PrinceOfLagos:
Peter Obi of the Labour Party Wins Insha Allah

chinchum:



South West

Lagos
APC- 850,000 - minus 50,000
PDP - 350,000 - minus 60,000
LP - 550,000 minus 300,000

Ogun
APC- 400,000
PDP - 200,000 - plus 70,000
LP - 80,000 - Minus 50,000

Osun
APC- 450,000
PDP - 250,000
LP - 50,000 - Minus 30,000

Oyo
APC- 550,000
PDP - 250,000 - Plus 50,000
LP - 100,000 - minus 70,000

Ekiti
APC- 250,000
PDP - 50,000 - plus 30,000
LP - 35,000 - minus 30,000

Ondo
APC- 350,000 plus 20,000
PDP - 150,000 - plus 60,000
LP - 100,000 - minus 50,000

chinchum:

Kogi
APC- 260,000 + plus 30,000
PDP - 210,000 - minus 30,000
LP - 40,000

Kwara
APC- 350,000
PDP - 200,000
LP - 30,000 - plus 10,000

Niger
APC- 380,000 - plus 100,000
PDP - 300,000 - minus 100,000
LP - 40,000 - minus 20,000

Honlucas:
Poster LP can't win Delta ..
That Ur stat is unrealistic in Delta State .

Ceteris paribus

Sammy07:


Adjusted

Ttalk:
You try with your unbiased analysis, but I don't see PDP having more votes than APC in Kebbi state.

You equally attached more importance to LP in SW.

In Lagos for example, those who would vote are partymen APC and PDP people, the other group are just socialite who play football and post picture on Social media on the day of election.

Lagos state election is going to be very interesting, just watch and see how LP perform woefully even in it's dominated area like Ojo.

As for other SW states, the number of votes LP gets will be the reflection of number of Igbo living and registered in that state.

Overall, your prediction is without sentiment

Ttalk:
You try with your unbiased analysis, but I don't see PDP having more votes than APC in Kebbi state.

You equally attached more importance to LP in SW.

In Lagos for example, those who would vote are partymen APC and PDP people, the other group are just socialite who play football and post picture on Social media on the day of election.

Lagos state election is going to be very interesting, just watch and see how LP perform woefully even in it's dominated area like Ojo.

As for other SW states, the number of votes LP gets will be the reflection of number of Igbo living and registered in that state.

Overall, your prediction is without sentiment

Ttalk:


PDP could win Niger state if not I see them putting up strong feat in the state

Ttalk:
You try with your unbiased analysis, but I don't see PDP having more votes than APC in Kebbi state.

You equally attached more importance to LP in SW.

In Lagos for example, those who would vote are partymen APC and PDP people, the other group are just socialite who play football and post picture on Social media on the day of election.

Lagos state election is going to be very interesting, just watch and see how LP perform woefully even in it's dominated area like Ojo.

As for other SW states, the number of votes LP gets will be the reflection of number of Igbo living and registered in that state.

Overall, your prediction is without sentiment

Sammy07:


He tried.
But I noticed that he's allocating LP vote based on Religion something. Which he will be wrong, majority of westerners don't vote based on religion.

I would prefer, the bulk votes he's giving LP should be given to PDP.

Even Ondo could pull a surprise, and go PDP way.

chinchum:
SW states also have other voters from other regions living within them and you can't completely rule out religious bias in voters decision. You are right when you said majority of westerners don't vote based on religion. The minority must be accounted for by the way.

Sammy07:


But the minority are very insignificant?

And not all minority will vote one way, some are party members

And minority are all from different ethnic groups

You are correct about not completely ruling out religion bais

Neckpresser101:
PDP win Delta State and bayelsa? What kind of weed are you smoking are you joking?
😂😂 You didn't add kwankwanso party in kano other k states

chinchum:
In Lagos for example, SE lagos residents typically votes one way (not less than 85% of them) - It is usually anti Tinubu and PDP is the usual beneficiary. I am ashamed to say, hatred is a big motivator by the way. The SE also have a sizable number of Lagos residents. There are some Yorubas that believe Obi is the answer, they are also a sizable minority (hundreds of thousands in Lagos)and their choice have been accounted for in this projection.

chinchum:
This is my analysis you can provide your figures for Delta. At the end. Delta state has their son on the ballot as a spare and you can be rest assured a 25 years continuous PDP party structure winning polls is not a joke. .

Kwankwaso votes were largely accounted for in PDP votes and partly in APC votes in Kano. He is loosing supporters daily in his supposed stronghold of NW. He will bow out and pick a side or get in to the polls severely battered.

Neckpresser101:


Where are you living?
Did you see obis campaign at warri and Asaba?
Governor's don't have influence on the voting power of the people . Delta state is the most obidient state in SS I kid not go to warri , asaba and sapele even ozoro here sure they'll vote sherrif as governor but be rest assured Delta is obidient .

Make we bet