Vladimir Putin was reportedly so angered when President Joe Biden called him a "killer" in his first sit-down interview after taking office, the Russian president left his quarantine, got a COVID vaccination and moved 28,000 Russian troops to the border with Ukraine.

"It was really a shock. And it changed his behavior a lot," argues Pavel Baev, a senior researcher at Norway’s International Peace Research Institute in Oslo.
Russian Bear bombers went into action, forcing NATO to scramble 10 jets to intercept the Russian warplanes flying over the North Atlantic Ocean last week, a rare show of force near the Arctic. On Monday, Putin quietly changed Russia’s constitution to allow him to stay in power until 2036. He would be 83 years old.

"Bluffing comes naturally to [Putin]. He is much more of a manipulator than he is a warrior," says Baev, in an interview with Fox News. "War is always a risk, always a gamble. So I think he is much more about showing off, about posturing, about kind of showing muscle than about going for the real thing," according to Baev, author of the Jamestown Foundation report War Scare is Putin’s Natural Element. "He is much more about
gesturing, about signaling, messaging and all sorts of things than about starting a real war." Putin is putting Biden on notice with a figurative
"Your move, Joe!"

Facing sagging popularity at home, Putin has returned to a "hybrid war" with the U.S. "President Putin would love to see Russian-U.S. relations reduced to a mano-a-mano battle between him and President Biden," according to Timothy Frye, author of the new book "Weak Strongman: The Limits of Power in Putin’s
Russia."

By testing the American and NATO response time with hypersonic weapons tests in the Arctic a military build-up on the border with Ukraine and an ongoing crackdown on supporters of his main political opponent Alexei Navalny, now jailed and on a hunger strike, "Vlad the Terrible" is signaling he is back and goading the White House to respond.

PUTIN CRITIC NAVALNY LOSING FEELING IN
HIS HANDS, LEGS AMID HUNGER STRIKE,
LAWYER SAYS

"The Russian government is responsible for his health and well-being. We will continue to monitor the situation closely," White House press secretary Jen Psaki told reporters. Frye urges the Biden administration not to play Putin’s game: "Putin has come to increasingly rely on repression of his political opponents, and will take that as a sign of weakness rather than a sign of strength," Frye said in an interview with Fox News. "There's already a lot of Putin fatigue in the country. He's run the country for 20 years, and while he remains broadly popular, I think
there is a desire within Russia, many elements of
Russian society for political change."

So is Putin’s new war posture just a bluff? Some experts say it is bait for the Pentagon to spend more on expensive next-generation weapons.
"There is an arms race. There is competition with the new weapons system, including hypersonic, including nuclear, but again, the Russian economy is not the Soviet economy. Arms race is a very hard thing to sustain, particularly when you are competing with United States," Baev argues. "I don't think Putin has a
long term horizon. He is much more about today and tomorrow and may be a little bit about the day after than about a sustainable arms race."
New satellite photos of expanding Russian
military bases and weapons tests are raising
fears of another "Cold War" buildup and a
possible arms race in the Arctic. Allies say
nuclear tests could devastate the delicate
ecosystem. A series of recent weapons tests by
Moscow and the alarming development of a
stealth nuclear-powered megaton torpedo, that
could devastate cities along the U.S. East Coast
with radioactive tsunamis, has quickly gained the
attention of the U.S. military.
When three Russian submarines burst through
the Arctic ice in a synchronized exercise in late
March, the Pentagon took notice and Putin
praised the naval achievement. Each Russian
sub can carry 16 ballistic missiles.
"We're monitoring very closely. Nobody wants to
see the Arctic as a region become militarized,"
Defense Department press secretary John Kirby
told reporters at the Pentagon.

PUTIN SIGNS LAW ALLOWING HIM 2 MORE
TERMS AS RUSSIA'S LEADER

As rising temperatures and climate change cause
the polar ice to melt, the world's Great Powers
are in a race to control the Arctic and its new
valuable sea lanes.
"Russia is refurbishing Soviet-era airfields and
radar installations, constructing new ports and
search-and-rescue centers, and building up its
fleet of nuclear- and conventionally-powered
icebreakers. It is also expanding its network of
air and coastal defense missile systems, thus
strengthening its anti-access/area-denial
capabilities over key portions of the Arctic,"
according to Pentagon spokesman Lt Col
Thomas Campbell, who notes that Russia
recently established two permanent rotational
Quick Reaction Alert detachments at two Arctic
airfields.
Commercial satellite photos show Russia
expanding its military bases in the Arctic
— adding 50 posts that it shuttered at the end of
the first Cold War.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitri Peskov says Putin
sees the Arctic as a priority. "The economic
potential is growing from year to year, you know
that there are general plans for national
development in the Arctic zone," which Russia
needs for its oil and gas reserves and newly
thawed shipping lanes which will shorten routes
from Europe to Asia.
Experts worry the Russian Bear is seeking a
"new Cold War" with the West by testing state-
of-the-art weapons like a hypersonic anti-
ship cruise missile launched by the Northern
Fleet into the Barents Sea and developing the
Poseidon -- an unmanned stealth nuclear
powered cruise missile that can travel 6,000
miles along the sea floor.
"It is designed to be undetected, once exploded,
it could devastate coastal areas in the United
States," says Heather A. Conley, senior vice
president for Europe, Eurasia, and the Arctic; and
director, Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program at
CSIS.
Such hypersonic weapons seemed like a joke
when Vladimir Putin first introduced a prototype
to Russian lawmakers three years ago
suggesting they could hit Mar-A-Lago. Now
military experts are taking them seriously and
spending vast budgets to develop their own.
"Think of it as an undersea drone that goes
across the North Atlantic. And if it would explode
radioactive explosion, it would sort of create a
tsunami, if you will, along the East Coast
radiating a massive amount of water and could
do untold devastation to the United States,"
Conley said in an interview with Fox.
Vice Admiral Robert Murrett is the deputy
director of the Institute for National Security and
Counterterrorism at Syracuse University and
served as the director of the National Geospatial-
Intelligence Agency for four years overseeing the
Pentagon's top secret spy satellites until 2010.
He says Russia is developing a series of
weapons that are very concerning to the U.S.
military.

"The Arctic is a terrific shortcut, whether you're in an aircraft, whether you're underneath the surface of the ocean and also for intercontinental ballistic missile, this goes back to the Cold War," said Murrett, who has spent his career watching Russian military movements. The U.S. Air Force recently deployed 4 B-1 bombers to an Arctic base in Norway for the first time, another sign that Putin is getting the response he wants: attention and a diversion rrom his domestic opponents.

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