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Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? (1334 Views)

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Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by wegevv: 1:37pm On Feb 15, 2023
It has happened 7 times in the last two elections.

In 2019 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 2 states (Kano and Katsina) and came very close in Kaduna with approx. 993k. Atiku did not get close in any state. The highest votes PDP got in a single state last time was approx 650k in Kaduna.

In 2015 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 3 states (Kano, Katsina and Kaduna) and came very close in Bauchi with approx. 992k. Jonathan's PDP also got over a million votes in 2 states (Rivers and Delta) and came close in Akwa Ibom with approx 953k.

This year there seem to be 3 major contenders in many of the most populous states. Do you think Obi (LP), Tinubu (APC), Atiku (PDP) or Kwankwaso (NNPP) can get over a million votes in any states?


Cc:
Digitron
Penguin2
Eriokanmi
Garfield1
Nlfpmod
Seun
Trollronaldo
nameo
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by Jostoman: 1:40pm On Feb 15, 2023
Kwakwanso will not allow Atiku to get enough Vote in the north.

2 Likes

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by Penguin2: 1:45pm On Feb 15, 2023
wegevv:
It has happened 7 times in the last two elections.

In 2019 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 2 states (Kano and Katsina) and came very close in Kaduna with approx. 993k. Atiku did not get close in any state. The highest votes PDP got in a single state last time was approx 650k in Kaduna.

In 2015 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 3 states (Kano, Katsina and Kaduna) and came very close in Bauchi with approx. 992k. Jonathan's PDP also got over a million votes in 2 states (Rivers and Delta) and came close in Akwa Ibom with approx 953k.

This year there seem to be 3 major contenders in many of the most populous states. Do you think Obi (LP), Tinubu (APC), Atiku (PDP) or Kwankwaso (NNPP) can get over a million votes in any states?


Cc:
Digitron
Penguin2
Eriokanmi
Garfield1
Nlfpmod
Seun
Trollronaldo
nameo

Obi can do a million votes in Anambra, Imo and Lagos, ceteris paribus.

7 Likes

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by Lifted07: 1:51pm On Feb 15, 2023
Wait and see. Peter Obi is coming! The soon-to-be main opposition parties APC and PDP will get the shock of the lives when most of Obi's wins come from the north, even the core north.
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by itsRhamzy: 1:56pm On Feb 15, 2023
Jostoman:
Kwakwanso will not allow Atiku to get enough Vote in the north.

If
What makes you think that? Kwakwanso is only relevant in Kano, outside there, he's not getting much anywhere else. What gives you the impression that Kwakwanso has what it takes to upset Atiku in the North?

Fact: Atiku is getting nothing less than 65% in every northern state with the rest candidates sharing at most 35%.

Note: I don't know anyone outside Kano that's saying anything about voting Kwakwanso. Most in the villages are not even aware he's contesting anything. The most popular candidate in the North amongst all contenders is Atiku. How do I know these? I'm currently in the North.

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Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by nameo: 2:04pm On Feb 15, 2023
Obi will get over 1 million almost certainly in Lagos and Anambra

3 Likes

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:09pm On Feb 15, 2023
itsRhamzy:
What makes you think that? Kwakwanso is only relevant in Kano, outside there, he's not getting much anywhere else. What gives you the impression that Kwakwanso has what it takes to upset Atiku in the North?

Fact: Atiku is getting nothing less than 65% in every northern state with the rest candidates sharing at most 35%.

Note: I don't know anyone outside Kano that's saying anything about voting Kwakwanso. Most in the villages are not even aware he's contesting anything. The most popular candidate in the North amongst all contenders is Atiku. How do I know these? I'm currently in the North.
If you are realistic, you won't ascribe 65% of Northern votes to Atiku..

Even in his home state Adamawa, Atiku cannot get past 55%.
In fact no single state in the 19 Northern states would Atiku get up to 60%. I'm damn sure of this.

3 Likes

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:10pm On Feb 15, 2023
Obi will poll 1 million votes in Anambra & Lagos. Tinibu will do same in Lagos.

1 Like

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by itsRhamzy: 2:11pm On Feb 15, 2023
ImmaculateJOE:

If you are realistic, you won't ascribe 65% of Northern votes to Atiku..

Even in his home state Adamawa, Atiku cannot get past 55%.
In fact no single state in the 19 Northern states would Atiku get up to 60%. I'm damn sure of this.
I'll quote you after the election results is released lol πŸ˜†.
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:12pm On Feb 15, 2023
Penguin2:


Obi can do a million votes in Anambra, Imo and Lagos, ceteris paribus.
I rather replace Imo with Enugu..
Because Hope Uzodimna will try and get some votes for Tinibu.. Say 15%..

1 Like

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:13pm On Feb 15, 2023
itsRhamzy:
I'll quote you after the election results is released lol πŸ˜†.
I await you..

Atiku go shaa mamaki in Adamawa.. We full ground here.
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by itsRhamzy: 2:13pm On Feb 15, 2023
ImmaculateJOE:
Obi will poll 1 million votes in Anambra & Lagos. Tinibu will do same in Lagos.
you're right on this. Obi can get a milli in Lagos, but BAT is winning there hands down.
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by itsRhamzy: 2:19pm On Feb 15, 2023
ImmaculateJOE:

I await you..

Atiku go shaa mamaki in Adamawa.. We full ground here.
lol.. Atiku got 47% of votes in Adamawa defeating Buhari that polled 43% in 2019.. and you think Atiku won't sweep Adamawa in 2023 now that Buhari is out of the equation? dey play. If only BAT knows how most northerners feel about him he wouldn't even bother campaigning in the North let alone bank on Bloc votes from them.
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by Obidient1: 2:20pm On Feb 15, 2023
The candidates that can get I million votes in the state.
PETER OBI....Anambra
PETER OBI..... Lagos
Kwakwanso.... Kano
PETER OBI..... Rivers State.
PETER OBI.... Edo

1 Like

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by garfield1: 2:23pm On Feb 15, 2023
ImmaculateJOE:
Obi will poll 1 million votes in Anambra & Lagos. Tinibu will do same in Lagos.

Only in anambra
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by wegevv: 2:30pm On Feb 15, 2023
Penguin2:


Obi can do a million votes in Anambra, Imo and Lagos, ceteris paribus.
nameo:
Obi will get over 1 million almost certainly in Lagos and Anambra
Obidient1:
PETER OBI....Anambra
PETER OBI..... Lagos
Kwakwanso.... Kano

I support Obi but a million votes in Lagos seems very optimistic. Lagos didn't give anyone over 800k votes in the last two elections.

itsRhamzy:
you're right on this. Obi can get a milli in Lagos, but BAT is winning there hands down.

I think it would be virtually impossible for 2 candidates to get over a million votes in Lagos now that there are 3 candidates. if it is possible for any candidate to get over a million votes in Lagos then only the winner will get it imo.
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:38pm On Feb 15, 2023
itsRhamzy:
lol.. Atiku got 47% of votes in Adamawa defeating Buhari that polled 43% in 2019.. and you think Atiku won't sweep Adamawa in 2023 now that Buhari is out of the equation? dey play. If only BAT knows how most northerners feel about him he wouldn't even bother campaigning in the North let alone bank on Bloc votes from them.
I am part of those 51% that voted for him in 2019, I have a different candidate now.. We are in our 100s of thousands that will vote a different candidate in 2023..

1 Like

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:41pm On Feb 15, 2023
garfield1:


Only in anambra
Even Rivers state is possible for Obi

1 Like

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by garfield1: 2:51pm On Feb 15, 2023
ImmaculateJOE:

Even Rivers state is possible for Obi

With wike not supporting him,its not
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by ImmaculateJOE(m): 3:04pm On Feb 15, 2023
garfield1:


With wike not supporting him,its not
Out of the 774 LGAs in the country, where Obi will get his highest number is in Wike's LGA of Obio/Akpor. They have over 600k voters, and Igbos have more than 70% of the number..
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by Onyiridike(f): 3:07pm On Feb 15, 2023
wegevv:
It has happened 7 times in the last two elections.

In 2019 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 2 states (Kano and Katsina) and came very close in Kaduna with approx. 993k. Atiku did not get close in any state. The highest votes PDP got in a single state last time was approx 650k in Kaduna.

In 2015 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 3 states (Kano, Katsina and Kaduna) and came very close in Bauchi with approx. 992k. Jonathan's PDP also got over a million votes in 2 states (Rivers and Delta) and came close in Akwa Ibom with approx 953k.

This year there seem to be 3 major contenders in many of the most populous states. Do you think Obi (LP), Tinubu (APC), Atiku (PDP) or Kwankwaso (NNPP) can get over a million votes in any states?


Cc:
Digitron
Penguin2
Eriokanmi
Garfield1
Nlfpmod
Seun
Trollronaldo
nameo

Buhari did not get upto a million vote in Kaduna in 2019.
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by garfield1: 3:09pm On Feb 15, 2023
ImmaculateJOE:

Out of the 774 LGAs in the country, where Obi will get his highest number is in Wike's LGA of Obio/Akpor. They have over 600k voters, and Igbos have more than 70% of the number..

Wike controls that lga with his palms.he will deliver it wherever he deems fit
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by garfield1: 3:10pm On Feb 15, 2023
Onyiridike:


Buhari did not get upto a million vote in Kaduna in 2019.


Hmmm
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by Onyiridike(f): 3:15pm On Feb 15, 2023
garfield1:


Wike controls that lga with his palms.he will deliver it wherever he deems fit
He will write the results or force people to vote his preferred candidate?

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by wegevv: 3:15pm On Feb 15, 2023
Onyiridike:


Buhari did not get upto a million vote in Kaduna in 2019.

That is what I said in my post lol. Read it again
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by itsRhamzy: 3:16pm On Feb 15, 2023
ImmaculateJOE:

I am part of those 51% that voted for him in 2019, I have a different candidate now.. We are in our 100s of thousands that will vote a different candidate in 2023..
dey play.

So You think Obi can cause upset to Waziri because he's christian? 😁😁. What about in 2015 that Buhari contested against a Christian GEJ, what was the result in Adamawa? 😁. Obi will be thankful to God if he sees even 10% in Adamawa. Quote me after election ☺️.
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by Onyiridike(f): 3:16pm On Feb 15, 2023
wegevv:


That is what I said in my post lol. Read it again
Clear now. Thanks

1 Like

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by Felabrity: 3:17pm On Feb 15, 2023
Look at the 2019 states result to check if they can

Atiku can (depending on his popularity in the state and the state number of voters)

Like 1.2 million Anambra people are voting on election day, Peter Obi will likely get 1 million same as Atiku in states like Jigawa

1 Like

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by wegevv: 3:17pm On Feb 15, 2023
Onyiridike:

Clear now. Thanks

No worries
Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by itsRhamzy: 3:17pm On Feb 15, 2023
garfield1:


Wike controls that lga with his palms.he will deliver it wherever he deems fit
controls what palm? Will Wike put guns on electorates head to vote his candidate? Dey play

4 Likes

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by WhizdomXX(m): 3:18pm On Feb 15, 2023
itsRhamzy:
What makes you think that? Kwakwanso is only relevant in Kano, outside there, he's not getting much anywhere else. What gives you the impression that Kwakwanso has what it takes to upset Atiku in the North?

Fact: Atiku is getting nothing less than 65% in every northern state with the rest candidates sharing at most 35%.

Note: I don't know anyone outside Kano that's saying anything about voting Kwakwanso. Most in the villages are not even aware he's contesting anything. The most popular candidate in the North amongst all contenders is Atiku. How do I know these? I'm currently in the North.
Yet he lost heavily to Buhari in 2019.

1 Like

Re: Can Obi, Tinubu Or Atiku Get Over A Million Votes In Any State In This Election? by Onyiridike(f): 3:20pm On Feb 15, 2023
itsRhamzy:
controls what palm? Will Wike put guns on electorates head to vote his candidate? Dey play
The thing taya me. A governor will deliver his state as if he will remote control people.
How many governors have lost their seat.
If they cannot deliver themselves, why will a candidate trust them to deliver for him.

2 Likes

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