkers seriously and this would also mean Dany would have to depend on a man she banished twice to take the iron throne. A lot depends on that fat man.
4. Varys to outlive Littlefinger: I placed a bet with a friend of mine back in season 1 on who would die first, Varys or Littlefinger. I placed my bet on the Eunuch because I felt he had no personal ambitions unlike Littlefinger who has eyes on the iron throne. Ambitious men are more prone to danger and It looks like the end is coming near for the former master of coin. His weakness was once Catlyn stark and this made him engage in a stupid duel for her hand in marriage that almost got him killed. This was something the normal Littlefinger will never do as he is usually more calculating. Now he has a new weakness in Catlyn's daughter Sansa. Telling Jon snow that he loves Sansa was a very stupid move not expected from him. The guy is starting to make mistakes and lose focus due to his love for Sansa who is obviously now smatter than she was before and this would be his end. Varys on the other hand is among friends. Looks like I am winning this particular one.
5. The humanity in Arya: The Arya the went to Bravos is obviously not the same one that came back. This one is cold and only motivated by revenge but it looks like that humanity is coming back to her. Last week she sat with lannister soldiers (and Ed Sheeran) realizing that not all Lannisters are evil. Today her reaction in seeing her long lost friend simply showed the girl from winterfell had very little love left in her. But it took news of her family retaking Winterfell for her to get back to the Arya of old. Don't get me wrong, she is still a cold hearted killer, but at least there is still a little humanity left in her. Also seeing her long lost wolf would also help and now she will be eager to get back to winterfell to be with family. But there is bad news. She will definitely run into three people still on her list. The Hound, Thoros of myr and Lord Beric Dondarion. Eager to see how that pans out.