Kwankwanso is only popular in North-West but NW is not going to give anyone block votes come 2023 presidential election. Muslims votes are going to be shared into four (majority of liberal muslims are voting for Obi) while most Christian votes are also for Peter Obi.

Similarly, Tinubu is only popular in South-West but SW has never given anyone a block votes before and it is also unlikely in the forthcoming election. Muslims votes are also divided and yoruba christians have vowed never to vote Muslim-Muslim ticket.

Tinubu and Kwankwanso are the only two of the four major contenders who are not sure of winning their own region. This made me wonder who is likely going to come third between the two of them. Mind you, Kwankwanso has been having the largest campaign crowd so far but just like Tinubu, he is does not have the needed national spread. How I wish the two of them can march together to form a strong third force.

Below are pictures from Kwankwanso and Tinubu's rallies. Both in Lagos.

Wiseandtrue:
My guess is Kwankwaso

Though they might still leave Lagos under Tinubu mismanagement

You know that Tinubu is the father of all theoretical blue print

But Kwankwanso's rallies has been witnessing larger turnout and mostly of organic followers unlike apc that use to rent crowds from six or seven states.

MkpuruNmiri must be banned by Gen Buba Marwa

Peter Obi the President of IPOB cannot win election in Nigeria.

When you hear Yoruba Muslim and Yoryba Christian, it can only come from one source, from IPOBiAN

Kwankwaso third, Tinubu 4th