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A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election - Politics - Nairaland

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A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by bamvik(m): 9:58am On Jan 11, 2023
After taking three bottles of hero, I decided to make my prediction for 2023

Northwest. (22.6m voters).
50% voter turnout= 11m voters
APC = 6m
Pdp =5m
Lp= 1m

North Central. (14.1m voters)
50% voter turnout= 7m voters
PDp = 3m
APC =2m
Lp = 2m

North east. (12.8m voters)
50% voter turnout= 6m voters
Pdp = 4m
APC = 1.8m
Lp = 200k

South east. (11.49m voters)
50% voter turnout= 5.6m voters
LP = 4m
Pdp = 1m
APC = 600k

Fct (1.5 m voters)
50% voter turnout = 750k voters
Lp =300k
Pdp = 250k
APC = 200k

South south. (15.2 voters)
50% voter turnout= 7.6 m
LP = 4.6m
Pdp = 1.5m
APC= 1.5m

South west. (18.9 m voters)
50% voter turnout= 9.5 m
APC = 5m
Lp = 3m
Pdp = 1.5m

Final Result = inconclusive
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by Moh247: 10:02am On Jan 11, 2023
APC is winning NorthCentral and NorthEast

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Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by Naijabad: 10:08am On Jan 11, 2023
bamvik:
After taking three bottles of hero, I decided to make my prediction for 2023

Northwest. (22.6m voters).
50% voter turnout= 11m voters
APC = 6m
Pdp =5m
Lp= 1m

North Central. (14.1m voters)
50% voter turnout= 7m voters
PDp = 3m
APC =2m
Lp = 2m

North east. (12.8m voters)
50% voter turnout= 6m voters
Pdp = 4m
APC = 1.8m
Lp = 200k

South east. (11.49m voters)
50% voter turnout= 5.6m voters
LP = 4m
Pdp = 1m
APC = 600k

Fct (1.5 m voters)
50% voter turnout = 750k voters
Lp =300k
Pdp = 250k
APC = 200k

South south. (15.2 voters)
50% voter turnout= 7.6 m
LP = 4.6m
Pdp = 1.5m
APC= 1.5m

South west. (18.9 m voters)
50% voter turnout= 9.5 m
APC = 10m
Lp = 6m
Pdp = 3.5m

Final Result = inconclusive



So in SW, turnout will be 9.5m and Tinubu will get 10m?
You see why we said Tinubu supporters have no brain.

1 Like

Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by bamvik(m): 10:20am On Jan 11, 2023
Naijabad:


So in SW, turnout will be 9.5m and Tinubu will get 10m?
You see why we said Tinubu supporters have no brain.

Please read my first paragraph grin grin
And mind you am apolitical. I don modify am
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by Apophenia24k: 10:23am On Jan 11, 2023
bamvik:
After taking three bottles of hero, I decided to make my prediction for 2023

Northwest. (22.6m voters).
50% voter turnout= 11m voters
APC = 6m
Pdp =5m
Lp= 1m

North Central. (14.1m voters)
50% voter turnout= 7m voters
PDp = 3m
APC =2m
Lp = 2m

North east. (12.8m voters)
50% voter turnout= 6m voters
Pdp = 4m
APC = 1.8m
Lp = 200k

South east. (11.49m voters)
50% voter turnout= 5.6m voters
LP = 4m
Pdp = 1m
APC = 600k

Fct (1.5 m voters)
50% voter turnout = 750k voters
Lp =300k
Pdp = 250k
APC = 200k

South south. (15.2 voters)
50% voter turnout= 7.6 m
LP = 4.6m
Pdp = 1.5m
APC= 1.5m

South west. (18.9 m voters)
50% voter turnout= 9.5 m
APC = 5m
Lp = 3m
Pdp = 1.5m

Final Result = inconclusive



This one brain don pause...

Southwest total voter 18.9m
Turnout 50%
Tinubu 10m?

No the smoke loud
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by Kyase(m): 10:24am On Jan 11, 2023
Moh247:
APC is winning NorthCentral and NorthEast

Make I shock you
APC is winning the entire north
Take this to the bank.

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Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by bamvik(m): 10:28am On Jan 11, 2023
Apophenia24k:


This one brain don pause...

Southwest total voter 18.9m
Turnout 50%
Tinubu 10m?

No the smoke loud
Hahahahaha, oya check wetin you quote come back and tell me who brain pause
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by ahnie: 10:28am On Jan 11, 2023
Yawning
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by Apophenia24k: 10:40am On Jan 11, 2023
bamvik:

Hahahahaha, oya check wetin you quote come back and tell me who brain pause

Edited
Ode, instead of apologising after making the correction you wan act smart..
Learn to admit errors since nobody is above mistake..
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by bamvik(m): 10:44am On Jan 11, 2023
Apophenia24k:


Edited
Ode, instead of apologising after making the correction you wan act smart..
Learn to admit errors since nobody is above mistake..
I edited the error but you quoted the edited error, anyway my apologies. Just catching cruise
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by stev120(m): 10:53am On Jan 11, 2023
My critic: U really underate Kwankwaso in northwest by allocating 6 million vote to APC.
In fact, your statistics didn't recognize NNPC.
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by bamvik(m): 11:09am On Jan 11, 2023
Kyase:


Make I shock you
APC is winning the entire north
Take this to the bank.
Well I won't be surprised because tinubu has been doing alot of work there to get enough votes .the total voting population of the entire north is 49m while that of the entire south is 44m. Lp and pdp just dey dull as regard northern region

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Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by bamvik(m): 11:11am On Jan 11, 2023
stev120:
My critic: U really underate Kwankwaso in northwest by allocating 6 million vote to APC.
In fact, your statistics didn't recognize NNPC.

Sorry my bad , But I don't see him getting up to 2m when Atiku is there
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by senatordave1(m): 11:14am On Jan 11, 2023
bamvik:


Sorry my bad , But I don't see him getting up to 2m when Atiku is there

He is more popular than atiku actually,abokis like him.many buhari supporters like him.again,he is from north west and core north always vote for a fulani from nw
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by senatordave1(m): 11:15am On Jan 11, 2023
bamvik:

Well I won't be surprised because tinubu has been doing alot of work there to get enough votes .the total voting population of the entire north is 49m while that of the entire south is 44m. Lp and pdp just dey dull as regard northern region

If atiku is winning tinubu in ne,it won't exceed 500k.Adamawa and taraba do not give bloc votes.both apc and lp will beat atiku in nc.the winner of the ss will do so narrowly.
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by Kyase(m): 11:38am On Jan 11, 2023
bamvik:

Well I won't be surprised because tinubu has been doing alot of work there to get enough votes .the total voting population of the entire north is 49m while that of the entire south is 44m. Lp and pdp just dey dull as regard northern region

What is also working for Tinubu is the governors

Those guys are taking the election like theirs
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by Thiefnubudrugki: 12:05pm On Jan 11, 2023
Moh247:
APC is winning NorthCentral and NorthEast
lol ologogoro
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by tobb: 12:32pm On Jan 11, 2023
Thiefnubudrugki:
lol ologogoro
grin
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by tobb: 12:35pm On Jan 11, 2023
I agree with your analysis except 2

Apc cannot get 600k votes in SE who dash them,

And two LP cannot get a million votes in NW highest is 700k.

And to think PDP and APC will share the same votes in SS, then you no nothing.. either PDP or LP is winning SS with a little margin, APC will be coming distance third..
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by tobb: 12:40pm On Jan 11, 2023
If you have not live in the SW before you won't know how they play politics, Tinubu will win SW..

The only thing opposition party need to do is to throw money, so as to reduce the margin..

LP don't have Money to spend, I expect PDP to counter APC in SW... Just share money, you will get reasonable votes..
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by IgOga(m): 12:44pm On Jan 11, 2023
LP will not get 300K votes in the SW.

LP's total vote in 2023 presidential election will be less than 2 million across Nigeria.
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by bamvik(m): 1:48pm On Jan 11, 2023
IgOga:
LP will not get 300K votes in the SW.

LP's total vote in 2023 presidential election will be less than 2 million across Nigeria.
Only Lagos will give Lp more than that
Re: A Nairalanders Prediction For 2023 Presidential Election by bamvik(m): 2:00pm On Jan 11, 2023
tobb:
If you have not live in the SW before you won't know how they play politics, Tinubu will win SW..

The only thing opposition party need to do is to throw money, so as to reduce the margin..

LP don't have Money to spend, I expect PDP to counter APC in SW... Just share money, you will get reasonable votes..
Nigerian election is all about vote buying, remove it and Labour party will win this election. Millions in rural areas can barely boast of 20k and if you give them 10k to sell their vote they will gladly do

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