Established by social critic and leading banker Atedo Peterside, ANAP Foundation is a non-profit organisation that is committed to promoting good governance.

The foundation, in its recent poll released Thursday, September 15, said Peter Obi of Labour Party was in a strong lead over Bola Tinubu of the ruling APC and Atiku Abubakar of PDP, a development that has stirred controversies among the opposition.

In this article, Quest Times analyses five (5) times ANAP foundation correctly predicted election results in Nigeria:

2011
ANAP foundation poll in 2011 put Goodluck Jonathan of the PDP ahead of his top contenders.

The opinion poll was carried out from February 11th – February 28th, 2011 with a representative random sample of Nigerians drawn from Nigeria’s six major geo-political zones and reflecting the rural-urban split in population.

“46% of Nigerians were aware that Ibrahim Shekarau is running for president. 48% of respondents were aware that Nuhu Ribadu is running for president.

“73% of Nigerians were aware that Muhammed Buhari is running for president. 93% of respondents were aware that Goodluck Jonathan is running for president.

“For all other candidates, less than 20% of Nigerians knew that they were running for president. Majority (85%) of Nigerians feel very strongly about their choice for the presidential position.

“Most (53%) of the respondents think that Goodluck Jonathan will win the April presidential position. Most (68%) approve of Goodluck Jonathan’s performance as president,” the foundation revealed.

Verdict
Jonathan went on to win that election as the survey suggested.

2015
ANAP foundation also tipped APC candidate Muhammadu Buhari to win the 2015 presidential election.

In a statement issued on February 16, 2015, to announce the results of the polls, the foundation said, “from the results, when asked who respondents will be voting for in the coming 2015 presidential elections, the figures put General Muhammadu Buhari in a slight lead (32 percent) over President Goodluck Jonathan (30 percent); indicating a 2 percentage points lead. Interestingly, both candidates enjoy decent support across gender and age groups.

“Some key highlights to note – on average, Buhari enjoys groundswell support in the North-West and North-East geo-political zones; while Jonathan remains the beautiful bride of the South-South and South-East zones.

According to the statement, “the high PVC collection rates in the North-West and North-East Zones (above 80% in several states) appear to have given Buhari the slight advantage over the incumbent President Jonathan as much lower PVC collection rates of below 60% have been recorded in several states in the South-East and South-South zones (Jonathan’s area of strength) at the time of our survey.”

Verdict
Opposition candidate Muhammadu Buhari won the 2015 presidential election by more than 2.5 million votes. Incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan conceded defeat on 31 March, before the results from all 36 states had been announced. The election marked the first time an incumbent president had lost re-election in Nigeria.

2019
In its subsequent prediction, ANAP foundation released the results of a poll conducted for the 2019 presidential election. The foundation said Buhari of the APC was in the lead against the main opposition candidate Atiku Abubakar.

According to a statement issued on the poll results by ANAP foundation, “from the results, when asked who respondents will be voting for in the coming 2019 Presidential elections, the figures put President Muhammadu Buhari in the lead (with roughly one-third of the votes) over Alhaji Atiku Abubakar (with approximately one-quarter of the votes). Interestingly, both candidates enjoy decent support across gender and age groups.

“Atiku also has a better spread across all six geopolitical zones. Buhari falls significantly short of 25% in the South East Zone and is also in danger of falling short of 25% in the South-South Zone.

“Buhari’s lead is sizeable but not unassailable because the largest concentration of Undecided voters reside in the South East Zone, where he is weakest. Voter turnout can also make a big difference on the day, especially if there is considerable disparity in turnout figures across the geopolitical zones. Buhari was always in the race as the front-runner.

“Atiku started from zero and has momentum on his side. Given the size of the Undecided vote and its unique and concentration in the 3 Southern geopolitical zones and the North Central Zone, Anap Foundation has concluded that the final outcome is deemed to be too close to call.”

Verdict
Incumbent president Muhammadu Buhari won his reelection bid, defeating his closest rival Atiku Abubakar by over 3 million votes.

Source: https://www.thequesttimes.com/5-times-anap-foundation-correctly-predicted-election-outcomes/

They know ANAP poll is very credible that's why they have been crying, they even went on national TV to protest, by time campaign starts they will not realize what will hit them

God is working behind the scene

What I surely know is that peter obi will come third .

johnmartus:
What I surely know is that peter obi will come third .

Do I sense fear ?

"Sometimes, people dont want to hear the truth because they dont want their illusions destroyed."-Friedrich Nietzsche.

"Study the past if you would define the future." – Confucius;

“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” -George Santayana

Nothing new! Some people don't always want to agree with reality. Even agree with their own shadow.

The prediction for the election is not yet released that’s why you have a large percentage of undecided voters.

NOI has always been credible. Though like all polls they are not infallible.

Obidway
ObidRock
ObimyGuy
Obilokan