After carefully observing recent goings on in the polity, I cant help but deduce some conclusions based on rudimentary knowledge of major actors like Saraki and Tambuwal. These are my deductions
1. Saraki cannot win Buhari in any election. I think he is smart enough to known this.

2. Tambuwal's defection was based on agreement with saraki.

3. Only a core northerner can stand a chance to contest against a Buhari thus the Defection of Tambuwal to become the flag bearer for the PDP.

4. All other presidential aspirants in the PDP is a ploy to deceive the APC and lead them on a wild goose chase. Or they would be convinced to support on candidate at the tail end : TAMBUWAL'

THE MASTERPLAN

Saraki meets with the kingmakers in Politics in all 4 -geopolitical zones. ie IBB, Edwin Clarke, Obasanjo, etc knowing these guys have thier reservation on Buhari and the APC led govt. Seek for thier support and blessings in ensuring that Tambuwal gets the presidential ticket and thier endorsement to spur the support of the people in the north, south and west.

If this plan works out, it means Tambuwal will always protect the interest of Saraki. He will remain Senate President and eventually, may run for presidency.

This is a chess game. Think about it.
Atiku will not win Buhari neither would Dankwambo win Buhari, only Tambuwal could give Buhari a run for his money with the support of Saraki, IBB, Obasanjo, Atiku, Wike, Kwankwaso and all south east and south south Governors, political godfathers, PDP stalwarts, etc.

This is my take. If and when Saraki declares for presidency, then the above analyses would be grossly wrong but I am convinced he will not. He will just keep the APC guessing and on the 11th hour, everybody pledges support for Tambuwal.

Selah!

If this plan works out, it means Tambuwal will always protect the interest of Saraki. He will remain Senate President and eventually, may run for presidency.

It can't work, moreover where is Atiku

kwankwanso is strong guy,even Obasanjo is strongly supporting him.

Baawaa:

It can't work, moreover where is Atiku

I can't wait to see that conglomeration of thieves called PDP disbanded I swear inec should de_register that colony of thieves

Governor Tambuwal cant even defeat President Buhari in Sokoto.

It will be the dumbest gamble ever if Senator Saraki tries it

Oga Well done , here comes APC a colony of angels and a bunch of saints. You can not decieve us again, Please tell us the difference betwwen APc and PDP also tell us their ideologies and values and what they have done differently.
You better look for another lie and propaganda. this is one has failed.

Peacecore:
I can't wait to see that conglomeration of thieves called PDP disbanded I swear inec should de_register that colony of thieves

Peacecore:
I can't wait to see that conglomeration of thieves called PDP disbanded I swear inec should de_register that colony of thieves

If that same thief crosses to APC, he would become a saint abi?? Can you see you are not okay?

And you think Tambawal's Presidential ambition is not Dead on Arrival?

. Even Kwankaso can't get 1/4 of Buhari votes in the north, na small boy takwando you wan try?

Ok

Kyase:
. Even Kwankaso can't get 1/4 of Buhari votes in the north, na small boy takwando you wan try?

Even you will get 1/3 of the votes in the north once you are the PDP candidate!

And u feel sey to be presido no dey hungry am

Mynd44:
Governor Tambuwal cant even defeat President Buhari in Sokoto.

It will be the dumbest gamble ever if Senator Saraki tries it

The OP is high on wet warri weed ... Does he not know how many "postulators/predictors cum pastors presently gassing Saraki's head about his chances?

If a hia!

Whatever,
Even if 7 of them collabo into one ticket against buhari, it will not still work.
Because buhari will win each of them in their various state, even kwara.
South east and south south is still for buhari.
No need for election
This money for inec is like a waste.

TonyeBarcanista:
And you think Tambawal's Presidential ambition is not Dead on Arrival?

Tonye, come back home APC family is big enough to accomodate all.
Tambuwal is facing similar problem with Kwankwaso, Tambuwal shouldnt have defected and make negative utterance against Buhari.
None of those PDP aspirants can take 20％ of the votes Buhari will get. SS and SE will vote APC at least 25-30％ because they realised the disadvantage of putting their eggs in one basket. Thats my opinion though.
How do you see it Mr. T.？

tuniski:

Even you will get 1/3 of the votes in the north once you are the PDP candidate!

no deceive yourself bro....

Saraki's main agenda is to become president come 2023

He's only playing smart on Nigerians and APC

The deal is to help install Tambuwal as president and get elected as one come 2023

Truly, it's good to be brave

Then apc members should all be jailed for life

buharitill2023:
Whatever,
Even if 7 of them collabo into one ticket against buhari, it will not still work.
Because buhari will win each of them in their various state, even kwara.
South east and south south is still for buhari.
No need for election
This money for inec is like a waste.

Thunder fire you there. Psychopathic fool. which south east is for Buhari? don't come here and insult your generation. even IMO state is PDP.

tuniski:

Even you will get 1/3 of the votes in the north once you are the PDP candidate!

You lie sir.buhari had 12.3 million votes in the north,goodluck had 3.7 million as an incumbent president.total northern votes was 16 million.one third should be about 5.4 million so goodluck fell short of that.He didnt even get up to 25% which is 4 million.therefore you lied as usual,your unintelligent as usual.if an incumbent can get less than one third or 25%,a non incumbent will get less.
In the south,total votes was 12 million.buhari got 3 million votes which is exactly 25%.as an incumbent,he will not get less than 30%.

senatordave1:

You lie sir.buhari had 12.3 million votes in the north,goodluck had 3.7 million as an incumbent president.total northern votes was 16 million.one third should be about 5.4 million so goodluck fell short of that.He didnt even get up to 25% which is 4 million.therefore you lied as usual,your unintelligent as usual.if an incumbent can get less than one third or 25%,a non incumbent will get less.
In the south,total votes was 12 million.buhari got 3 million votes which is exactly 25%.as an incumbent,he will not get less than 30%.

You sure is fixated With the error of 2015 when northern nigeria did sak! All elections before 2015, PDP always get. 30% plus no matter the candidate against buhari.
2015 Was a fluke!

OK

Who send am campaign, Jamesi Alabase

PDP should forget 2019 and start preparation against 2023.

Trunaijian:
After carefully observing recent goings on in the polity, I cant help but deduce some conclusions based on rudimentary knowledge of major actors like Saraki and Tambuwal. These are my deductions
1. Saraki cannot win Buhari in any election. I think he is smart enough to known this.

2. Tambuwal's defection was based on agreement with saraki.

3. Only a core northerner can stand a chance to contest against a Buhari thus the Defection of Tambuwal to become the flag bearer for the PDP.

4. All other presidential aspirants in the PDP is a ploy to deceive the APC and lead them on a wild goose chase. Or they would be convinced to support on candidate at the tail end : TAMBUWAL'

THE MASTERPLAN

Saraki meets with the kingmakers in Politics in all 4 -geopolitical zones. ie IBB, Edwin Clarke, Obasanjo, etc knowing these guys have thier reservation on Buhari and the APC led govt. Seek for thier support and blessings in ensuring that Tambuwal gets the presidential ticket and thier endorsement to spur the support of the people in the north, south and west.

If this plan works out, it means Tambuwal will always protect the interest of Saraki. He will remain Senate President and eventually, may run for presidency.

This is a chess game. Think about it.
Atiku will not win Buhari neither would Dankwambo win Buhari, only Tambuwal could give Buhari a run for his money with the support of Saraki, IBB, Obasanjo, Atiku, Wike, Kwankwaso and all south east and south south Governors, political godfathers, PDP stalwarts, etc.

This is my take. If and when Saraki declares for presidency, then the above analyses would be grossly wrong but I am convinced he will not. He will just keep the APC guessing and on the 11th hour, everybody pledges support for Tambuwal.

Selah!

What exactly is the political pedigree of this guy called TAMBUWAL?

In 2014/2015, we heard Tambuwal was a viable candidate who could likely be the APC candidate then; somehow we heard he had political and administrative relevance. Fastforward to April 2015, Tambuwal wins governorship in Sokoto and was sworn in on the 29th of May.

After becoming governor, he totally disappeared from the political scene; nothing was heard about his political activities or influence, nothing was heard about his developmental strides in Sokoto, nothing was heard about his contribution to his party or to country all through the last 3 years, not even his voice was heard. As a matter of fact, I totally forgot a person called TAMBUWAL existed, not until last month when politicians started defecting. And this is the candidate anyone thinks can upstage anyone?... So much for 'viability'!

From the candidates who have indicated interest, the best chance the PDP might have at removing PMB is Atiku, or better still, the other gentleman called Dankwambo. Anything else is a waste of electoral funds.

SolutionMee:
Saraki's main agenda is to become president come 2023

He's only playing smart on Nigerians and APC

The deal is to help install Tambuwal as president and get elected as one come 2023

Truly, it's good to be brave

How on earth can a Tambuwal win Buhari?.. What exactly is the size of the crowd Tambuwal controls even in his own Sokoto state?... Besides a couple of well expected protest votes in the SE and SS and middle belt, where else can Tambuwal pull votes?

And lastly, did you just say Saraki plans to be president in 2023 after installing Tambuwal in 2019?... Abi Tambuwal no get strength to run second leg (that's assuming he wins)?