Our brothers from the other side has started shifting goal post, from Tinubu/ south west can not clinch APC presidential ticket to Amaechi is the consesus candidate to GeJ. One thing is common to these predictions, it all fail woefully.

They have now come with another prediction of North voting Atiku one of their own, of course that will fail too.

Where's the analysis?

Apart from badmouthing a section of the country, you are incapable of any analysis.

Tinubu supporters are just a bunch of agberos blowing hot air online

Let me enlighten them.

North has about 11 governors in APC, all of them will not abandon their political structure just because of Atiku, I am sure of people like Borno governor, Kano Governor, katsina and even Kaduna, these are the northern states that matter in Nigeria election

Then it will be the first time northerners will vote against their own

Let me borrow this analysis from penguin


by Penguin2: 5:23am
I think Atiku is really not destined to rule Nigeria.

Because with the entire northern governors and critical northern stakeholders in APC, agreeing to zone the presidency to the south, they are going to campaign with that to their people and influence their votes to a great extent.

Now, if at the end, Osinbajo gets the ticket, like it’s looking like, then that’s the entire Southwest votes and considerable votes from other southern regions too since Osinbajo is an inspiring candidate.

PDP swam against the tide.

And what seemed to be a strategic masterstroke about a week ago, now looks like a grave mistake.

Take it from me that Atiku will not be president especially if Osinbajo gets the ticket

These online kids sha...You have already won election when your Jagaban never even get presidential ticket...Imagine after all this noise and you get the unexpected shock of your life tomorrow

North is not as clannish or tribalistic as we see.

If they really want to retain power, Buhari would have picked Lawan, so thier candidate will flag the ticket of the major party. Either head or tail it is going to the North, but that was not the case.

You yorubas live in delusions too much
Na only mouth una Sabi run

Op on a pipe dream

Northerners will leave Atiku and vote Tinubu?..

this is outrageous

South South and South East will vote Tinubu?

South West has never given a block vote.. go check the 2019 results.

South West got more chance with Osibanjo.
he will perform better than old Tinubu who's going to Abuja Bev it's his turn to loot

Kwankwaso will considerably damaged Atiku votes in the North. Kwankwaso is a movement in the north.



Peter obi will damaged Atiku votes in the East, he came close last time because of block votes from the East, that is not happening now

Northerner has voted thier outsiders against thier own many times, it happens in 1993, it happens in 2011, it will happen in 2023

Has Tinubu secured the ticket yet? These afonjas are jokers. Buhari just said certain things to calm Tinubu down and give him false hope till the D day when Buhari will play his final last card

sogodihno:
Northerner has voted thier outsiders against thier own many times, it happens in 1993, it happens in 2011, it will happen in 2023

1993 and 2011 were both handled by southern (Igbo) INEC chairmen. That's the difference

God1000:
Then it will be the first time northerners will vote against their own

If you were not around then, please find out how northerners voted for MKO Abiola and Obasanjo against their own back then.

sogodihno:
Kwankwaso will considerably damaged Atiku votes in the North. Kwankwaso is a movement in the north.



Peter obi will damaged Atiku votes in the East, he came close last time because of block votes from the East, that is not happening now

Will the kwankwanso votes be added to this number or what? Is NW where kwankwaso come from not an APC stronghold?

sogodihno:
North is not as clannish or tribalistic as we see.

If they really want to retain power, Buhari would have picked Lawan, so thier candidate will flag the ticket of the major party. Either head or tail it is going to the North, but that was not the case.

North is not clannish.
North is not tribalistic yet
2003 dem vote buhari
2007 dem spilt vote btw umya and buhari
2011 dem vote buhari
2015 dem vote buhari
2019 dem spilt vote btw atiku and buhari

Yet dem no clannish

sogodihno:
Northerner has voted thier outsiders against thier own many times, it happens in 1993, it happens in 2011, it will happen in 2023

So the Nigeria of 1993 is the same Nigeria of 2023.

unite4real:


If you were not around then, please find out how northerners voted for MKO Abiola and Obasanjo against their own back then.

North voted Buhari in 2003. SE and SS was OBJ stronghold. If north voted keankwaso and Atiku and SE and SS vote obi, no hope for yoruba candidate

God1000:
Then it will be the first time northerners will vote against their own

And MKO Abiola of SDP?

nedu666:


So the Nigeria of 1993 is the same Nigeria of 2023.

It is, that's why the northern governors all supported southern candidate, they could have easily keep it

XerXers:

Will the kwankwanso votes be added to this number or what? Is NW where kwankwaso come from not an APC stronghold?

Kwankwaso votes was added to PDP last time, being a member of PDP, now the votes will be remove from PDP not APC, you get?

XerXers:

1993 and 2011 were both handled by southern (Igbo) INEC chairmen. That's the difference

Let's wait and see then

sogodihno:
Northerner has voted thier outsiders against thier own many times, it happens in 1993, it happens in 2011, it will happen in 2023

Guy you are politically naive.


How did Buhari get 12 million votes in 2011 if northerners voted against their own?


What you are trying to say is that northerners voted for Goodluck Johnathan?

Okay noted. Make we know make mouth too much. Make em win primary election first. Then, we will know the first then.

sogodihno:
Kwankwaso will considerably damaged Atiku votes in the North. Kwankwaso is a movement in the north.



Peter obi will damaged Atiku votes in the East, he came close last time because of block votes from the East, that is not happening now

If this is your analysis, then you are wrong, Kwankwaso knows his boss & brother. The same North APC is expecting huge returns from. Why start a thread and kill it. If NNPP &share votes in the North Which wud be left for APC? If same happens in SE & SS which wud be left for APC?

slivertongue:



If this is your analysis, then you are wrong, Kwankwaso knows his boss & brother. The same North APC is expecting huge returns from. Why start a thread and kill it. If NNPP &share votes in the North Which wud be left for APC? If same happens in SE & SS which wud be left for APC?

APC has 11 sitting governors in the north, that counts for something, you think all of them will work against APC structure, just for Atiku?

sogodihno:



APC has 11 sitting governors in the north, that counts for something, you think all of them will work against APC structure, just for Atiku?

PDP had more governors and members and still lost. The people will vote their choice not based on region & religion but on competence. No Northerner will vote outside his or personal interest because we have suffered much under baba Buhari's incompetent rule. APC's days are near over, over here. Which state in the North is safe from bandits & BH? The killings in the North is enough to reject APC.

slivertongue:


PDP had more governors and members and still lost. The people will vote their choice not based on region & religion but on competence. No Northerner will vote outside his or personal interest because we have suffered much under baba Buhari's incompetent rule. APC's days are near over, over here. Which state in the North is safe from bandits & BH? The killings in the North is enough to reject APC.

Lolz, so Atiku will bring in the security? The man that has no balls, he condemned Deborah death and went again to delete it.

No governor will want to lose his structure for anything and a leader in APC will not want to go to PDP, to become just anyone. Everybody is selfish

sogodihno:
Let me enlighten them.

North has about 11 governors in APC, all of them will not abandon their political structure just because of Atiku, I am sure of people like Borno governor, Kano Governor, katsina and even Kaduna, these are the northern states that matter in Nigeria election

State structure can be steered in any direction while maintaining it. It is usually populated by illiterates and those without the mind of their own. Unfortunately, they are usually very sizable because of hunger.
North has no reputation for keeping promises made to the south, that is the reason for this dilly-dally about zoning the APC ticket to the south as promised.
They have now seen a way out without appearing to have reneged on the promise: zone it to the south and Vote another Fulani man in an alternative party. They will still retain the right to lay claim to the ticket in 2031 when the winner of the 2023 election would round off, since the south could not win when zoned to them.
You may trust the north like the fox.

Amumaigwe:


State structure can be steered in any direction while maintaining it. It is usually populated by illiterates and those without the mind of their own. Unfortunately, they are usually very sizable because of hunger.
North has no reputation for keeping promises made to the south, that is the reason for this dilly-dally about zoning the APC ticket to the south as promised.
They have now seen a way out without appearing to have reneged on the promise: zone it to the south and Vote another Fulani man in an alternative party. They will still retain the right to lay claim to the ticket in 2031 when the winner of the 2023 election would round off, since the south could not win when zoned to them.
You may trust the north like the fox.

Let wait and see

8 years.... Full term President - South West
8 years.... Full term VP - South West

Yet you want one of yours to clinch another presidential ticket for next 8 years with Muslim/Muslim arrangement.....


Na only you Waka come ba?

South east or North continues.....OUK

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