Bola Tinubu Vs Professor Yemi Osinbajo (PERSONAL OPINION).



ABOUT 2:30 MINUTES READ TIME. TRUST ME, IT WORTH EVERY BIT OF YOUR TIME.



Tunde Oduwole,I-QS.

Osinbajo’s 2023 Dilemma: Why he may not run.

Without any iota of doubt, Tinubu is Osinbajo’s benefactor. In fact, everything Osinbajo has achieved politically has had the imprimatur of Tinubu. From his first political job as Attorney General and Commissioner for Justice in Lagos (1999 – 2007) and taking Tinubu’s VP slot on the APC presidential ticket in 2015 on a platter of gold, Osinbajo has ridden on the back of Tinubu. Where was Osinbajo when Tinubu bankrolled the party and sustained it through its metamorphosis from AD to AC, ACN, forged alliance with CPC after meeting Buhari which culminated in the merger of parties and eventual formation of APC? If anyone is asked: who owns APC today? The answer is SW/Tinubu and the North. In simple terms, Tinubu brought Osinbajo out of political obscurity. Osinbajo on his own has never contested an election or funded one? Even as running mate to Buhari, he lost his Ajah polling unit in 2019 and thereafter quietly relocated his polling unit to his hometown of Ikenne, Ogun State apparently in a bid to contest for the presidency in 2023 after the humbling and chastising in Lagos.

Given the foregoing, it is understandable that the camp of Tinubu will consider Osinbajo a traitor and betrayer for daring (or currently being rumoured) to contest the 2023 APC presidential primaries with his benefactor. In fact, it is the audacity of Osinbajo for them. Anyway, let’s assume Osinbajo decides to contest the primaries with Tinubu, what are his chances of winning the APC ticket (the fight) and more importantly, how would he win the 2023 presidential election (the war)? I will interrogate ‘the fight’ and ‘the war’ in succession.

The fight: There are two parts to the fight. Part A is funding the primary election. Can Osinbajo match Tinubu at the APC presidential primaries pound-for-pound and dollar-for-dollar? Does he have the financial warchest to buy over delegates? In 2014, Buhari said he took a loan to buy his APC nomination form. Could Buhari have defeated Atiku in the December 2014 APC presidential primaries without Tinubu mobilizing great financial resources to counter Atiku’s financial spend? Several groups including journalists, media broadcasters and TV commentators have recently called on Osinbajo to throw his hat in the ring against his benefactor. How many of these persons can assure Osinbajo of one delegate’s vote at the APC primaries? Even former Niger State Governor, Babangida Aliyu, a PDP member, recently endorsed Osinbajo. Can Aliyu deliver any delegate’s vote to Osinbajo at the APC primaries? How can the CEO of Coca Cola be recommending CEO candidates to Pepsi if not for sinister reasons? We will discuss more on the baleful objective of Aliyu’s endorsement later.

It may interest the reader to know that Osinbajo may not even know the chairman of his ward in Ikenne LGA in Ogun State. Does he know how votes are farmed out on election day proper? Is it for fun that Tinubu had bullion vans on election day in 2019? The reader is entreated to judge. As of today, can Osinbajo beat his chest and claim with foolproof assurance that he has any number of hardcore delegates on his side? Tinubu has delegates of Lagos, Osun, Ogun, Oyo, half of Ondo, Kano, Katsina, Kwara, Bauchi, Niger, Edo, Delta and Borno in the bag. If Fayemi joins the race, Fayemi has Ekiti delegates and maybe Kaduna and half on Ondo. For the delegates in the non-APC states (South South and South East predominantly), it is the highest bidder game. Does Osinbajo have the warchest to match Tinubu for the other states delegates in the North?

On the flip side, if Tinubu defeats Osinbajo at the APC primaries, that will be the end of Osinbajo’s political relevance in the South West. He will be totally ostracized and shamed for even having the audacity to wrestle with his benefactor. There have been threats of probable ostracization of Osinbajo from the APC South West political family should he even declare intention to contest the primaries with Tinubu. According to insiders in the Tinubu camp, “if not for blind greed and inordinate ambition, why will Osinbajo enjoy 8 years as VP on Tinubu’s slot (and sweat building a party) given on a platter of gold and not want to yield space for the next 8 years?” “Is he the only one?” “How ungrateful!”

The war: Let’s assume that Osinbajo defeats Tinubu at the primaries? How would he win the 2023 general presidential election against the PDP candidate (Atiku or Tambuwal or Bala Muhammed)? To start with, the fall-out of a Tinubu losing the primaries will be massive. First, Tinubu will be so bitter and will simply tell his APC goons in the South West to vote for PDP in 2023 just like he did in 2011 when ACN states voted for Jonathan based on some agreement Jonathan had with Tinubu. Does Osinbajo have the financial resources to mobilize for votes on election day, oil political machinery and so on starting from polling units to ward, local government, senatorial and state levels? Again, can Osinbajo farm out votes on election day without Tinubu? Can he connect and speak the language of the grassroots like MC Olumo who form a major plank of the Tinubu political machinery and vote-farming team on election day?

Some people say Osinbajo is a ‘saint’. Why wouldn’t he be a ‘saint’ when he has never built, funded and sustained a political machinery or party? There are over 176,000 polling units in Nigeria. How does a party mobilize its agents to man each polling unit to monitor and record votes, pay them, feed them, provide them logistics and so on? Has Osinbajo ever had to do all these? Where does the reader think the money will come from? Well, if he wins the APC ticket, he would have to do all these himself in 2023. He has never gotten his hands dirty because he has always gotten everything on a platter of gold. If Tinubu doesn’t get his hands dirty, how would there even be a party in the first place that Osinbajo would dream of flying its ticket? The price for the financial ‘dirtiness’ of Tinubu is the creation of a vibrant political party called APC which was able to wrestle power from PDP and on whose platform a ‘saint’ is anchoring his presidential dream. If Osinbajo is indeed a saint, he should follow the footsteps of Kingsley Moghalu, Attahiru Jega and Oby Ezekwesilili or Fela Durotoye by creating his own party from scratch, funding it and flying its presidential ticket. It is laughable when you hear Osinbajo’s support groups calling on Buhari/APC not to allow moneybags and politicians who have gotten their hands dirty to hijack the party? Such incredulity!

A politician who does not know how votes are procured or how elective and appointive positions are shared through horse-trading, compromises and so on among several interest groups and tendencies within a party will not appreciate the responsibility that comes with public office after assuming power. One of such poor judgement and utter lack of discretion was the sacking of Babachir Lawal by Osinbajo which irked the famed cabal/Aso Villa kitchen cabinet. As a smart politician, were Tinubu the Acting president, he would never have sacked Lawal because he knows Lawal represents some constituencies/interests within the party. At best, perhaps a suspension or directive to proceed on indefinite leave would have been fair. Apparently, Osinbajo strongly believed Buhari will succumb to his illness. Till date, Osinbajo has not been forgiven by the cabal for that action and several other missteps while in acting president’s capacity and they so much detest and do not trust him. When manna falls on your laps without even asking for it, you will never appreciate it. But if you toiled hard for it, you will value and guard jealously every ounce of it. Should such a fellow be given the Presidency on a platter of gold again, he will do incalculable damage. The North will not even risk it.

Also, several confirmed sources in Aso Villa alleged Buhari is in possession of a tape where Osinbajo gloated about taking power through a re-enactment of the ‘Yar-Adua—Jonathan model’ while Buhari was battling ill-health in the UK. Furthermore, he was reported to have been saying a loud ‘Amen’ to prayers at one of the RCCG parishes in Ogun State for “God to instantly elevate him to higher position without further delay” during Buhari’s illness which means God should take Buhari’s soul and pave the way for a substantive Osinbajo presidency. Such a fellow will never be allowed to smell the seat of the presidency as he is clearly inordinately ambitious.

Part B of ‘the fight’ is winning the 2023 election proper. In terms of voting pattern, the South South and South East will give 90% of their votes to PDP (Atiku or Tambuwal). A bitter Tinubu will deliver South West to PDP or at worst (due to Yoruba sentiments for Osinbajo), split South West votes 50:50 between PDP and APC. For the Southern Nigeria voting pattern, the probable best result is 0.5 APC/Osinbajo and 2.5 PDP/Atiku/Tambuwal.

For the Northern votes, this is where the challenge lies for Osinbajo. Atiku or Tambuwal are Northerners and Muslims. They connect to the people in terms of ethnicity and religion. Osinbajo has no conncection with them. In any case, Buhari’s secret candidate whom he does’t want to disclose or anyone to kill is Amaechi and not Osinbajo. Can Osinbajo, a Christian/Yoruba defeat Atiku/Tambuwal in the North West and North East? Never. What PDP needs to do is just tell the Northerners that Osinbajo is a Kafir (unbeliever) and it is a done deal. To make matters worse, Osinbajo is a Pastor. He will be easily de-marketed in North by PDP. In fact, this is one of the reasons Babangida Aliyu endorsed Osinbajo. Osinbajo flying APC’s presidential ticket in 2023 will make the job of PDP winning the election easier.

The only way Osinbajo would win the 2023 presidential election is for PDP to field an Igbo man as presidential candidate. Not for anything in this world will the North vote an Igbo man. The PDP has realized this and that is why their strategy to reclaim the presidency is to do whatever it takes at all costs to win. That all-costs strategy is anchored on fielding a Northern Muslim. Even the Igbos themselves realized this and that is why David Umahi decamped from PDP to APC. Also, the Igbos are content getting VP slot under PDP and are not making much of a fuss about the rumoured interest of Tambuwal, Atiku and possibly Saraki in the PDP presidential ticket. As far as the Igbos are concerned, they would rather a Northerner wins than allow their eternal rivals, the SW win the presidency. Do not mind their grandstanding on zoning the ticket to South or South East lest heaven falls. It is no surprise that the one who hurriedly stormed Aso Villa to inform Buhari of his presidential ambition after Asiwaju did on January 10 has retreated to his village waiting for the presidency to fall on his laps while Tinubu aggressively pursues country-wide consultations and is securing endorsements concurrently almost on daily basis.

A Tinubu/Northern Muslim VP ticket is more sellable and stands a better chance of winning in the North in particular and in the entire country in general than an Osinbajo/Northern Muslim VP ticket for two reasons: faith handicap of Osinbajo and weak financial warchest. It is not for fun that Buhari failed on three occasions in the presidential elections and only succeeded at the fourth attempt after being packaged by Tinubu. A great political mistake anyone will make is underrating the importance, criticality and grassroots mobilization impact of Tinubu. It is not for fun that Fayemi visited Tinubu on the upcoming Ekiti APC guber primaries slated for January 27 in order to forge a common ground. Even if Fayemi's preferred candidate emerges APC’s guber flagbearer, the election proper on June 18 still has to be funded and prosecuted. You will not bet against Tinubu telling his supporters to vote for the opposition and even funding the opposition thereby stretching the limits of the meagre financial resources of Fayemi/Ekiti state. Even if Fayemi's candidate wins the guber election proper in June against the backdrop of a disenchanted Tinubu, victory would have been achieved at so great a cost that Fayemi will be left with no oxygen and financial firepower to even pursue his rumoured dream of participating in the APC presidential primaries.

Given the foregoing, head or tail, the 2023 election is a tall order for Osinbajo. The probability of Osinbajo winning 2023 is slimmer than a thread passing through the eye of a needle. Osinbajo needs Tinubu to win 2023 more than Tinubu needs Osinabajo to win. In fact, Tinubu does not need Osinbajo to win. Tinubu is a fighting machine on his own and a tested war general. For Osinbajo to succeed in the fight and more importantly, win the war, at the minimum, he needs Tinubu on his side. Definitely, going head-to-head with Tinubu for the APC presidential ticket is not the right strategy to get Tinubu on his side. This is the crux of Osinbajo’s 2023 dilemma. Enough said!

Dr Gbenga Adefulu, an economist, digital media consultant and public affairs analyst writes from Ikeja, Lagos. He can be reached on drgbengaadefulu@yahoo.com and tweets through @drgbengaadefulu.



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An excellent analysis backed by realities.
Note that among the PDP potential contestants, the writer did not include those 'jokers' who, instead of consultations across the land, are busy sending empty threats to everyone.

Both of them are political fraud
Infact the whole of our politicians are frauds and incompetent fools

silverlinen:
Both of them are political fraud
Infact the whole of our politicians are frauds and incompetent fools

Did you mean Osinbajo is a political fraud too?

amnesty7:
An excellent analysis backed by realities.
Note that among the PDP potential contestants, the writer did not include those 'jokers'.

Yes he didn't. I guessed because they're "JOKERS" as you have said

Know one knows what's best or who's best for the country right now...only God knows but the wise will risk Osinbajo instead of an old lifeless man...

PDP Dundees think we are foolish. We know why they want Osinbajo as APC candidate.


They know that if APC present Osinbajo, their own candidate from the north will beat him like Samba drum. Tinubu is the only candidate from the south, who has the capacity to defeat PDP with ease.

It is clear.

Those supporting Tinubu are doing it out of loyalty... More like a "Thank you" gesture to their godfather... Imagine 'giving out' a whole Nigerian Presidency as a "Thank you" gift.

Osinbajo's Presidency appears to be the future of Nigeria. Unfortunately, he is part of those who should rightfully or wrongly 'give' Nigeria away as a "Thank you" gift. I don't know where he's getting his boldness from...

But something tells me there is an understanding between him and Tinubu that is not open to the general public. Tinubu has always given his shot in the past, just to sustain relevance. At the last minute, he gets the opportunity to determine who is in charge.

He is a master in this game. Ask Saraki and Co...

GHOSTTALK:
Know one knows what's best or who's best for the country right now...only God knows but the wise will risk Osinbajo instead of an old lifeless man...

THE WISE

Critical Analysis and a well balanced perspective.

Even though I wanted to disagree with some points at the beginning of the write-up, I had to succumb to his superior arguments.


Kudos!

wallex1983:


But something tells me there is an understanding between him and Tinubu that is not open to the general public. Tinubu has always given his shot in the past, just to sustain relevance. At the last minute, he gets the opportunity to determine who is in charge.

He is a master in this game. Ask Saraki and Co...

YellowMayor:



THE WISE

yeah bro.....a monster father gets old he looses grip of his victim children.... who knows if he (Tinubu) is already suffering dementia... One don't perform better getting older you only perform better when you young still with energy...in this context anyway

apacheguy:
Critical Analysis and a well balanced perspective.

Even though I wanted to disagree with some points at the beginning of the write-up, I had to succumb to his superior arguments.


Kudos!

Indeed. The writer makes the overall point some of us have long concurred with which is that Osinbajo can only win if Tinubu props him up and is fully behind him.

If Osinbajo allows himself to be pushed into a face-off with Tinubu, to then be aided by Buhari etal to get the APC ticket, the PDP will win the general election easily and a Fulani continues in power.

This is because a publicly humiliated Tinubu and victim of an unjust gang up no fair person can say he deserves, for his excellent and winning service to the APC, will simply divorce himself and his very formidable and broadly powerful political machinery from aiding APC's 2023 quest .

Tinubu did same in 2011 when he did not back ACN candidate, Ribadu, with his finance and resources.

Goodluck to APC. They have some hard choices to make. Especially the CPC block of Buhari. Their inclinination may be to conspire to give PDP victory and thus keep the Presidency 'Fulani as usual'.

Yet that too comes with very grave danger for Nigeria's unity, peace and amicable future ethnic co-existence,.

Aside Igbos, only able to vote hatefully and vindictively, many Southerners are fed up of Northern leadership of Nigeria which bitter and frustrating experience has shown can/will never take Nigeria where she needs to go to deliver a modern, merit-based, progressive, fair, restructed and socio-economically vibrant nation.

2023 will be very interesting. However things go, Nigeria will never be the same again. We havr reached the limit of political pisstake.

This is the time for some to consider the greater good or the fractured Nigeria that will emerge in 2023, if the right things are not done, will be like Humpty Dumpty no one could put back together when he broke into many pieces after a fall.

GHOSTTALK:
yeah bro.....a monster father gets old he looses grip of his victim children.... who knows if he (Tinubu) is already suffering dementia... One don't perform better getting older you only perform better when you young still with energy...in this context anyway

Rubbish. Some of the best leaders the world has seen have been old and wise individuals with deep wealth of knowledge and experience.

Try to always defer to fact and reality when you speak.

Not sentiments, emotions and your own personal opinions.

Osinbajo is not an astute politician.

He can run for head of civil servants.

Dapinski:


Rubbish. Some of the best leaders the world has seen have been old and wise individuals with deep wealth of knowledge and experience.

Try to always defer to fact and reality when you speak.

Not sentiments, emotions and your own personal opinions.

From the way you type you either a teen or not far from it...now mention a name of an ever world leader who was doing well above his 80...they all retired and mind you if you childish mind aren't thinking...some of this countries you tryna speak of has high structured system of governance...the case of Nigeria don't need sick and inactive people like we have seen in recent years...and thank God you said some of the best world leaders you seen are old and wise..not all... The current state of Nigeria needs an obvious healthy mind not some seek old fool that we already know his history...I guess you think presidency is about sitting in aso rock dishing out instructions...I don't even know why any healthy mind will compare the risk of having Osi and Tinubu as president it....he may not make a good pres but that risk is what taking....and questioning my opinion means you don't even think cuz if you do you will know you are about following some other persons opinion...when you study a thing a and then conclud...we call it opinion..... Learn it..

Dapinski:



Indeed. The writer makes the overall point some of us have long concurred with which is that Osinbajo can only win if Tinubu props him up and is fully behind him.

If Osinbajo allows himself to be pushed into a face-off with Tinubu, to then be aided by Buhari etal to get the APC ticket, the PDP will win the general election easily and a Fulani continues in power.

This is because a publicly humiliated Tinubu and victim of an unjust gang up no fair person can say he deserves, for his excellent and winning service to the APC, will simply divorce himself and his very formidable and broadly powerful political machinery from aiding APC's 2023 quest .

Tinubu did same in 2011 when he did not back ACN candidate, Ribadu, with his finance and resources.

Goodluck to APC. They have some hard choices to make. Especially the CPC block of Buhari. Their inclinination may be to conspire to give PDP victory and thus keep the Presidency 'Fulani as usual'.

Yet that too comes with very grave danger for Nigeria's unity, peace and amicable future ethnic co-existence,.

Aside Igbos, only able to vote hatefully and vindictively, many Southerners are fed up of Northern leadership of Nigeria which bitter and frustrating experience has shown can/will never take Nigeria where she needs to go to deliver a modern, merit-based, progressive, fair, restructed and socio-economically vibrant nation.

2023 will be very interesting. However things go, Nigeria will never be the same again. We havr reached the limit of political pisstake.

This is the time for some to consider the greater good or the fractured Nigeria that will emerge in 2023, if the right things are not done, will be like Humpty Dumpty no one could put back together when he broke into many pieces after a fall.

I get your point and I'm with you to some extent, I'll keep other thoughts to my chest and observe how events unfolds, may be as we pray.

On a second note, I'm of the opinion that there are several conspiracies going on, both from so called elites "exposed" generations. In that also let's see how things unfold as well.

As things stands, Tinubu has been a hard nut for several blocs to crack and it'll really be a tough one to work against him despite the fact that their intention is known.

Osinbajo any day any time

I can't waste my precious time reading trash. For the fact that you narrowed the contest to yorubas shows you're ignorant of what is unraveling in politics.

No need to indulge your ignorance

EastisBae:
I can't waste my precious time reading trash. For the fact that you narrowed the contest to yorubas shows you're ignorant of what is unraveling in politics.

No need to indulge your ignorance

Lost! Oponu's aren't needed here anyway!

The aim of the op is to disparage osinbanjo

Can we see the video evidence of osimbade praying for buhari demise is false.

Can we see evidence that rccg were organising prayers for osinnanjo to take over from bihari upon his demise

Can we see evidence that osibande is not loyal to buhari and tinubu

Can we see evidence that tinubu has all the delegates from the sw and north in his bag.

Above all it's naive to think that buhari has no interest in who succeds him. If govs, ceo of companies, market leaders are interested in who succeeds them, how much more a president

apacheguy:


I get your point and I'm with you to some extent, I'll keep other thoughts to my chest and observe how events unfolds, may be as we pray.

On a second note, I'm of the opinion that there are several conspiracies going on, both from so called elites "exposed" generations. In that also let's see how things unfold as well.

As things stands, Tinubu has been a hard nut for several blocs to crack and it'll really be a tough one to work against him despite the fact that their intention is known.

Indeed. What excuse can Buhari and Northerners in the APC give for working against Tinubu when the man made all what they are enjoying today possible and genuinely gave his all to deliver for the Party?

How can Northerners in the APC justify paying back Tinubu with treachery? No pun intended but Yorubas are not Igbos to be openly humiliated in a Party, as has been done to Igbos in the PDP, only to stick around continuing to be cheerleaders for that Party.

Will not happen. Yorubas know their worth and are rebellious like that against ingratitude, injustice, dishonorable conduct and unfair treatment of others.

People can believe what they want but the reality is that Tinubu has a lot of loyal and powerful supporters from his own ethnic group and others who will view any treacherous conduct against Tinubu as wrong and unjust.

Public bullying and humiliation of Tinubu, tantamount to showing him that his own Party he sacrificed a lot to build into a winning platform is conspiring against him, will have seismic repercussion for Nigeria.


It will mark an end to honorable and gentlemanly politics of decorum and upright partnership/cooperation . It will also signal to the 'one Nigeria' crew that their effort is wasted and all we have is a treacherous and unholy union where we are all lesser animals in the eyes of the North.

I.e the North can have any Northerner they want leading us but they must tell us the Southerner they want or do not want leading Nigeria as they got away with doing in the past and as Miyetti Allah is currently insinuating openly and arrogantly .

From then it will be a new age of ethnic protectionism, mutual loathing and suspicion plus 'to your tent O Isreal' animosity throughout Nigeria and especially in the SW.

Yorubas will surely rise up to that new future chapter of Nigeria, as principled people, in so far as we believe we kept our end of the deal yet others chose to double cross us expensively.


I can't say I will be against this option either if some want to have 8 years where they ruled as they pleased and took Nigeria in any direction they wanted yet, in "owners of Nigeria" arrogance , do not want to concede the same right to other Nigerians because of fear that new policies and directives may not favour their desperation to keep everything 'business as usual' to the detriment of our nation.

They fear Tinubu as they fear Awolowo and were committed to ensuring the sage never became President.

It will be interesting to see if Yorubas have learnt lessons from history and if the right-thinking elite we have in Nigeria, whether Northerners or Yorubas, are willing to fight politically for the liberation of Nigeria from conservatism, graudulism and 'business as usual' preponderance of the North or whether it is another #EndSARS punitive episode in the future that will reset Nigeria.

Come what may, and whether the North like it or not, Nigeria must reform or die. Grim reality. We either do it the right way or the very costly way.

Dapinski:


Indeed. What excuse can Buhari and Northerners in the APC give for working against Tinubu when the man made all what they are enjoying today possible and genuinely gave his all to deliver for the Party?

How can Northerners in the APC justify paying back Tinubu with treachery, no pun intended but Yorubas are not Igbos to be openly humiliated in a Party, as has been done to Igbos in the PDP, only to stick around continuing to be cheerleaders for that Party.

Will not happen. Yorubas know their worth and are rebellious like that against ingratitude, injustice, dishonorable conduct and unfair treatment of others.

People can believe what they want but the reality is that Tinubu has a lot of loyal and powerful supporters from his own ethnic group and others who will view any treacherous conduct against Tinubu as wrong and unjust.

Public bullying and humiliation of Tinubu, tantamount to showing him that his own Party he built is conspiring against him, will have seismic repercussion for Nigeria.


It will mark an end to honorable and gentlemanly politics of decorum and upright partnership/cooperation . It will also signal to the 'one Nigeria' crew that their effort is wasted and all we have is a treacherous and unholy union where we are all lesser animals in the eyes of the North.

I.e the North can have any Northerner they want leading us but they must tell us the Southerner they want or do not want leading Nigeria as they got away with doing in the past and as Miyetti Allah is currently insinuating openly and arrogantly .

From then it will be a new age of ethnic protectionism, mutual loathing and suspicion plus 'to your tent O Isreal' animosity throughout Nigeria and especially in the SW.

Yorubas will surely rise up to that new future chapter of Nigeria, as principled people, in so far as we believe we kept our end of the deal yet others chose to double cross us expensively.


I can't say I will be against this option either if some want to have 8 years where they ruled as they pleased and took Nigeria in any direction they wanted yet, in "owners of Nigeria" arrogance , do not want to concede the same right to other Nigerians because of fear that new policies and directives may not favour their desperation to keep everything 'business as usual' to the detriment of our nation.

They fear Tinubu as they fear Awolowo and were committed to ensuring the sage never became President.

It will be interesting to see if Yorubas have learnt lessons from history and if the right-thinking elite we have in Nigeria, whether Northerners or Yorubas, are willing to fight politically for the liberation of Nigeria from conservatism, graudulism and 'business as usual' preponderance of the North or whether it is another #EndSARS punitive episode in the future that will reset Nigeria.

Come what may, and whether the North like it or not, Nigeria must reform or die. Grim reality. We either do it the right way or the very costly way.

Please can I get to know you? You have put all my thoughts together and expressed them better than I would be able to.

This is the very point I've been putting forward for those who care to listen. The North cannot afford to and should not make the mistake of proving that loyalty and collaborations would never be appreciated.

This is the only chance to prove that the North still has integrity and can be trusted.

This is the only opportunity to make it clear that the union called Nigeria can and will work. If mistrust is allowed to germinate, the growth will lead to the beginning of the end.

Dapinski:


Indeed. What excuse can Buhari and Northerners in the APC give for working against Tinubu when the man made all what they are enjoying today possible and genuinely gave his all to deliver for the Party?

How can Northerners in the APC justify paying back Tinubu with treachery? No pun intended but Yorubas are not Igbos to be openly humiliated in a Party, as has been done to Igbos in the PDP, only to stick around continuing to be cheerleaders for that Party.

Public bullying and humiliation of Tinubu, tantamount to showing him that his own Party he sacrificed a lot to build into a winning platform is conspiring against him, will have seismic repercussion for Nigeria.


It will mark an end to honorable and gentlemanly politics of decorum and upright partnership/cooperation . It will also signal to the 'one Nigeria' crew that their effort is wasted and all we have is a treacherous and unholy union where we are all lesser animals in the eyes of the North.

I.e the North can have any Northerner they want leading us but they must tell us the Southerner they want or do not want leading Nigeria as they got away with doing in the past and as Miyetti Allah is currently insinuating openly and arrogantly.

From then it will be a new age of ethnic protectionism, mutual loathing and suspicion plus 'to your tent O Isreal' animosity throughout Nigeria and especially in the SW.

Yorubas will surely rise up to that new future chapter of Nigeria, as principled people, in so far as we believe we kept our end of the deal yet others chose to double cross us expensively.


I can't say I will be against this option either if some want to have 8 years where they ruled as they pleased and took Nigeria in any direction they wanted yet, in "owners of Nigeria" arrogance , do not want to concede the same right to other Nigerians because of fear that new policies and directives may not favour their desperation to keep everything 'business as usual' to the detriment of our nation.

They fear Tinubu as they fear Awolowo and were committed to ensuring the sage never became President.

At the bolded is the only reason Buhari would work against someone he wished so much to be his running mate before later dropped the idea to avoid Muslim/Muslim ticket. And that is the sacrifice that only the strongest of the politicians can make. Which I'm so sure there's no any politician in this living space that can make such sacrifice (and Buhari is included) but Tinubu.

So, it's all about politics and loyalty, business as usual? What about seeking better lives for Nigerians? The write-up didn't compare the personalities or leadership traits of the two men but only spoke politically. At some point even, the writer unashamedly accepted that Tinubu is "dirty"! Sadly, he is also SICK! He has no experience leading the Nation as much as Osinbanjo does, to mention but a few reasons Tinubu is not an option at all. All those supporting him presently are doing so for POLITICAL reasons and benefits they hope to get, not for a genuine need to move Nigeria forward. How long shall we continue this way? What happens to Tinubu honourably supporting Osinbanjo seeing he is a better candidate for the position?

Must Tinubu be President

If he has any honour left, let him prop up his son Osinbanjo with all the arsenals boasted about in this write-up and retire in peace!

Let's all see how this plays out but I know Nigeria is too big to be used as an honorarium for a single individual. Hope such individual will not learn the hard way or in SHAME. No human is omnipotent.

I write for no one's pay!

History555:
The aim of the op is to disparage osinbanjo

Can we see the video evidence of osimbade praying for buhari demise is false.

Can we see evidence that rccg were organising prayers for osinnanjo to take over from bihari upon his demise

Can we see evidence that osibande is not loyal to buhari and tinubu

Can we see evidence that tinubu has all the delegates from the sw and north in his bag.

Above all it's naive to think that buhari has no interest in who succeds him. If govs, ceo of companies, market leaders are interested in who succeeds them, how much more a president

All the evidences are already on the table, you're not just looking enough to see