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A recent face-to-face electoral poll conducted in rural communities in 12 states across Nigeria shows Peter Obi currently leading voting intention at 40.37 percent of survey respondents. Atiku Abubakar is at 26.7 percent and Bola Tinubu at 20.47 percent, while bout 7.16 percent of the respondents are still undecided.

The independent survey by Nextier, a policy consulting firm, defined rural communities as local government areas without tertiary educational institutions. The survey, conducted in person between October 21 and 22, 2022, intentionally excluded state capitals and urban areas to ascertain the voting intention of dwellers in Nigeria’s rural communities.

The survey had a sample size of 2,000 respondents and generated a margin of error of 2.2 percent at a 95 percent confidence interval. The survey sample population was representative of age and gender demographics in the states. The survey sample included two States from each of the six geopolitical zones ensuring that each state is controlled by the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and the All Progressives Congress (APC). The states included Nasarawa (APC), Benue (PDP), Gombe (APC), Bauchi (PDP), Kebbi (APC), Sokoto (PDP), Cross River (APC), Edo (PDP), Imo (APC), Abia (PDP), Ogun (APC), and Oyo (PDP).

The poll yielded critical insights into voter preferences and the key issues that could shape the 2023 presidential election. For instance, 76.2 percent of survey respondents stated that Nigeria is moving in the wrong direction.

Survey respondents stated that insecurity, bad governance, unemployment, and a weak economy are the most important issue in Nigeria today they want someone to solve.

The[b] regional view of voting intention shows Atiku Abubakar of the PDP leading in North West with 59.8 percent and in the North East with 50.3 percent, with Bola Tinubu of APC as second in those regions with 25.4 percent and 27.2 percent, respectively[/b].

Peter Obi of the Labour Party leads in the North Central with 59.8 percent, South South with 67.3 percent and South East with 94 percent.

The South West is the most contested region, with Bola Tinubu leading with 37.4 percent and Peter Obi in second place with 24 percent. About 19.8 percent of the surveyed voters in the region are still undecided on their preferred candidate.

On the "net favourability" index, Atiku Abubakar of the PDP is at +17.3 percent; and Bola Tinubu of the APC follows at 4.98 percent. However, Peter Obi of the Labour Party garnered +30 percent, while Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party has the least net favourability among the four leading candidates at -8.70 percent.

Peter Obi recorded the highest level of preference across all age ranges. Atiku Abubakar was second in each group except for those aged between 65 and 74.

While Atiku Abubakar has the highest preference among Muslims, Peter Obi is preferred by respondents that self-identify as religious and those who chose not to declare their religion.

Atiku Abubakar and Bola Tinubu are preferred by respondents with no educational qualification, while respondents across most educational attainment groups prefer Peter Obi.

While respondents who chose not to disclose their employment status (“blanks”) prefer Atiku Abubakar (PDP), respondents across most of the employment groupings prefer Peter Obi (Labour Party).

Most of the respondents (83.16 percent) stated in their own words that nothing would make them change their minds and vote for another candidate. The survey respondents indicated that radio, social media, and family/ friends are the main channels through which they get information on the different presidential candidates

For further enquiries:
info@thenextier.com

Congrats Obi in advance. This poll is very significant as it was done in rural area. If Obi can lead in rural area, imagine what will happen in urban area. As for South East, Tinubu and Atiku should not bother to campaign there. It's 100 percent to Obi

Anyone who says obi stand no chance is far from reality

Watching

Peter Obi is the next President of Nigeria. Signed sealed and delivered. Gbam

According to the survey, Peter Obi won in North Central, South South and Southeast, and got 24% as against Tinubu’s 37% in Southwest.

Una see why Tinubu BATstards carry Obi matter for head like gala?

They know that BAT stand no chance with Peter Obi in the race.

Good

ANAP poll is coming. And that one is a bumper package. Tinubu boys and mikano boys go tire las las.

Wow

Urchins by now suppose know that agbado munchers presidential candidate no fit to be president

Urchins will start crying now

OBIdient penetration in the rural area is alarming. I was scared of what I saw in villages in NW.

Do know most rural northerners know Peter Obi more than Tinubu?

Penguin2:
According to the survey, Peter Obi won in North Central, South South and Southeast, and got 24% as against Tinubu’s 37% in Southwest.

Una see why Tinubu BATstards carry Obi matter for head like gala?

They know that BAT stand no chance with Peter Obi in the race.

Bulaba

It’s evident that this race without rigging is between Atiku and Peter Obi.

Tinubu is just there to destroy Peter Obi’s votes in southwest because Tinubu can never beat a northerner in the north. It will be a miracle.
Tinubu also cannot beat Peter Obi in southsouth and southeast. I don’t see that happening but let’s wait and see

Workch:
It’s evident that this race without rigging is between Atiku and Peter Obi.

Tinubu is just there to destroy Peter Obi’s votes in southwest because Tinubu can never beat a northerner in the north. It will be a miracle.
Tinubu also cannot beat Peter Obi in southsouth and southeast. I don’t see that happening but let’s wait and see

He wants to inherit Buhari northern followership. I dey laf.

That is how real election will be. Peter Obi will win South East, South-south and North Central. He will come second in South West while Tinubu will come first. He will get votes in the North West and North East but Atiku will win in that 2 Regions of North West and North East. The overall results will go this way:

1. Peter Obi will come first and emerge as the President of Nigeria.

2. Atiku Abubakar will emerge second.

3. Tinubu will come third

4. Kwankwaso will take fourth position.

My brain is still intact, I can never vote APC or Tinubu , am not mad

by January tge gap will increase to 90 percent in favour of obi

PO /DATTI 2023

Nigerians are now wise and ready to humiliate the old criminal politicians that wreaked Nigeria. If Peter Obi everyone believe is dominant in the cities/urban centers is now beating Atiku and Tinubu in rural areas too then it's all over. The election has been won already!!!

I see the agbado pigs have not invaded this thread yet to spill hate. LMAO

Keep getting yourself excited ... reality will dawn on you soon

Dialpad:
Keep getting yourself excited ... reality will dawn on you soon

How do you think Tinubu can beat Atiku in the north and Peter Obi in south in a free and fair election?

How?

Another pool. Another result putting Obi ahead. It is the consistency.

Peter Obi is the most popular politician in the Presidential elections. Bar none. It is just amazing how popular he has become in just a few months. These scientific pools aligns with streets pools i watch on youtube where ordinary Nigerians generally prefer him.

Peter Obi is popular. It is the spread that is important in order to win this election in the 1st round. That should be the focus.

Bulaba bablablue urchins will soon arrive and stain this beautiful thread with their leprose mouths.

Op try and post the percentage of votes Obi got in NW and NE.
So as to know how to reenforce more in awareness.

Igbo Man can't this and that,we will show you how zik got Nigeria when your forefathers were shining white man's shoes.

obyrich:
He wants to inherit Buhari northern followership. I dey laf.

Lol, BATstards are indeed the most foolish Nigerians. It's baffling when sensible people hear them saying such rubbish.

Ngwamankillyou:
Igbo Man can't this and that,we will show you how zik got Nigeria when your forefathers were shining white man's shoes.

calm down, Obi is not an Igbo project.
We all want the best candidate and Obi is the best irrespective of his tribe

Workch:
calm down, Obi is not an Igbo project.
We all want the best candidate and Obi is the best irrespective of his tribe

Okay tell this to the tribal warlords.

Abubakar and Bola Tinubu are preferred by respondents with no educational qualificatio

Very importance piece of information.

And truthfully, that is the demographic of their support base. They're banking on illiterates to ride to victory because the enlightened cannot be deceived.

Humn! This is a positive development.

Ngwamankillyou:


Okay tell this to the tribal warlords.

Dont follow a pig to the mud