The 2023 election is upon us, and all candidates will be fancying their chances and banking on their supporters to turnout for them on election day. I will be sharing my opinion on states that are likely to give any singular candidates 1million votes or more on election day.

As indicated in the topic, there is only one candidate that has a slim chance of achieving the above in this election and this is not a guarantee that he will be winning the election. Nevertheless, if any other candidate were to achieve the above (in any state), they will automatically become the favorites in an election that that leaves most analysts lost on who has the best chances of coasting to victory.


Let's take a look at some of these states:

1.) BORNU STATE: Bornu state is one of the most secured states for the APC in the coming elections. With their son running for Vice President, the voters will be very motivated to representing their own on the ballot with a high turnout of voters. This is one state the APC will not be losing sleep over.

2.) KADUNA STATE: This is one of the APC states with a high chance of an upset. Votes are expected to be divided between Atiku, Peter Obi and Bola Tinubu but in the event of an upset to the APC, the other 2 candidates look unlikely to rake in such a large number of votes.

3.) KANO STATE: This has been a very defining state in swinging power to the APC both in 2019 and 2015 and will be no different in 2023. In a state that delivered nearly 1.5million votes to the ruling party, Bola Tinubu will be hoping for the Party's supporters to remain loyal despite some pleasant alternatives available to them. However, the APC will be weary of support base of the presidential candidate of the NNPP, Rabiu Kwankwaso who wouldn't be going down without a fight.

4.) KATSINA STATE: The home state of the seating president and an APC stronghold saw PMB clinching over 1.2 million votes in 2019 but there are doubts of the APC clinching similar figures this year given the late declaration of support from the seating president in the party's campaigns. Luckily for BAT, PMB was in katsina to support his campaign and again, an upset from NNPP, LP or PDP is unlikely to leave any candidate with up to a million votes.

5.) LAGOS STATE: The last elections saw a little over a million voters' turnout in Lagos, but the 2023 general elections will likely see the number of voters in Lagos state almost doubling with Bola Ahmed Tinubu expected to win a state he governed for 8 years. Three of the major contenders are expected to perform well due to the diversity of people in the state and this may hamper BAT from hitting the 1million votes mark in the state but an upset from PO or Atiku will likely leave none of the candidates hitting that mark.


Are there any other states you believe would deliver over a million votes to any of the presidential candidates?

CAVEAT: This is not a declaration that the above-named candidate(s) will win the forth coming general elections.

Cc: Mynd44, nlfpmod, seun, lalasticlala

Anambra is likely to deliver over a million vote for Peter Obi
Regardless whatever LP and PDP get in Lagos, Tinubu will still get over a million vote, the number over of registered voters in Lagos can accommodate up to 2m votes with Tinubu comfortably getting over 1.2m

If BVAS is used in this election as planned, it will be hard for a state to get up one million votes. Most of those bogus figures we often see are doctored.

Ttalk:
Anambra is likely to deliver over a million vote for Peter Obi
Regardless whatever LP and PDP get in Lagos, Tinubu will still get over a million vote, the number over of registered voters in Lagos can accommodate up to 2m votes with Tinubu comfortably getting over 1.2m

A million votes in Anambra i think will be very difficult but and overwhelming victory is already on the cards for PO.... No need to waste ballot papers in the state....




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Cc: Seun lalasticlala Nlfpmod Mynd44 OAM4J


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