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TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis - Politics (6) - Nairaland

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2023 Election: Analysis On Major People Set To Work For Tinubu In Key States / ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** / State By State 2019 Presidential Election Analysis (2) (3) (4)

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Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Hopium: 5:42pm On Feb 19, 2023
caracas:

Wow!
Tinubu must be Jesus Christ n Mohammed combined……
Crazy ppl everywhere. 25th is almost here….

I would have promised to quote you on the 25th but i'd be too busy celebrating the victory of Asiwaju. cheesy
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by caracas: 5:43pm On Feb 19, 2023
So any one now can just do a poll or projections n it will make front page….
Nairaland mods una need serious , better slap to reset una brains….

1 Like

Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by caracas: 5:46pm On Feb 19, 2023
Hopium:


I would have promised to quote you on the 25th but i'd be too busy celebrating the victory of Asiwaju. cheesy
E sure me die say you no go fit sleep or rest that night the results will be announced cos Al you will be hearing from the streets is
Obi kererenke… obi kererenke…..
E sure me die….
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by KanwuliaExtra: 5:53pm On Feb 19, 2023
I remember that OLD NL Agbado-URCHIN!
One of tribalistic Seun’s hench/men/attack-besstard-dogs that ran around NL with his faded, over-sided agbafa without sokoto, picking fights all over NL unchecked by the ever-useless moderators and super-ASHI-moderators those days,

Typical MC Oluomo analysis! grin
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by garfield1: 5:59pm On Feb 19, 2023
SenatePresdo:


65-35 in favour of PDP

Thats not possible.apc is far stronger than pdp in ne
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Hopium: 6:03pm On Feb 19, 2023
caracas:

E sure me die say you no go fit sleep or rest that night the results will be announced cos Al you will be hearing from the streets is
Obi kererenke… obi kererenke…..
E sure me die….

lmaoo

na obi kukuruku
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by VOR2019: 7:05pm On Feb 19, 2023
Once APC win this 2023, there will be no opposition again! Why? The country will finally attain the great heights she is destined for! I pray we all witness this. Come back 4 years and quote me.
naptu2:
The Classic Man @tkb417



https://twitter.com/tkb417/status/1626093778162397184
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by princejohnard(m): 7:14pm On Feb 19, 2023
ATIKU will win Bayelsa, Rivers, Cross River and Edo.

Just as you mentioned; Ethnicity is a major factor even than religion in region SW and Political alliance will flipped some NC states.

I'm projecting Atiku to have NC with a thin margin.


SenatePresdo:


Regarding the circumstances on ground, no party has a clear cut way to Victory.

Many states in the South and North will definitely be flipped.

As a matter of fact, this election will largely be based on ethnicity.

Atiku can't win any state in Southern Nigeria, if he can then mention that state.

Atiku will clear NE/NW

Tinubu will clear SW.

Obi will clear SE/SS.

NC and FCT will determine who wins the election.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by princejohnard(m): 7:17pm On Feb 19, 2023
If APC wins, the political scene would be boring unless PDP stays united and play the opposition game well unlike what they've been doing for the past 7 years...

For advancement of our democracy, ATIKU should win.


VOR2019:
Once APC win this 2023, there will be no opposition again! Why? The country will finally attain the great heights she is destined for! I pray we all witness this. Come back 4 years and quote me.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by SenatePresdo(m): 8:32pm On Feb 19, 2023
princejohnard:
ATIKU will win Bayelsa, Rivers, Cross River and Edo.

Just as you mentioned; Ethnicity is a major factor even than religion in region SW and Political alliance will flipped some NC states.

I'm projecting Atiku to have NC with a thin margin.



You have never been to the South, or should I say SS/SE as a whole.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by SenatePresdo(m): 8:35pm On Feb 19, 2023
garfield1:


Thats not possible.apc is far stronger than pdp in ne

Are we still on these APC and PDP stronghold era? I thought it was a thing of 2022.

With your Logic, PDP will win Anambra because they are far stronger than LP in anambra.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by garfield1: 8:41pm On Feb 19, 2023
SenatePresdo:


Are we still on these APC and PDP stronghold era? I thought it was a thing of 2022.

With your Logic, PDP will win Anambra because they are far stronger than LP in anambra.

The case in anambra is different from kebbi
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by SmallDick99(m): 10:18pm On Feb 19, 2023
beejaay:

In short Nigerians have not learnt anything despite the sufferness of 8yrs abi.. You guys just think everyone is zombie in this country.. What do u even take us for sef?? How can a party that have brought nothing but mystery, hunger and death scored a whooping 49% in an election with varying reasons to look at.. Does it even make sense to una or its just for clout sake.. If apc should score such a score then it's safe to say Nigeria can never get it ever again and this jas nothing to do with partisanship or religion or tribe
That's because majority of the Electorates are unelightened and poor

Not everyone 18 years and above should be allowed to vote.

As it stands now APC will likely still win despite their poor performance sad
The country is doomed!!!
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by SenatePresdo(m): 12:50am On Feb 20, 2023
garfield1:


The case in anambra is different from kebbi

What about, Akwa Ibom, Enugu, Benue and Abia?
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by princejohnard(m): 1:49am On Feb 20, 2023
Don't be so sure, Bro. 2021 to late last year I was in Enugu, and visited delta several times spending weeks there



SenatePresdo:


You have never been to the South, or should I say SS/SE as a whole.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Nobody: 2:20am On Feb 20, 2023
stanluiz:
South Africa is truly the pride and giant of Africa.

A country with balls. No wonder they are chiarman of BRICS.

South Africa has visionary leaders that care about their country and protect their National interest.

Nigeria on the other hand is the giant of Africa in poverty, hunger , and backwardness. She has vowed to remain a British and western puppet.

The people keep voting for Criminals and kleptomaniacs in public offices. Nigeria politicians only knows how to steal, loot and embezzle public funds. Nothing more! Nothing less!

Wetin concern them with National building and National interest. All they know is how to steal, steal and steal until nothing is left.

Bunch of Unpatriotic fellows and the useless citizens that are supporting the same politicians that impoverished them due to some primitives ethnic and religious sentiment.

No wonder the nation is almost a failed country and a hellhole.

South Africa is going forward while Nigeria is going backward. That's the reality.

If Nigeria elect one the Criminals, either the drug lord mafia of Lagos or the mikano thief instead of Peter obi, then it is over for them.

Winterhaven:
After all these sufferings, if that social media president doesn't win the forth coming election, it'll be double whammy for his supporters.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Gboliwe: 3:19am On Feb 20, 2023
Typical gibberish from an elite BATist
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by garfield1: 4:36am On Feb 20, 2023
SenatePresdo:


What about, Akwa Ibom, Enugu, Benue and Abia?

Enugu and abia is like anambra.benue is because the Christians want to vote a Christian
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Hotice085: 5:15am On Feb 20, 2023
naptu2:
The Classic Man @tkb417



https://twitter.com/tkb417/status/1626093778162397184
.


Too much of Oshogbo weed
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by connkg(m): 11:24pm On Feb 20, 2023
We are here today making these predictions without true accuracy because the last elections (in 2019) were postponed.
If the 2019 elections were to have held at the time when they were supposed to, the new factors only thought about would have been inserted to make projections for the 2023 elections.
Let the elections hold this week. It is real events that teach economists, scientists and the forecasters.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by hedonido: 8:06am On Feb 21, 2023
princejohnard:
All these poll are not painting the real picture. Using percentage would give a false reality.

Most of these poll are not considering voters turnout. The voter turnout ( people that would vote on election day ) for this election is projected to be 45% of the total voters population ( people that have voters card ).

Voters turnout in southeast is projected to be 25-30% of the total eligible voters population of ~10 millions ( check previous voters turnout for understanding)

The total votes from SE will not exceed 3 millions votes.

SW and NC. PO will actually get more combined voted in these two region than his base of SE. PO highest votes would come from SS though he won't win the region.

The battle ground is the core north.

I'm from Kwara and I can tell you that PO will not get 20,000 votes in kwara.

The two biggest voting bloc in Kwara; Kwara central would be split between PDP ( 51% ) and APC ( 49.9% ) ; Kwara South ( APC 70% and PDP 29.9% ) ; Kwara north voting pattern is mostly dependent on the strongest party in Pategi, which is a strong PDP strong hold after Ilorin, PDP will win Kwara north with same margin as Kwara central.

Overall in kwara : APC 700,000 , PDP 500,000 with a total voters turnout of 1.2million




This election is between TINUBU and ATIKU


God bless Nigeria

You're hiding in one dusty village in Kwara where there is probably no tarred access road to Ilorin, yet you know so much about the expected voter turnout and total number of potential votes in the South East?

All these 'heduchated' tebliq people sef.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by princejohnard(m): 6:59pm On Feb 21, 2023
It's the assumption for me... You think every northerner is unrealistic like you lot, right? I won't be surprised if you've never cross the Niger bridge before....

Saturday is not far. Whether I'm right or not we go know....


hedonido:


You're hiding in one dusty village in Kwara where there is probably no tarred access road to Ilorin, yet you know so much about the expected voter turnout and total number of potential votes in the South East?

All these 'heduchated' tebliq people sef.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by raumdeuter: 3:27am On Feb 26, 2023
We will check
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by hrykanu231(m): 9:11am On Feb 26, 2023
Hopium:


Oya gist me cheesy. Who's going to win CRS?

I know they never told you that the whites trainned our parents(from the creeks in Bakassi to the hills in Oban) who inturn trainned us.
We don't Vote Rubbish. We are educated and highly rational beings

I travelled over 613kms to vote and yes Labour Party won Cross River State
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Hopium: 9:41am On Feb 26, 2023
hrykanu231:


I know they never told you that the whites trainned our parents(from the creeks in Bakassi to the hills in Oban) who inturn trainned us.
We don't Vote Rubbish. We are educated and highly rational beings

I travelled over 613kms to vote and yes Labour Party won Cross River State

Ogbeni leave story for mathias.

They trained you well and you have Ben as gov?

LP won in your state. Congrats.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by hrykanu231(m): 10:00am On Feb 26, 2023
Hopium:


Ogbeni leave story for mathias.

They trained you well and you have Ben as gov?

LP won in your state. Congrats.

Lol, the fact that you don't know that in every 12 there must be a...? Is funny.
We all know how Ayade got into power. Quote me Anywhere, in a free and highly transparent elections, fools will never govern CRS
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Hopium: 10:02am On Feb 26, 2023
hrykanu231:


Lol, the fact that you don't know that in every 12 there must be a...? Is funny.
We all know how Ayade got into power. Quote me Anywhere, in a free and highly transparent elections, fools will never govern CRS

Toh!

Congrat.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by naptu2: 8:48pm On Feb 28, 2023
How did TKB417 do?

1 Like

Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by raumdeuter: 9:13pm On Feb 28, 2023
naptu2:
How did TKB417 do?

very well

better than anap stearns and those bloomberg analysts
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by naptu2: 4:46am On Mar 01, 2023
Final result.

Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by raumdeuter: 4:48am On Mar 01, 2023
naptu2:
Final result.

I tagged you on a thread earlier today sir
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Ishilove: 5:04am On Mar 01, 2023
naptu2:
Final result.
We should expect the hullabaloo shortly

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