Now I did not make this post for pro-IPOB people to celebrate. Neither did I make it for anti-IPOB people to rant. But for objective people to come analyse carefully.

Look. MNK always said "there is a method to our madness" and "the evil you have created will consume you". And people have made the mistake in telling IPOB that their actions are mad. It is like telling a sprinter that he runs very fast. MNK himself has told you that the actions are mad. Many IPOB members did not understand that themselves and were busy trying to justify things as not being mad.

It is coming to light now with the new BBC Africa Eye documentry. These are things that many Nigerians denied or where ignorant of the depth of it. It is something that Nigerian politicians generally have known for a while though. But didnt expect to get this bad.

Now lets get straight to the point.

MNKs plan was based on "assumptions". The plan would only work if the state of the world was the way that MNK described in his many broadcasts. The plan was to genuinely create ESN to clear the bushes of communities marked as Biafran from fulani jihadists. Now the first few "assumptions":
1. The Nigerian state is colluding with these terrorists.
2. The Nigerian state is particularly heavy handed with Igbo people.
3. The Nigerian Army is compromised.
4. The Nigerian Army is not fighting Boko Haram etc with earnest.
5. The Nigerian Airforce is compromised.
6. The Nigerian Airforce is not fighting Boko Haram etc with earnest.

These assumptions meant that the Nigerian military would definitely over commit to the SE in particular at the expense of Northern areas that need the protection of that military. It also meant that if ESN is not the threat they are presented as, they would still stay in SE causing a scene as obviously they are particularly heavy handed with Igbo people. And it also meant that they would not utilise their presence to erase the jihadist militia.

So what happened was simple the military came down into Igbo land with full force like a bunch of bandits. A very moronic move. Initially they were repulsed from ESN camps. Whom did not come after any military formation. MNK constantly boasted of their effectiveness and some IPOB members kept wondering why MNK "exposed" ESN like that. There were a couple of reasons. One was to show ESN as genuine. They were doing the task they were presented as being formed to execute. You saw all the videos of illegal settlements being burnt and cows being killed on farmland. Here come the next list of "assumptions".

1. The government is only anti-open grazing in name but is pro-open grazing in action (MNK showing it being enforced will make anger the government)
2. The Nigerian government is inept when it comes to law and will think they now have a legal upperhand on IPOB lawyers in the international court and feel emboldened.
3. The Nigerian government will be advocate for criminals in SE forest yet were silent years before as raids were carried out on SE farmers and villages.
4. The terrorists and Nigerian army have the same uniforms, strategy and often work in tandem.
5. Igbo leaders are incompetent, jealous and cant take advantage of ESN.
6. ESN will be proven to have been needed in the future.

Now the ESN which was legitimately formed to stop the menace of jihadi militants have no choice but to protect its camps from attacks from Nigerian army forces which are indistinguishable from jihadists. Which will mean the army sent to attack them will be whittled down if they do have effective defensive formation and guerilla tactics. Unless of course the military are using new tactics unheard of by Boko Haram etc which they seem to be fighting on par with or Boko Haram etc has infiltrated the army.

So what happened. The army drew out ESN from the forest by attacking civilians on the street beginning the famous Orlu conflict in which the army and air force was embarrassed. Not because ESN had a decisive victory but simply because the ESN wasnt designed for such conflicts but still held its own and only air force intervention could make the army useful.

In all this MNK said is plan in the open because he had such confidence that the government's bias would make them ignore the obvious and the fulani jihadi militia would remain as determined as ever. Simply allow the terrorist army to walk all over Biafraland opening the flanks in the North and allowing an irreversible take over by bandits. Which is were the BBC documentary comes into play. Many fools have been downplaying the insecurity and maintaining the "Hausa-fulani" rubbish all in order to spite IPOB not knowing that the refusal would cost them so dearly. It is now so bad that BBC in Africa which btw has been generally pro Nigerian government had to publish this documentary instead of the normal "Farmer-Herder Clash" lies.

Next these bandits have grown powerful enough to fully operate in the FCT. Yes it is bad for Igbo people in FCT and the north but MNK has always warned Igbo people in Nigeria not to be caught out in the North.


Now this could all have mostly been avoided by one thing. The Igbo leaders discarding their jealousy and fully legitimising the ESN. Was the ESN needed? Seemingly not to ordinary Nigerians as the level of danger wasnt as the level that 50000 armed volunteers seemed comparable. As Nigerians are very oddly reactive people unlike most of the thriving world who arent just proactive but they prepare for hypothetical scenarios. ESN was simply proactive. At the time there were calls for regional security in the East IGNORED by SE and SS governors. Amotekun was created in SW and initially was deemed illegal but backed and made legal. But even they were not effective enough as they didnt have AK47 but that is in hindsight. ESN at that time had AK47 and RPG because their assumptions about the nature of supposed "herdsmen" was correct.

Now they have been vindicated as Ortom of Benue is trying to procure AK47 for his new volunteer force. Which has been resisted by the government. Now we could have bypassed both the arms inequality and the lack of volunteers in one jump. But jealousy killed it. As a CONSEQUENCE Nigeria has damaged itself. IPOB plan was simply an acceleration of present conditions if the right steps were not done. But the choice lay in the hands of the government and SE+SS leaders.

.

Phase 2:
The extraordinary rendition of MNK. I do not think that this one was predicted. If it were it would really be amazing. But Nigeria not understanding law as I said earlier lead to their undoing. They "captured" MNK when already he had executed the plan which is only reversible by God. He always said "there is nothing anybody can do about it". I think he also meant himself. If you capture MNK, still ESN has been formed on principles. It will defend itself and Nigerian soldiers will die as a result. The flanks of the North will remain open.

Now IPOB has prepared for a long time a formidable case against the Nigerian government on all aspects. Fuelled by the actions of Nigeria from before it was even properly formed. In regards to IPOB it has had a history of being persecuted by Nigeria way before any talks of arming people. Nigeria was never prepared to defeat IPOB Lawyers in a fair court with its criminal judges.

So now Nigeria has been stupid enough to kidnap a man with dual citizenship on foreign soil, it has now given much needed attention to the Biafran cause at the season were the nature of the bandits is being seen plainly.

Why did MNK set in place a seemingly irreversible plan? It is simple, to make those who caused the deaths of IPOB members and also those who were silent at their suffering to pay dearly. And to give the Nigerian cabal a taste of what it feels like to play a rigged game.

And most importantly what is the answer to this puzzle for One-nigerianists? Restructure Nigeria, set a referendum in motion and end the foolish distribution of troops. Why? IPOB has never been interested in forcing Biafra on anyone. And a nation which is sensible will at least conduct such a referendum, confident that the majority will choose to remain in that country.

I tell you for a fact that Nnamdi Kanu would be so surprised and flattered if he reads this piece. He'd feel honoured for the credit of planning what he never did.

Arkmanbuddy:
I tell you for a fact that Nnamdi Kanu would be so surprised and flattered if he reads this piece. He'd feel honoured for the credit of planning what he never did.

Except that is exactly what MNK said he would do. He literally told you that they would bring their army down to the east whilst the flanks are open in the North so that bandits will consume them. There are hours of Radio Biafra broadcasts were he lays this out.

I want peace nofin but peace

Arkmanbuddy:
I tell you for a fact that Nnamdi Kanu would be so surprised and flattered if he reads this piece. He'd feel honoured for the credit of planning what he never did.

Any rejoinder to the comment above?

NothingDoMe:
Any rejoinder to the comment above?

I have replied to it and have nothing more to say. If he still thinks he has a point, its on him.

Hizzy:
I want peace nofin but peace

Me too. But there is a difference between peace and idleness

ChebeNdigboCalm:
Me too. But there is a difference between peace and idleness

We will get it right this time

Nnamdi kalu is a leader. Imagine someone like Nnamdi kalu becoming a president of Nigeria. Believe me Nigeria is filled with many quality human resources they have failed to tap. Kalu is a good man, very wise and smart.

What we need now is how to chase ipob,ESN,ebubeagu out of igboland
All of them are criminals with weapons,chase them and their sponsors

nabiz:
Nnamdi kalu is a leader. Imagine someone like Nnamdi kalu becoming a president of Nigeria. Believe me Nigeria is filled with many quality human resources they have failed to tap. Kalu is a good man, very wise and smart.

Nnamdi Kanu?
Mayhaps you haven’t listen to him talk
Please stop this joke,Nnamdi is worse than Buhari,Nnamdi Kanu that said that he decides who lives and who dies in igboland?
Nnamdi Kanu would be no more than dictator and not just any dictator,he would be worse than Hitler

Unfortunately it is only the South East that IPOB is burning to the Ground while their Elders Watch


People are fleeing from the South East to other parts of Nigeria' in Shiploads


Ordinary Wedding nobody wants to do it in the South East anymore so that they will not be attacked by unknown Gunmen

Christistruth00:


Unfortunately it is only the South East that IPOB is burning to the Ground while their Elders Watch


Their People are fleeing from the South East to other parts of Nigeria' in Shiploads

meanWhile in SW, skull miners are busy beheading and harvesting Afonja organs while their elders are applauding them,cos they are doing the bidding of ododuwa, the fallen demon .

Emergingnation3:
meanWhile in SW, skull miners are busy beheading and harvesting Afonja organs while their elders are applauding them,cos they are doing the bidding of ododuwa, the fallen demon .

the guy you quoted might be a big time tribalist here on nairaland but what he wrote up there is the gospel truth
The UGM activities is chasing many people(especially the rich men) out of the south east region
We recently saw what they did to Cubana chiefpriest convoy in Anambra
I pray we get ourselves together and chase those armed criminals(IPOB,UGM,ESN,EBUBEAGU) out of the region before they make it worse

Wrong, IPOB destroyed SE and igboland. End of discussion.

The afghaneastern people are cheering them, let them enjoy them.

Goodday90:
the guy you quoted might be a big time tribalist here on nairaland but what he wrote up there is the gospel truth
The UGM activities is chasing many people(especially the rich men) out of the south east region
We recently saw what they did to Cubana chiefpriest convoy in Anambra
I pray we get ourselves together and chase those armed criminals(IPOB,UGM,ESN,EBUBEAGU) out of the region before they make it worse

Lol ! You want ESN to be chase away in SE to enable fulani herdsmen terrorist backed by FG overrun our dear region, this must be a joke taken too far..

As for the so called Cubana chief priest.. he brought his misery upon him by accepting an appointment from the supreme court governor, which a lots of people sees as anti people...

And the claimed that people are fleeing SE to SW due insecurity is a very Big lie from Afonja...

Emergingnation3:
Lol ! You want ESN to be chase away in SE to enable fulani herdsmen terrorist backed by FG overrun our dear region, this must be a joke taken too far..

As for the so called Cubana chief priest.. he brought his misery upon him by accepting an appointment from the supreme court governor, which a lots of people sees as anti people...

And the claimed that people are fleeing SE to SW due insecurity is a very Big lie from Afonja...

How many herdsmen have the so called ESN arrested so far,and how come ESN couldn’t avert the attacks in Enugu some weeks back,ESN was created simply to intimidate and destroy
So cubana deserves death because he honored a sitting governor
And you expect the support of right thinking igbos?

Christistruth00:

Unfortunately it is only the South East that IPOB is burning to the Ground while their Elders Watch


People are fleeing from the South East to other parts of Nigeria' in Shiploads


Ordinary Wedding nobody wants to do it in the South East anymore so that they will not be attacked by unknown Gunmen

You arent seeing the dynamic properly. SE is on fire because there are multiple battles way more complex than you realise on the ground. IPOB didnt burn the SE to the ground. The "Elders" did. As I said earlier the crucial mistake made was by Igbo leaders not legitimising ESN. The random gunmen you see are mostly not IPOB or ESN. It is ignorance to act like "Unknown Gunmen" is a single group.

Goodday90:
How many herdsmen have the so called ESN arrested so far,and how come ESN couldn’t avert the attacks in Enugu some weeks back,ESN was created simply to intimidate and destroy
So cubana deserves death because he honored a sitting governor
And you expect the support of right thinking igbos?

Let me ask you.

Number 1: How would you find out that ESN apprehended anyone if not for the footage and video that the whole of Nigeria was discouraging them from posting when they had just begun their activities?

Number 2: Do you know the intensity of attacks by terrorists in Igboland? Maybe when ESN just arrived you could have discussed "why ESN didnt stop x" but you know that ESN has to watch their backs, they cant just be anywhere. Were you suddenly blind to army campaigns designed to destroy ESN? Isnt it the army that you should question here?

Number 3: If you look at Benue and Plateau state, can you point out the ESN that messed up those states?

nabiz:
Nnamdi kalu is a leader. Imagine someone like Nnamdi kalu becoming a president of Nigeria. Believe me Nigeria is filled with many quality human resources they have failed to tap. Kalu is a good man, very wise and smart.

Anyone can rule the dungeon called nigeria and make it great/er only if the fulani constitution is from WE THE PEOPLE. Since the useless constitution is not from WE THE PEOPLE. but by some random illiterate, stone age, terrorist migrants from futa jalon, you can go ahead and bring Jesus Christ to come to preside as the dungeon's president, and it will still slide back more than buhari the terrorist left it.

agadez007:
What we need now is how to chase ipob,ESN,ebubeagu out of igboland
All of them are criminals with weapons,chase them and their sponsors

What a terrorist like you from agadez wishes for Igbos is irrelevant. You can cry a river all you want, but we are Igbos and can never allow some illiterate, stone age, terrorists from futa jalon to have a foot mark/hold anywhere in our blessed land. Your terrorist wishes end here in nairaland.

Christistruth00:

Unfortunately it is only the South East that IPOB is burning to the Ground while their Elders Watch


People are fleeing from the South East to other parts of Nigeria' in Shiploads


Ordinary Wedding nobody wants to do it in the South East anymore so that they will not be attacked by unknown Gunmen

While your terrorist fulani stone age illiterates are burning the rest of nigeria. Try your nonsense anywhere in Igboland and you will become bush meat. You have no place anywhere in nigeria and we are gonna make sure that you are sent packing back to futa jalon where you migrated from. Just a matter of time.

Goodday90:
the guy you quoted might be a big time tribalist here on nairaland but what he wrote up there is the gospel truth
The UGM activities is chasing many people(especially the rich men) out of the south east region
We recently saw what they did to Cubana chiefpriest convoy in Anambra
I pray we get ourselves together and chase those armed criminals(IPOB,UGM,ESN,EBUBEAGU) out of the region before they make it worse

Just shut up your gaddem gutter mouth you terrorist from futa jalon. All you z00 terrorists in our land killing our people have been marked to be wiped out. Your attack on Cubana Chiefpriest will never be allowed to happen again on our land. All of you will be rounded up soon, including your local enablers like Udele/OyigboUpdate, and sent to where you belong, so peace must finally return to our land.

Goodday90:
How many herdsmen have the so called ESN arrested so far,and how come ESN couldn’t avert the attacks in Enugu some weeks back,ESN was created simply to intimidate and destroy
So cubana deserves death because he honored a sitting governor
And you expect the support of right thinking igbos?

Shut your terrorist gutter mouth. ESN are in our bushes and forests and clearing it off your fulani terrorist comrades. ESN is never found in the cities and even villages and that's why your fulani government sponsored UGM are running riot killing our people and then run back to media to tag your attrocities on IPOB/ESN, but some set our now fully our to rout out all of you fulani government UGM and your local enablers like Udele/OyigboUpdate.

AbaganaMiracle:

Shut your terrorist gutter mouth. ESN are in our bushes and forests and clearing it off your fulani terrorist comrades. ESN is never found in the cities and even villages and that's why your fulani government sponsored UGM are running riot killing our people and then run back to media to tag your attrocities on IPOB/ESN, but some set our now fully our to rout out all of you fulani government UGM and your local enablers like Udele/OyigboUpdate.

How about you show some restraint and stop going around provoking people?