Ooni:
I want explain reasons why military option to security challenges in Nigeria especially, Biafran seperatism in the Southeast region will not end well for the Federal government.

Fighting in different frontiers Nigerian army is already engaged in a decade old war against terror in the north east. There is now Book haram, Isis and Iswap. They have surged downwards to Niger state, 2hrs to the country's capital. There are also well armed and deadly bandits in the Northwest. These groups have killed thousand of civilians and security forces and the FG is currently seeking for assistance at tackling them. As these fighters make gains, their numbers increase unlike the military. It will be a matter of a year or two for the army to be overwhelmed if it opens another frontier in the East.

Nigeria is broke, it's non state rivals are not The federal govt has other Responsibility apart from war, which is administration. But it can barely meet them. Nigeria has borrowed billions to finance capital projects little prospects of obtaining more loans. The military is presently said to be underfunded, while the govt plans to cut salaries and merge agencies to meet its obligations. Conversely, a group like IPOB is funded constantly by home and diaspora Ibos and has only one responsibility- defense. Remember the last Biafra was burdened with administration and defence but the IPOB spends almost all its money on defence while administration is left to Eastern governors. This can make a whole lot of difference.

Lack of International support Nigeria had heavy support from its allies during the first civil war. The British supported with arms, experts and media. Russia, Czechoslovakia etc supported with arms while the Arabs supplied arms and pilots. Nigeria also had thousands of mercenaries Niger and chad and the support of Cameroon which ensured the blockade of the Southeast border.
Today, the outlook is totally different. Nigeria's allies seem to be suspicious of the Federal govt true intentions. UK has rejected partnership with federal govt on 'security' while EU has asked the FG to 'look beyond' military solution in solving insecurity. US is showing red light with their blantant refusal to relocate African command while Israel has never hidden it's pro Biafran sentiment. Also note worthy is the Anglophone crisis that will limit Cameroon's role in containing their Southwestern border in event of conflict.

Minority Aparthy The last civil war was nearly prosecuted by the Northern minorities. Tiv, Igala, Nupe, Idoma etc Today the minorities are at best aloof. Fulani herdsmen have wrecked havok in the area, greatly diminishing the peoples trust in the Nigerian project. Some tribes are forming militias while some are even going for self determination. Their elders like Jerry gana and Theophilius Danjuma are outspoken against the Fulani agenda and the military role. It's difficult to believe hundreds of thousands from the middle belt will turn out within two weeks as they did in 1967 if the military demands.

Lack of Ideology People fighting for an ideology are difficult to beat because they can fight to death. Most freedom fighters fight for ideology but most Nigerian soldiers are paid and can run from battle. Freedom fighters form volunteers. Without leave nor retirement like regular army, they can only multiply and fight more passionately without getting paid. Moreover, this ideological leaning can penetrate the ranks of the Nigerian army. With the alleged deployment of only Northerners to orlu, it seems there is already grumbling among Ibo officers.

Biafrannuke:
Op Biafra is not only southeast.

Simplyleo:
[s][/s]
Just pursue your biafra in whichever way and stop advising the govt on its approach.

After all you want to achieve your biafra, so if the govt fails, it is a win win for you. So stfu and continue with your struggle while praying for the govt to use the military which you already know is a failure.

Ooni:
I'm not Ibo.

kettykin:
Nigeria will probably borrow loans to fund its military operations, the loans will be used to purchase APC carriers, military planes, ammunitions, rifles etc. These would eventually be captured by boko haram in their swift ambushes and the borrowed money ends up with the enemy.


But on the biafran front I think all that needs to be done is simply withdrawing police and soldiers to the barracks and barnish herdsmen from the bush. This will stop the attacks and ease tension gradually. The esn and ugm will have no other option than to find something else to do.

Ooni:
I'm not Ibo.

hollah123:
nyanmiri d picture on your profile gave u out,only God knows y u people find it easy to deny your rag tag forefathers in d name of clout chasing

Winnerforever:


Wahabbi terrorist shut up

hollah123:
nyanmiri the child of hate n perdition,I hail u

Winnerforever:


The danger is when a third party is tempted to get involved and starts arming ESN with deadlier weapons. Eventually it becomes a full blown war and the army is fighting on two fronts.

Let's see.

kettykin:


If the soldiers and policemen go back to the barracks, there will no longer be any message for ESN or ugm, even if they carry arms they will not hound traders or business men or civilians other wise a counter ESN would emerge. It was police and military oppression and brutality against unarmed and defenseless people that created these entities

Simplyleo:
[s][/s]
Just pursue your biafra in whichever way and stop advising the govt on its approach.

After all you want to achieve your biafra, so if the govt fails, it is a win win for you. So stfu and continue with your struggle while praying for the govt to use the military which you already know is a failure.

hollah123:
nyanmiri d picture on your profile gave u out,only God knows y u people find it easy to deny your rag tag forefathers in d name of clout chasing

Ooni:
pls, let's not polute this thread with ethnic slurs. employ brain power, if you have.

hollah123:
don't b stupid u hypocrite,check d picture on your status n tell me u are alright.

helinues:
Propaganda by UGM NL Chapter.

Those rag tags called UGM would soon be decimated

Ooni:
I want explain reasons why military option to security challenges in Nigeria especially, Biafran seperatism in the Southeast region will not end well for the Federal government.

Fighting in different frontiers Nigerian army is already engaged in a decade old war against terror in the north east. There is now Book haram, Isis and Iswap. They have surged downwards to Niger state, 2hrs to the country's capital. There are also well armed and deadly bandits in the Northwest. These groups have killed thousand of civilians and security forces and the FG is currently seeking for assistance at tackling them. As these fighters make gains, their numbers increase unlike the military. It will be a matter of a year or two for the army to be overwhelmed if it opens another frontier in the East.

Nigeria is broke, it's non state rivals are not The federal govt has other Responsibility apart from war, which is administration. But it can barely meet them. Nigeria has borrowed billions to finance capital projects little prospects of obtaining more loans. The military is presently said to be underfunded, while the govt plans to cut salaries and merge agencies to meet its obligations. Conversely, a group like IPOB is funded constantly by home and diaspora Ibos and has only one responsibility- defense. Remember the last Biafra was burdened with administration and defence but the IPOB spends almost all its money on defence while administration is left to Eastern governors. This can make a whole lot of difference.

Lack of International support Nigeria had heavy support from its allies during the first civil war. The British supported with arms, experts and media. Russia, Czechoslovakia etc supported with arms while the Arabs supplied arms and pilots. Nigeria also had thousands of mercenaries Niger and chad and the support of Cameroon which ensured the blockade of the Southeast border.
Today, the outlook is totally different. Nigeria's allies seem to be suspicious of the Federal govt true intentions. UK has rejected partnership with federal govt on 'security' while EU has asked the FG to 'look beyond' military solution in solving insecurity. US is showing red light with their blantant refusal to relocate African command while Israel has never hidden it's pro Biafran sentiment. Also note worthy is the Anglophone crisis that will limit Cameroon's role in containing their Southwestern border in event of conflict.

Minority Aparthy The last civil war was nearly prosecuted by the Northern minorities. Tiv, Igala, Nupe, Idoma etc Today the minorities are at best aloof. Fulani herdsmen have wrecked havok in the area, greatly diminishing the peoples trust in the Nigerian project. Some tribes are forming militias while some are even going for self determination. Their elders like Jerry gana and Theophilius Danjuma are outspoken against the Fulani agenda and the military role. It's difficult to believe hundreds of thousands from the middle belt will turn out within two weeks as they did in 1967 if the military demands.

Lack of Ideology People fighting for an ideology are difficult to beat because they can fight to death. Most freedom fighters fight for ideology but most Nigerian soldiers are paid and can run from battle. Freedom fighters form volunteers. Without leave nor retirement like regular army, they can only multiply and fight more passionately without getting paid. Moreover, this ideological leaning can penetrate the ranks of the Nigerian army. With the alleged deployment of only Northerners to orlu, it seems there is already grumbling among Ibo officers.

IgweOfNnewi:
Using this situation as practical for military maximum force will train our security operatives better, let them go out against the terrorist, if they didn't succeed in decimating the criminals terrorising the south east then another method can be utilized, 1967 to 1970 should be a guideline, they can improve more on the casualties to break the resistance