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My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures - Politics - Nairaland

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Data Of INEC PVC Collected: Breakdown By Region / 2023 Election, My Prediction Based On Facts And Reality. / Fact Check: Tinubu Makes Fresh Claim On PVC Expiry Date, Is This True? (2) (3) (4)

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My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by FatherOfJesus: 11:43am On Feb 24, 2023
>> Total PVC Collected: 87,209,007 <<<

- North-West: 21,445,000 (24.59%)
Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Sokoto, and Zamfara.

- South-West: 15,536,213 (17.81%)
Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Ekiti, Lagos and Ogun.

- South-South: 13,284,920 (15.23%)
Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa, Cross River, Delta, Edo, and Rivers.

- North-Central: 13,127,170 (15.05%)
Benue, Kogi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, and Plateau.

- North-East: 11,937,769 (13.69%)
Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba, and Yobe.

- South-East: 10,419,484 (11.95%)
Abia, Anambra, Ebonyi, Enugu, and Imo.

- FCT: 1,476,451 (1.69%)
-

PROJECTED BREAKDOWN OF VOTES
Northwest (24.59%)
Atiku - 11%
Tinubu - 8%
Kwankwaso - 5%
Obi- 1.59

Southwest (17.81%)
Tinubu - 9.81%
Obi - 5%
Atiku - 3%

Southsouth (15.23%)
Obi - 10%
Atiku - 4%
TINUBU- 1.23%

Northcentral (15.05%)
OBI - 5%
TINUBU- 4.05%
Atiku - 4%
Kwankwaso- 2%

Northeast (13.69%)
Atiku - 6%
Tinubu - 4. 69%
Obi- 2%
Kwankwaso- 1%

Southeast (11.95%)
Obi - 10%
Atiku - 1%
Tinubu: 0.95

FCT (1.69%)
Obi - 0.7389%
Atiku - 0.4817%
Tinubu - 0.4694%


TOTAL
OBI - 34% approx
ATIKU - 29% approx
TINUBU - 29% approx
Kwankwaso- 8% approx

It's either Obi wins, or will be in a runoff with Atiku.

8 Likes

Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by N3TRAL: 11:46am On Feb 24, 2023
Atiku will perform better than Obi in the South West.

Obi will come third in the North Central

Tinubu will win the North Central.


Obi cannot get more than 70% of votes in the South South as you speculate. He'll get 40% maximum.

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Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by FatherOfJesus: 11:49am On Feb 24, 2023
N3TRAL:
Atiku will perform better than Obi in the South West.

Obi will come third in the North Central

Tinubu will win the North Central.


Obi cannot get more than 70% of votes in the South South as you speculate. He'll get 40% maximum.
Atiku cannot perform better than Obi in any southern region.

Tinubu will do woefully in Benue, Obi will win Plateau. These are the largest voting blocks in northcentral. Kwara and Kogi where Tinubu will do well have less than 1.7m card holders each. Plateau and Benue both have 2.6m each hence Obi will win northcentral
Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by boxypane(m): 11:51am On Feb 24, 2023
Na your analysis sha.
This one that lots of people no get card. Hmm
And figures stand at 89m+
Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by N3TRAL: 11:56am On Feb 24, 2023
It seems as though you don't understand mathematics.

5% in the South West means that Obi will have almost 30% which is almost impossible.

1.2% for Tinubu in the South South means Tinubu will have less than 10% there grin

5% for Atiku in the South South means that Atiku will have less than 30% there. To be more precise, a little above 25% at 27% approximately.

Obi cannot have 70% in the South South. Highest he can get is 40% . APC and PDP will score 25% here.


I can go on and on.

Very shallow analysis.

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Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by N3TRAL: 11:57am On Feb 24, 2023
FatherOfJesus:
Atiku cannot perform better than Obi in any southern region.

Tinubu will do woefully in Benue, Obi will win Plateau. These are the largest voting blocks in northcentral. Kwara and Kogi where Tinubu will do well have less than 1.7m card holders each. Plateau and Benue both have 2.6m each hence Obi will win northcentral

Tinubu may actually win Benue.

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Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by FatherOfJesus: 12:05pm On Feb 24, 2023
N3TRAL:
It seems as though you don't understand mathematics.

5% in the South West means that Obi will have almost 30% which is almost impossible.

1.2% for Tinubu in the South South means Tinubu will have less than 10% there grin

5% for Atiku in the South South means that Atiku will have less than 30% there. To be more precise, a little above 25% at 27% approximately.

Obi cannot have 70% in the South South. Highest he can get is 40% . APC and PDP will score 25% here.


I can go on and on.

Very shallow analysis.





Thanks for your personal opinions sir
Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by FatherOfJesus: 12:05pm On Feb 24, 2023
N3TRAL:


Tinubu may actually win Benue.
if Tinubu he wins Benue. let a trailer hit me immediately.

If he gets 25%, I should die immediately. If he becomes second, let a black mamba bite me to death.

I won't die, it's how sure that I am thsy Muslim-Muslim ticket can fly in Benue. Atiku will be second in Benue

2 Likes

Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by Goke7: 12:07pm On Feb 24, 2023
FatherOfJesus:
if Tinubu he wins Benue. let a trailer hit me immediately.

If he gets 25%, I should die immediately. If he becomes second, let a black mamba bite me to death.

I won't die, it's how sure that I am thsy Muslim-Muslim ticket can fly in Benue. Atiku will be second in Benue

really grin Please consult your therapist before you do anything stupid

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Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by N3TRAL: 12:12pm On Feb 24, 2023
FatherOfJesus:
if Tinubu he wins Benue. let a trailer hit me immediately.

If he gets 25%, I should die immediately. If he becomes second, let a black mamba bite me to death.

I won't die, it's how sure that I am thsy Muslim-Muslim ticket can fly in Benue. Atiku will be second in Benue

I've quoted you here. 😂

1 Like

Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by Tenses: 12:12pm On Feb 24, 2023
The truth I found out today is that APC are telling the rural people that Peter Obi is with the party with the broom logo. I am so vexed right now.

Labour party has not done enough to sensitise the rural people.

To win elections you must spend heavily.
Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by blazepascal(m): 12:19pm On Feb 24, 2023
1day to Go

Who are you voting for

Like for Peter Obi
Share for Tinubu
Re: My Final Prediction Based On PVC Collected Figures by naijapips04: 12:20pm On Feb 24, 2023
FatherOfJesus:
>> Total PVC Collected: 87,209,007 <<<

- North-West: 21,445,000 (24.59%)
Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Sokoto, and Zamfara.

- South-West: 15,536,213 (17.81%)
Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Ekiti, Lagos and Ogun.

- South-South: 13,284,920 (15.23%)
Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa, Cross River, Delta, Edo, and Rivers.

- North-Central: 13,127,170 (15.05%)
Benue, Kogi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, and Plateau.

- North-East: 11,937,769 (13.69%)
Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba, and Yobe.

- South-East: 10,419,484 (11.95%)
Abia, Anambra, Ebonyi, Enugu, and Imo.

- FCT: 1,476,451 (1.69%)
-

PROJECTED BREAKDOWN OF VOTES
Northwest (24.59%)
Atiku - 11%
Tinubu - 8%
Kwankwaso - 5%
Obi- 1.59

Southwest (17.81%)
Tinubu - 9.81%
Obi - 5%
Atiku - 3%

Southsouth (15.23%)
Obi - 10%
Atiku - 4%
TINUBU- 1.23%

Northcentral (15.05%)
OBI - 5%
TINUBU- 4.05%
Atiku - 4%
Kwankwaso- 2%

Northeast (13.69%)
Atiku - 6%
Tinubu - 4. 69%
Obi- 2%
Kwankwaso- 1%

Southeast (11.95%)
Obi - 10%
Atiku - 1%
Tinubu: 0.95

FCT (1.69%)
Obi - 0.7389%
Atiku - 0.4817%
Tinubu - 0.4694%


TOTAL
OBI - 34% approx
ATIKU - 29% approx
TINUBU - 29% approx
Kwankwaso- 8% approx

It's either Obi wins, or will be in a runoff with Atiku.

grin NC obi? Joker.c

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