Sircarma99:
Atiku is going to win North East , North West and North Central, the influence of Governors is reduced already .

i hope so. Cos this obidients matter tire me. Just spoiling things for atiku. I cannot imagine tinubu as president abeg make we get sense o. Atiku is bad but he is the one we can still manage for now.

The factors you took into consideration to arrive at years ur conclusions are not complete. One major and most important factor is "inflamed mode of Nigerian voters"

What the citizens have passed through in the last 7yrs has made many Nigerians who, were hitherto indifferent about election, to participate this time. People are angry and the mode will bear on the outcome of the election.

Therefore it would wrong to use the complexities of 2019 elections to measure this month's own. If you use the number of govs in each of the party, the states that voted massively for Buhari/APC in 2019, northern population advantage etc,as parameters, you are in for the biggest shock.

At 50, I he not voted before, but I am stirred to come out now, talk to others and ready to vote.

This one knows nothing about election prediction

I will repeat it again for you...
Tinubu will never win this Election. The winning is pointing at OBI or Atiku

to tell u dat dis trash was concorted 4rm a trash bin in iragbiji blablu bulaba town hall coven, u're pitting APC to clinch Edo state?


or is there any other Edo state I don't know of?

It is very difficult to defeat a ruling party, more so when the opposition is divided. All over the world, ruling parties possess superior advantages. Here, buhari might be denying the apc access to those same advantages he enjoyed in 2019, but what apc has lost in those advantagesmight have been remedied with the split opposition. Some govts in those days deliberately split opposition to have an easier ride to victory. This was one of Mugabes tactics when the opp mdc was split into two factions going into an election after it almost dethroned the zanupf in a previous election.

Bola Tinubu is just a foot into victory.

I knew it was going to be one of those agbado rallies, reason it was moved to frontpage

Madafuka Buhari is not on the ballot,

even though Tinubu is also contesting under the same ballot, Atiku will win majority of the northern states

Atiku will win south West, Tinubu is not too popular and SS

Very realistic projections. However, i don’t see LP doing over 5% in NW and I think they will do better than 1% in NE. Something like 2.5% is more realistic for LP in NW and NE.

I also think LP will do better than 10% in SW simply because of Lagos. APC will get around 55% in Lagos while LP will get about 35%. PDP and others will share the rest.

Overall, good projections. Truly, this election would have been an easy victory for the opposition if they are United. I’ve always said that while PDP is the major threat to APC, Peter Obi and Kwakwanso are the major reasons why Tinubu will be elected.

Thinkam:
it's very weird, you expect APC to win in states where they have an APC government, but believe PDP will loose overwhelmingly in states with PDP government, because of Peter Obi?

Despite the fact the labour party hasn't received any defections from the PDP government.

You expect tribalism and religion to earn Peter Obi votes, but believe tribalism and religion won't earn Atiku and Kwankwaso votes, make it make sense na abeg

Any Mumu that just buy Twitter verification will start reeling out ewedu statistics.
The ewedu man kept SW on lock for Escobar, saying nothing changed, tiefnubu urchins will be shocked.

Delusion is allowed, Atiku is coming

everyone in the north knows is the turn of the southern president,
The north will not play tribal and religion sentiment

Workch:
Anybody who thinks that Tinubu will get more votes than Atiku in NW is sick

tell them. Even in north central saying apc would win north central is a joke.

Mylove55:
everyone in the north knows is the turn of the southern president,
The north will not play tribal and religion sentiment

says who? Hahaha. Dreamers. In your dream they would vote obi right? Lol. Obi cant get 10% in the entire north. Go and write it down.

Mylove55:
everyone in the north knows is the turn of the southern president,
The north will not play tribal and religion sentiment

I'm guessing everyone means, just you, because I don't know that.
And If it's truly south turn, the best South candidate is Obi.

We're only interested in voting the best, that's Atiku .

Thinkam:


I'm guessing everyone means, just you, because I don't know that.
And If it's truly south turn, the best South candidate is Obi.

We're only interested in voting the best, that's Atiku .

if the know they are serious all these obidients had better support atiku else tinubu will rule over them.

MaliCampus:
Agbadorians will like this poll conducted in op bedroom,but will reject Anap, Bloombergs, own from the field, Ok make Una dey play.

Such buffoons they are

seunmsg:
Very realistic projections. However, i don’t see LP doing over 5% in NW and I think they will do better than 1% in NE. Something like 2.5% is more realistic for LP in NW and NE.

I also think LP will do better than 10% in SW simply because of Lagos. APC will get around 55% in Lagos while LP will get about 35%. PDP and others will share the rest.

Overall, good projections. Truly, this election would have been an easy victory for the opposition if they are United. I’ve always said that while PDP is the major threat to APC, Peter Obi and Kwakwanso are the major reasons why Tinubu will be elected.

you are objective. But you missed one thing Apc cannot beat pdp in NW and NC. It csnt happen in this election

MaliCampus:
Agbadorians will like this poll conducted in op bedroom,but will reject Anap, Bloombergs, own from the field, Ok make Una dey play.

you will soon realize that those polls you are praising are more useless than the ones from the agbadorians.

Pemco:
The factors you took into consideration to arrive at years ur conclusions are not complete. One major and most important factor is "inflamed mode of Nigerian voters"

What the citizens have passed through in the last 7yrs has made many Nigerians who, were hitherto indifferent about election, to participate this time. People are angry and the mode will bear on the outcome of the election.

Therefore it would wrong to use the complexities of 2019 elections to measure this month's own. If you use the number of govs in each of the party, the states that voted massively for Buhari/APC in 2019, northern population advantage etc,as parameters, you are in for the biggest shock.

At 50, I he not voted before, but I am stirred to come out now, talk to others and ready to vote.

buhari not suppose win second term if you want to read people's mode,
It was the work of governors to deliver their state,
Apc vote will be reduced by at most 10% from 2019 result

Thinkam:


I'm guessing everyone means, just you, because I don't know that.
And If it's truly south turn, the best South candidate is Obi.

We're only interested in voting the best, that's Atiku .

the northern governors would have supported lawal if they were to play tribal game,
Atiku is just wasting his time and resources,
Apc is a northern party,
Anyone can win this election under APC,
Tinubu is the only option for southern president, obi is not know in the north

Matters ARISING.

GuyWise101:
Nna mehnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

One yororba fool will just sit in his grandparents old building and will be typing thrash on social media.

The fool said PDP 20% in Abia State?

FYI Peter Obi is winning Abia 90%

You are the real fool

if Peter Obi get 90% in Abia where will PDP now see 20% in the same Abia?

or is Peter Obi now contesting for PDP?

All this people sef

HardMirror:
says who? Hahaha. Dreamers. In your dream they would vote obi right? Lol. Obi cant get 10% in the entire north. Go and write it down.

I have bookmarked dis post!

don't touch it after result oo!

Useless analysis

Atiku can have 29% in Southwest.

Obi tried most, he'll get 8%

temitope27:
I think I agree, but u see SW, PDP can't av 29%

TINUBU- 70%
Atiku-15%
Obi-15%

Period007:
Tinubu will win south west because it's his region,the same Tinubu will win north that is outside his region.
Tinubu supporters are really funny

Tinubu wants to dissociate himself from Buhari's failure at the same time wants to inherit Buhari's 12m votes.

Tinubu and his supporters are truly funny

Fool, Atiku has party structure to contend with in the Northwest, APC is more influential in the North

This is where you will see naptu spreading bedroom analysis.

As far as obi the only Christian is contesting against 3 Muslims in a 50 50 religious nation that a Muslim is suppose to handover to a Christian for equity and fairness, obi have won.

MichaelSokoto:

I have bookmarked dis post!

don't touch it after result.

what percentage do you give him in the north?

naptu2:
The Classic Man @tkb417



https://twitter.com/tkb417/status/1626093778162397184

While I agree with most of the submissions, to say that nothing has changed in SW is not correct. Tinubu was not on the ballot in 2019. So, expect to see unprecedented turnout of voters in SW for Asiwaju. Tell me, who is campaigning for Atiku in SW after his traditional presidential campaign rallies? I haven't seen any gathering or a group campaigning for him here. He won't get up to 20% of the votes in SW.

And Labor/Obi 10%... where will he get that from?

oluwaseyi0:


You are the real fool

if Peter Obi get 90% in Abia where will PDP now see 20% in the same Abia?

or is Peter Obi now contesting for PDP?

All this people sef

Nna mehnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

You're the blind fool if you didn't see the question mark..... yororba illiterate

So you expect APC to win North Central?is like you are not in Nigeria,you forgotten Adamawa Bauchi,Gombe,
And who do you think is Shetimma he is not a Hausa or falani he has no say in the north
I am born in Kano and I know them to well,if APC can rig then I give it to them.
It is between PDP and LP
I will drop my analysis later
Good luck to Nigeria

It seems the op is not in tune with reality. APC as a party is done and dusted. The Governors you mentioned are not even sure about themselves talkless of influencing the outcome of this election.

naptu2:
Screenshots

In short Nigerians have not learnt anything despite the sufferness of 8yrs abi.. You guys just think everyone is zombie in this country.. What do u even take us for sef?? How can a party that have brought nothing but mystery, hunger and death scored a whooping 49% in an election with varying reasons to look at.. Does it even make sense to una or its just for clout sake.. If apc should score such a score then it's safe to say Nigeria can never get it ever again and this jas nothing to do with partisanship or religion or tribe