Here, we would not be discussing any of the states projected to give Bola Ahmed Tinubu 1 million votes as the half a million plus votes is assured in those states. Failure to clinch such numbers in any of those states would spell that he is not the overall Favorite in the election which would leave the APC in need of a miracle from other states.

Let's see the states the APC will be banking on for support:


1.) BAUCHI STATE: The projection here is largely based on the strong and convincing performance of the APC here in 2019. It will be almost impossible for them to lose over 250,000 votes to fall below the 500,000 votes mark. Bola Ahmed Tinubu will be expecting a win here but will not fold his hands to relax until final results are announced. Major fear for the APC will be a low turnout of voters.

2.) JIGAWA STATE: Similar to Bauchi above, projection is based on the performance of the APC in the state in 2019. While the APC looks set to win at the federal level, a stronger battle from the Waziri of adamawa could see them lose a few votes to the opposition which could take them below the half a million votes mark.

3-4.) KEBBI/NIGER STATE: These states will still be won by the APC and a sizeable number of votes are expected to be cast. If BAT underperforms in any of his 1 million plus states, Kebbi and Niger state will ease the burden.

5.) OYO STATE: A very weak projection whose chances will only be helped with a large turnout of voters. Despite the All-Progressive Congress narrowly losing this state in 2019, they are expected to receive better support this election season although there is little guarantee of hitting the above stated benchmark.

6.) SOKOTO STATE: Just like Zamfara and a few northern states, the PDP has put in some efforts to unsettle the APC but are likely to come short of pulling an upset on the ruling party, nevertheless, Tinubu/Shettima should watch their backs as the NNPP/LP would be looking to grab as much "crumbs" as they can find. Let's see how it plays out.

7.) YOBE STATE: Another state where the influence and connections of the APC vice presidential candidate is expected to spread to. A sister state to Bornu, the PDP may just be fighting a losing battle here and may need to redirect their resources to other states but the important 25% of votes remain within their reach.

8.) ZAMFARA STATE?: This is slightly weak projection for the APC with some analyst speculating a significant loss of voters to the PDP. The real figures will be revealed after the votes are counted.

CAVEAT: This is not a declaration that the above-named candidate(s) will win the forth coming general elections.

Cc: Seun, mynd44, nlfpmod

You're a clown to think Tinubu will win in Bauchi State.
I live here in Bauchi State. Majority of People in Bauchi are quite educated compared to other Northern States

PDP- Atiku
NNPP- Kwankwaso
LP: Obi
APC: Tinubu

Peter Obi has the major support from Christians in Bauchi who constitute 30-35 percent of the population.

Pauldollars:
You're a clown to think Tinubu will win in Bauchi State.
I live here in Bauchi State. Majority of People in Bauchi are quite educated compared to other Northern States

PDP- Atiku
NNPP- Kwankwaso
LP: Obi
APC: Tinubu

Peter Obi has the major support from Christians in Bauchi who constitute 30-35 percent of the population.

No need for insults sir, kindly drop reasonable comments on your opinion. Nobody has insulted you here.

Pauldollars:
You're a clown to think Tinubu will win in Bauchi State.
I live here in Bauchi State. Majority of People in Bauchi are quite educated compared to other Northern States

PDP- Atiku
NNPP- Kwankwaso
LP: Obi
APC: Tinubu

Peter Obi has the major support from Christians in Bauchi who constitute 30-35 percent of the population.

Na over confidence go make BAT win

Lose

Neckpresser101:


Na over confidence go make BAT win

Lose

The indices are on ground.

BAT has a very strong chance of victory and shouldn't be underestimated.

Cc: Seun lalasticlala Nlfpmod Mynd44 OAM4J


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