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APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. - Politics - Nairaland

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Nigeria Political Party With Their Motto / Which Party Owns D New APC Political Party Going By The Logo And Motto (2) (3) (4)

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APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by realchange: 8:51pm On Sep 30, 2011
I've looked at other parties in Nigeria, only APGA provides dividend of democracy without running up huge debts for future. Anambra and Imo are good examples.
APGA should change its motto to Steady Development, Zero debt.
The best policy for a developing country.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by realchange: 8:56pm On Sep 30, 2011
the temptation to borrow is always there. somehow peter obi and rochas okorocha are working without borrowing.
those guys must be principled.
APGA has a brand to sell. A different brand.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 9:03pm On Sep 30, 2011
It doesn't really make sense as a policy.

It is like a businessman who has an opportunity which will yield 30% returns, but is afraid of borrowing at 12%.

We would call such a businessman foolish.

Building infrastructure right now will yield massive dividends for the people of each state. It makes no sense to say you won't invest in basic infrastructure because you are afraid of debt.

Borrowing money to put pounded yam (in this analogy, recurrent expenditure) into your belly is a bad idea, but borrowing money to buy a high-returning asset (capital expenditure in this analogy) isn't necessarily bad.

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Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 11:05pm On Sep 30, 2011
From experience, Nigerian government makes no money from investment. Why should you borrow money to build roads when you'll make no money out of it?
In Canada, rich provinces have better roads and infrastructure whereas the poor ones don't; you live within your budget.

It's better to stay away from loans until we put our house in order.


Nice job by APGA governors.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 11:08pm On Sep 30, 2011
Obiagu1:

From experience, Nigerian government makes no more from investment. Why should you borrow money to build roads when you'll make no money out of it?

You don't make more money from the roads directly (unless it is a toll road.)

But your people get richer as a result of having better roads. Richer people => larger potential tax revenue. So indirectly the government makes more money.

Anyway, if it helps you conceptually, just pretend every road proposed is a toll road. That way the payoff is clear.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 11:17pm On Sep 30, 2011
ekt_bear:

You don't make more money from the roads directly (unless it is a toll road.)

But your people get richer as a result of having better roads. Richer people => larger potential tax revenue. So indirectly the government makes more money.

Anyway, if it helps you conceptually, just pretend every road proposed is a toll road. That way the payoff is clear.

When we amend our tax laws, then it'll make sense to borrow because you'll have data on average earning and population in your state. As it stands now, no Nigerian state governor can beat his chest that the loan he borrowed will be fully paid back in a certain number of years. Tomorrow, they'll start begging for debt cancellation.

What government does now is to levy business premises, businessmen more or less pay no tax.

With what Rochas is doing now, no one ever believed that Imo State could afford that. Give him Delta or Bayelsa or Lagos budget, only God knows how the state will change overnight.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 11:21pm On Sep 30, 2011
I'm not even super-religious, but I think the parable of the talents from the Bible illustrates really well why this approach is foolish.

[quote="The Bible"]
24 “Then the man who had received one bag of gold came. ‘Master,’ he said, ‘I knew that you are a hard man, harvesting where you have not sown and gathering where you have not scattered seed. 25 So I was afraid and went out and hid your gold in the ground. See, here is what belongs to you.’

  26 “His master replied, ‘You wicked, lazy servant! So you knew that I harvest where I have not sown and gather where I have not scattered seed? 27 Well then, you should have put my money on deposit with the bankers, so that when I returned I would have received it back with interest.

  28 “‘So take the bag of gold from him and give it to the one who has ten bags. 29 For whoever has will be given more, and they will have an abundance. Whoever does not have, even what they have will be taken from them. 30 And throw that worthless servant outside, into the darkness, where there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.’
[/quote]

A governor who would prefer to let the roads in his state lay in ruin rather than borrowing money to fix them is no different from the wicked and lazy servant from this parable.

You have to focus on the big picture (what provides the greatest benefit to my people in the long run?) rather than the small picture (I don't want debt.)

Now, granted, if your governor is a thief or will otherwise somehow embezzle the money, then definitely you don't want him to borrow.

But assuming your governor is trustworthy, the right thing to do is to maintain and improve infrastructure.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 11:26pm On Sep 30, 2011
ekt_bear:

I'm not even super-religious, but I think the parable of the talents from the Bible illustrates really well why this approach is foolish.

A governor who would prefer to let the roads in his state lay in ruin rather than borrowing money to fix them is no different from the wicked and lazy servant from this parable.

You have to focus on the big picture (what provides the greatest benefit to the people in the long run?) rather than the small picture (I don't want debt.)

Check how much it cost to build roads in Nigeria. No Nigerian governor should have any excuse for bad roads in his states. Properly built roads have 25 to 30 yrs life span with proper maintenance which cost far less.

You don't have to borrow money to reconstruct the same set of roads every two years! It's just a means of stealing your money and putting your future generation in trouble.

Until Lagos, Cross River and others are asked to pay up you'll understand.

As it stands now, it's better not to borrow!
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 11:28pm On Sep 30, 2011
If there is no need to borrow and ALL the infrastructure needed for a state can be done w/o any debt, then fine. But I was under the impression that the revenue of most states doesn't allow that.

To be clear, I'm not suggesting that one borrows needlessly. But if there is a wonderful opportunity that your current funds don't allow you to pursue, borrowing makes sense.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 11:32pm On Sep 30, 2011
Obiagu1:

Until Lagos, Cross River and others are asked to pay up you'll understand.

As it stands now, it's better not to borrow!

Cross Rivers debt, I dunno enough to say whether that was worthwhile.

But Lagos? They are borrowing to build basic infrastructure like roads and rail.

Can you think about the massive multiplier effect that will have on the Lagos economy?

If Fashola had decided 4 years ago that he would ignore that MASSIVE opportunity for an economic boom and justified such a decision because of limited funds, then he would be a very foolish man.

If Fashola wants to borrow for roads, rail and power projects, then absolutely fine by me.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 11:35pm On Sep 30, 2011
ekt_bear:

If there is no need to borrow and ALL the infrastructure needed for a state can be done w/o any debt, then fine. But I was under the impression that the revenue of most states doesn't allow that.

To be clear, I'm not suggesting that one borrows needlessly. But if there is a wonderful opportunity that your current funds don't allow you to pursue, borrowing makes sense.

There's no "wonderful" opportunity that'll make a government to borrow money if such infrastructure is not self sustaining and profitable. How many infrastructure fall into this category?
From the 36 states of the federation and with all the money borrowed, how many investment so far could pay back its funding?
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 11:37pm On Sep 30, 2011
Africa has the worst infrastructure as a continent in the world.

I could see if we were some place like NYC or Toronto where the infrastructure is already great. At that point, you are probably deep into diminishing returns. Each dollar you invest in infrastructure adds less and less to the economy (probably the most amusing example of this I've heard of is the famous "bridge to nowhere" proposed in Alaska smiley )

But in Africa, we are further away from diminishing returns than any continent on earth.

So if a governor tells you he won't borrow to fix road because he is afraid of debt, then that is a pretty good sign the governor has no clue what he is doing.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by lagcity(m): 11:38pm On Sep 30, 2011
APGA states are not building infrastructure and not borrowing. All they are doing is paying teacher salaries. Seems like APGA motto should be: Our Governors Run on Autopilot! grin grin grin
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 11:40pm On Sep 30, 2011
ekt_bear:

Africa has the worst infrastructure as a continent in the world.

I could see if we were some place like NYC or Toronto where the infrastructure is already great. At that point, you are probably deep into diminishing returns. Each dollar you invest in infrastructure adds less and less to the economy.

But in Africa, we are further away from diminishing returns than any continent on earth.

So if a governor tells you he won't borrow to fix road because he is afraid of debt, then that is a pretty good sign the governor has no clue what he is doing.

Any governor that borrows to fix roads is stupid and a thief!
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 11:42pm On Sep 30, 2011
Obiagu1:

Any governor that borrows to fix roads is silly and a thief!

Foolish servant! Heed the words of Jesus:

The man who had received five bags of gold went at once and put his money to work and gained five bags more. 17 So also, the one with two bags of gold gained two more. 18 But the man who had received one bag went off, dug a hole in the ground and hid his master’s money.

Strive to be more like Servant #1 grin
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 11:43pm On Sep 30, 2011
In Canada, many cities are still expanding their metro lines even after the first one was built so many years back and they're all doing it without borrowing; just working within their budget, just one step at a time.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 11:46pm On Sep 30, 2011
How can you compare a country which spent the last 100 years building its infrastructure and is primarily in maintenance mode to one which is nearly starting from scratch?

Better analogy would be Dubai.

And they borrowed heavily to turn their backwater provincial state into a place with infrastructure as good anywhere in the world.

Anyway, this is the good thing about federalism. Every state can do as it thinks best.

20 or 30 years time, we'll see which approach has paid off grin
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 11:49pm On Sep 30, 2011
Dubai has oil resource and built their economy on the back of oil revenue and not a good example.

Lets leave it like that, tomorrow will tell. We dey Naija dey look.


The time America collapses is when you'll understand. Live within your means as much as possible not like a spoilt brat living on credit cards!
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 11:50pm On Sep 30, 2011
Servant #1 borrowed money from the stock broker putting up his 5 talents as collateral. He used the money to buy stock options on Apple stock back when it was at $250. Now it is at ~$400.

The lazy servant (Obiagu1) invested his money in a CD at his bank paying ~2% interest a year  grin
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 11:52pm On Sep 30, 2011
Dubai is the oil-poorest of the UAE emirates.

How much oil did they even produce at their peak?
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 11:54pm On Sep 30, 2011
realchange:

I've looked at other parties in Nigeria, only APGA provides dividend of democracy without running up huge debts for future. Anambra and Imo are good examples.
APGA should change its motto to Steady Development, Zero debt.
The best policy for a developing country.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by lagcity(m): 12:06am On Oct 01, 2011
In Nigeria's business environment, Winner takes all. Anambra and Imo businesspeople are going to end up paying Lagos' debt because they'll run to Lagos to do business when Lagos completes its massive infrastructure. Thus they'll pay taxes to Lagos State.

When this happens, Okorocha and Obi will cry and plead, "please come back home, we've been good to you. We didn't borrow and we didn't tax your profits."
And Imo and Anambra people will respond, "No, thanks. We want to grow our businesses and Lagos has the infrastructure to support this growth. Build it and we'll come back!"
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by lagcity(m): 12:13am On Oct 01, 2011
Obiagu1:



Obiagu1, do you know that Imo and Anambra businesspeople would be happy to buy Imo/Anambra bonds where they can earn guaranteed interests instead of putting money in banks that pay sh.itty interest or investing in the suicide-inducing Nigerian Stock Market? There is double benefit because infrastructure gets built fast and bond investors earn a nice return on their money.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 12:17am On Oct 01, 2011
^-- Abi o

The problem is these guys are intellectually bankrupt. Not creative enough, no fresh ideas or innovations.

What people don't seem to get is that there is good debt and bad debt. Not all debt is bad.

Why not set the goal for yourself of making Imo infrastructure the best in Africa? Fund it through debt, but market the bonds to Imo citizens. Let them view it as their patriotic duty to buy the bond. Imo gets to sell the bond at a slightly lower interest rate than what the market would demand, but in exchange Imoites (or Imolites? dunno what the word is) get to feel as if they are helping to build their state.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by GAR3TH(m): 12:21am On Oct 01, 2011
Imo and anambra states are going to start a bond or loan program eventually. If anambra state went into the bond market from day one their state fiscal budget will have doubled or possibly tripled. As long as they spend the borrowed money on projects that will bring financial returns such as infrastructure and not spend it on things that wont bring returns, Social welfare. IMO there is no reason why they` shouldn't borrow, as long as they don't waste the money.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by jason123: 12:38am On Oct 01, 2011
Obiagu's POV is respectable. I see him as a low-risk investor. As long as the "loans or debts" are put to good use, which will in-turn, attract MORE investors. I see nothing wrong in that. The newly attracted investors will not only create job opportunities, pay taxes etc but will also improve the life of the citizens in APGA states, by improving the infrastructures in the state and increase the wealth created in state.

Some debts are worth it! APGA is too cautious . . . undecided
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by ektbear: 1:24am On Oct 01, 2011
Good leadership is the key.

I'm just glad that we have relatively good leadership in my state.

Where would Dubai be today if their emir thought the same myopic way APGA does?
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by lagcity(m): 1:30am On Oct 01, 2011
ekt_bear:

Good leadership is the key.

I'm just glad that we have relatively good leadership in my state.

Where would Dubai be today if their emir thought the same myopic way APGA does?

guy let's forget this APGA ppl. they are so late to the party that even if they start now, it will just turn to another Tinapa. Winner Takes All.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 1:55am On Oct 01, 2011
jason123:

Obiagu's POV is respectable. I see him as a low-risk investor. As long as the "loans or debts" are put to good use, which will in-turn, attract MORE investors. I see nothing wrong in that. The newly attracted investors will not only create job opportunities, pay taxes etc but will also improve the life of the citizens in APGA states, by improving the infrastructures in the state and increase the wealth created in state.

Some debts are worth it! APGA is too cautious . . . undecided

I'm not a low risk investor. I'm as prudent as anything.
Save this quote: Lagos metro will crumble before 15 yrs time due to bad management.

So who pays the debt? Nigeria has her peculiar problems and that have to be solved first before I support borrowing. Corruption has to go, maintenance culture has to become part of us and our tax laws have to be updated.

As for now, low risk approach is the best approach before a thief that replaced you ruin everything you've planned and worked for.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by jason123: 2:10am On Oct 01, 2011
Obiagu1:

I'm not a low risk investor. I'm as prudent as anything.
Save this quote: Lagos metro will crumble before 10 yrs time due to bad management.

So you pays the debt? Nigeria has its peculiar problems and that have to be solved first before I support borrowing. Corruption has to go, maintenance culture has to become part of us and our tax laws have to be updated.

As for now, low risk approach is the best approach before a thief that replaced you ruin everything you've planned and worked for.

But the states you mentioned (Lagos, Cross river and "others". By "others", I'm assuming the top 10 states. Ie http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nigerian_states_by_GDP. In which Imo is part of) can service the debts.

Before I go further, do you agree with the use of state funds for infrastructural development instead of welfare programs (the reasons are OBVIOUS. The former is good and will further fund the later, apart from reducing the need for the latter because of the increase in the standard of living)? If you do, then, why not go all out?
Corruption will ALWAYS be a problem in Nigeria. Our maintainance culture can be dealt with with PPP (public-private sector partnership). No investor wants to lose his money.

As for the highlighted, I really can't say for now. But from what I have read, the private sector is in-charge for the next 25 years. If you had said AFTER 25 yrs, then I would agree because I don't trust the government on such projects.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Obiagu1(m): 2:17am On Oct 01, 2011
First of all, welfare should not even come in because I'll never support welfare in any form or guise.

Secondly, do you think I wouldn't like Dubai in Onitsha? But at the end of the day, it will cost 3 to 4 times what it cost to build Dubai. So how do we come out of the mess?

If you believe the US will come out of her debt without going bankrupt, then even Nigeria would have been able to pay her cancelled debt in a month!

Public private sector partnership is not new in Nigeria. Even the demolished toll-gates were pp sector partnership.
Re: APGA Motto Should Be: Steady Development, Zero Debt. by Onlytruth(m): 4:46am On Oct 01, 2011
@Obiagu1

Your points are clear enough to me. Don't expect Nigerians to understand it though.
They are used to megalomania.
As long as their governor throws around scam words like "world class", "largest in Africa", "first in the world", they would fall for any borrowing. That is what folks like ekt_bear forgets about Nigeria.

Peter Obi said that every project that is implemented with borrowed money must pay for itself. Simple and short.
He didn' t say the project should pay indirectly (spin off effect), NO. He said DIRECTLY.

If the state borrows for a power plant for instance, that plant must pay it back; nothing more or less.
It is a very sensible and prudent policy; but some Nigerians are not used to it.

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