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Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results - Politics - Nairaland

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Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by TheCeasar: 9:17am On Feb 14, 2023
As we all know, Edo state is at the very front of the Peter Obi movement, the wave is very strong there but many people don't know that's just the urban part of the state, that is Edo south (Benin city)..

Let's take a look at the other local governments in Edo state and who will likely win it..

First of : Edo south

Labour party might narrowly win here but it will be tightly contested, my predictions

Labour party will get 40% in ikpoba okha, Egor, oredo and Uhunmwode while APC and PDP will share the rest

Orhionmwon, ovia north and ovia south west will be won be APC with 40%, PDP will come second and LP will take the rest

Total from Edo south

Labour party 40%

APC 30%

PDP 30%
Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by mployer(m): 9:20am On Feb 14, 2023
The movement is now on the urban side of Edo? It is no longer on social media?

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Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by kcnwaigbo: 9:22am On Feb 14, 2023
mployer:
The movement is now on the urban side of Edo? It is no longer on social media?
grin grin

There are now confused grin grin

9 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by TheCeasar: 9:22am On Feb 14, 2023
Edo central

This is a PDP stronghold right from time, so I still think they will win here though mercy Johnson husband has been making inroad in this place and many political bigwigs are plotting to get APC into power..

Though labour party is also making waves here but it's not like in Edo south..

So my predictions

PDP 50%
APC 35%
LP 15%
Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by Cherish233: 9:25am On Feb 14, 2023
Online will only make things look strange and tell stories from just one side, nevertheless we are close the election day we will all witnesses a deferent system of leadership from no other people than Mr Peter Obi.
Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by wegevv: 9:27am On Feb 14, 2023
Millions of votes for a structureless party with just 4 people tweeting in a room

Obi has come a long way.

Vote Obi <3

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Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by TheCeasar: 9:27am On Feb 14, 2023
Edo North

This is a very strong APC stronghold right from time, so APC APC has most chance of winning it though PDP is also trying..

Labour party haven't really made any inroad here, they should improve in this senatorial District since they have the second most popular after Edo south

My predictions

APC 70%
PDP 25%
LP 5%
Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by SLAP44: 9:28am On Feb 14, 2023
mployer:
The movement is now on the urban side of Edo? It is no longer on social media?

grin grin

Uppercut.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by TheCeasar: 9:28am On Feb 14, 2023
wegevv:
Millions of votes for a structureless party with just 4 people tweeting in a room

Obi has come a long way.

Vote Obi <3
Asin his efforts should be acknowledged, he's a breath of fresh air to the two party system in Nigeria

1 Like

Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by Felabrity: 9:28am On Feb 14, 2023
What a delusional writeup

Edo state are fully Obidient, ask the governor

The only party that can still get some votes is PDP, since it's a PDP state

8 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by TheCeasar: 9:32am On Feb 14, 2023
So in total, though Peter Obi is really making waves in Edo state but it's really limited to Benin city and urban areas where traders and educated people lives..

Obaseki has really messed up his party chances of winning because of his political moves so there are gang up against him.

Tinubu is really not liked In Benin city but his followers are really focusing on villages and those local areas..

Final verdict

Labour party might narrowly win Edo state but it's hard to call..

Laptop party will takes Edo south
APC will take Edo North
PDP will take Edo central
Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by TheCeasar: 9:33am On Feb 14, 2023
Felabrity:
What a delusional writeup

Edo state are fully Obidient, ask the governor

The only party that can still get some votes is PDP, since it's a PDP state

are you in Edo state?
Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by Odibembem: 9:42am On Feb 14, 2023
TheCeasar:
Edo central

This is a PDP stronghold right from time, so I still think they will win here though mercy Johnson husband has been making inroad in this place and many political bigwigs are plotting to get APC into power..

Though labour party is also making waves here but it's not like in Edo south..

So my predictions

PDP 50%
APC 35%
LP 15%

I am an Edo man, an Esan from Edo Central and though am an Asiwaju supporter, I disagree with his projection. Obi is very powerful in Esanland and has dug into and even eaten away PDP votes. Plus Esanland is not heavily swayed by money, my people are obstinately emotional. Obi of LP will likey take 50% of Edo Central, PDP takes 30% while my APC from the rear takes 20%. Where we will get redemption is Oshiomhole's Edo North and Orhionwon axis of Edo South. Obi has a good chance of winning Edo, though they will do terribly in Edo North but the huge population of Edo South will help them

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Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by TheCeasar: 9:59am On Feb 14, 2023
Odibembem:


I am an Edo man, an Esan from Edo Central and though am an Asiwaju supporter, I disagree with his projection. Obi is very powerful in Esanland and has dug into and even eaten away PDP votes. Plus Esanland is not heavily swayed by money, my people are obstinately emotional. Obi of LP will likey take 50% of Edo Central, PDP takes 30% while my APC from the rear takes 20%. Where we will get redemption is Oshiomhole's Edo North and Orhionwon axis of Edo South. Obi has a good chance of winning Edo, though they will do terribly in Edo North but the huge population of Edo South will help them
Edo central has always been pdp and I don't think it will change anytime soon.
Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by Indispensable85(m): 10:23am On Feb 14, 2023
TheCeasar:
So in total, though Peter Obi is really making waves in Edo state but it's really limited to Benin city and urban areas where traders and educated people lives..

Obaseki has really messed up his party chances of winning because of his political moves so there are gang up against him.

Tinubu is really not liked In Benin city but his followers are really focusing on villages and those local areas..

Final verdict

Labour party might narrowly win Edo state but it's hard to call..

Laptop party will takes Edo south
APC will take Edo North
PDP will take Edo central


I agree with you.
Labour party will win Edo south.
Pdp will win Edo central
Apc will win Edo north

The margin of victory in each zone and how they perform in other zones behind the winner will determine who wins Edo State. Edo is far more complicated than Obidients are seeing. Another point you didn't raise is that, the Dan Orbih faction of the pdp is silently working for Tinubu in Edo State. There's practically no resistance to oshiomhole in Edo north because Dan Orbih faction is with them. Philip shaibu is struggling to stay afloat. There's no labour party in Edo north at all.

Nobody should be shocked if Edo State result turns out to be against their expected prediction. LP has eaten up pdp strongholds in Edo State and the party is divided into two factions. For me, it's between LP and APC in Edo for presidential election.
Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by Solsix(m): 11:26am On Feb 14, 2023
Odibembem:


I am an Edo man, an Esan from Edo Central and though am an Asiwaju supporter, I disagree with his projection. Obi is very powerful in Esanland and has dug into and even eaten away PDP votes. Plus Esanland is not heavily swayed by money, my people are obstinately emotional. Obi of LP will likey take 50% of Edo Central, PDP takes 30% while my APC from the rear takes 20%. Where we will get redemption is Oshiomhole's Edo North and Orhionwon axis of Edo South. Obi has a good chance of winning Edo, though they will do terribly in Edo North but the huge population of Edo South will help
them
this looks unbaised

1 Like

Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by aieromon(m): 12:05pm On Feb 14, 2023
Odibembem:


I am an Edo man, an Esan from Edo Central and though am an Asiwaju supporter, I disagree with his projection. Obi is very powerful in Esanland and has dug into and even eaten away PDP votes. Plus Esanland is not heavily swayed by money, my people are obstinately emotional.Obi of LP will likey take 50% of Edo Central, PDP takes 30% while my APC from the rear takes 20%. Where we will get redemption is Oshiomhole's Edo North and Orhionwon axis of Edo South. Obi has a good chance of winning Edo, though they will do terribly in Edo North but the huge population of Edo South will help them

What part of Esanland? This is a traditional PDP enclave.
Re: Overanalyzing Edo State 2023 Presidential Results by vizboy(m): 12:13pm On Feb 14, 2023
Odibembem:


I am an Edo man, an Esan from Edo Central and though am an Asiwaju supporter, I disagree with his projection. Obi is very powerful in Esanland and has dug into and even eaten away PDP votes. Plus Esanland is not heavily swayed by money, my people are obstinately emotional. Obi of LP will likey take 50% of Edo Central, PDP takes 30% while my APC from the rear takes 20%. Where we will get redemption is Oshiomhole's Edo North and Orhionwon axis of Edo South. Obi has a good chance of winning Edo, though they will do terribly in Edo North but the huge population of Edo South will help them
have you been to Auchi recently. I pity people thinking ApC will win edo north.. Shebi election na next week

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