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TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis - Politics (5) - Nairaland

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2023 Election: Analysis On Major People Set To Work For Tinubu In Key States / ****2023: Presidential Race Election Analysis & Prediction**** / State By State 2019 Presidential Election Analysis (2) (3) (4)

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Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Agadinaagwuofe: 12:26pm On Feb 19, 2023
The analysis is wrong in every facet, first APC is going into the election in a divided front so Buhari effect in NE/NW will wane, lack of money to buy voters conscience and many other factors too numerous to mention will play out, There is a reason polls are conducted by people with foot on ground than basing your data from a previous pattern, when it is clear to the blind that so many external factors are now mitigating against previous data. That alone makes all your permutation a tissue paper only good to dump in soakaway.

For the umpteenth time I can categorically say PO will win SE with nothing less than 85% total votes irrespective of any Governor's influence to sway votes to other parties.

1 Like

Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by 1Dray(m): 12:36pm On Feb 19, 2023
naptu2:


Please come to my house and stop me.

What will you do if I don't stop? Absolutely nothing.

My gain is the entertaining reactions of people who comment on the thread.

Do you often engage in rubbish? Because you said that this thread is rubbish, but here you are commenting on it. That means that you are engaging in rubbish.

So you should take your own advice and try not to engage in rubbish in future.


Naptu2 or whatever you call yourself. Continue posting rubbish predictions, it will soon dawn on you that you wasted your time and your rubbish predictions effected nothing. The election is just 6 days from now, you will will grossly shamed.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by HardMirror(m): 12:39pm On Feb 19, 2023
Doyou2019:


See rantings like a fool's.
Compound mumu feeling funky.
no be today ipob dey insult people. Una no get home training. Lol
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Hopium: 12:46pm On Feb 19, 2023
hrykanu231:


😂 You sure are on opium. APC win Cross River State?
It's 6 days to elections, don't worry yourself again with permutations. Just ensure you vote and discourage vote buying.
Let the electorates vote credible candidates without inducement of any kind(especially financial).

Oya gist me cheesy. Who's going to win CRS?
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Sheggy13(m): 12:53pm On Feb 19, 2023
Thinkam:
undecided it's very weird, you expect APC to win in states where they have an APC government, but believe PDP will loose overwhelmingly in states with PDP government, because of Peter Obi?

Despite the fact the labour party hasn't received any defections from the PDP government.

You expect tribalism and religion to earn Peter Obi votes, but believe tribalism and religion won't earn Atiku and Kwankwaso votes, make it make sense na abeg cheesy

Any Mumu that just buy Twitter verification will start reeling out ewedu statistics.
The ewedu man kept SW on lock for Escobar, saying nothing changed, tiefnubu urchins will be shocked.

Delusion is allowed, Atiku is coming



I'm guessing everyone means, just you, because I don't know that.
And If it's truly south turn, the best Southern candidate is Peter Obi.

We're only interested in voting the best, that's Atiku .
The comment I bolded here shows you know nothing. Isn't it a given that Tinubu will win the South West. Is that even disputable. So you're actually expecting an Atiku or Obi to win South-West votes ahead of Tinubu? Such delusion.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by MrEverest(m): 12:53pm On Feb 19, 2023
temitope27:
I think I agree, but u see SW, PDP can't av 29%

TINUBU- 70%
Atiku-15%
Obi-15%

Most of you bigots don't have sense. You believe that Yoruba Christians will suddenly forget about owo Catholic Church massacre and all the killings going on in SW to vote for a Muslim-muslim jihad ticket? Even worse when the vice is believed to be a sponsor of Boko Haram?

You mean Yorubas will overlook the fact that Tinubu is too old, demented, sick and extremely corrupt and still vote for him because he is from SW? Wouldn't that make Yorubas bigots?

You also expect that Northerners will vote for Tinubu and not their sons Atiku and Kwankwaso?

Most of you are so delusional to the extent you now sound so foolish.

2 Likes

Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by temitope27(m): 1:13pm On Feb 19, 2023
MrEverest:


Most of you bigots don't have sense. You believe that Yoruba Christians will suddenly forget about owo Catholic Church massacre and all the killings going on in SW to vote for a Muslim-muslim jihad ticket? Even worse when the vice is believed to be a sponsor of Boko Haram?

You mean Yorubas will overlook the fact that Tinubu is too old, demented, sick and extremely corrupt and still vote for him because he is from SW? Wouldn't that make Yorubas bigots?

You also expect that Northerners will vote for Tinubu and not their sons Atiku and Kwankwaso?

Most of you are so delusional to the extent you now sound so foolish.
you are mad, so na TINUBU kill them abi? ASIWAJU still went there and donate, what did your Christian candidate do? Absolutely nothing
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by princejohnard(m): 1:33pm On Feb 19, 2023
PDP isn't that strong in Osun. PDP won the state elections because of the infighting in Osun APC chapter and the Adelekes family factor ( in Ede, Ilesha and iwọ)


Action Group base is in Ìbàdàn and the current olubadan is a member , judging from how all the AG old ranks was at Mapo hall during Tinubu campaign rally. Oyo is likely to go APC BUT less than 20% margin.

Kano is going NNPP with a vary tiny margin over APC and PDP

ATIKU is projected to win this election. Hopefully he won't make the same last minute mistake he made in 2019.

SenatePresdo:


Why won't PDP win their state?

Wait wait wait.. Will Tinubu win Kano state or any core northern APC state?
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Okarakwu: 1:47pm On Feb 19, 2023
All these analysis ...so Nigeria is so satisfied with APC and one old man to vote them back to power...if you are not hungry ,I am and APC will not provide food to me ,even Atiku and PDP had tried and failed ,many like myself will try a new person and party ,and this Obi seems to sound better and hopeful ....This is not about which zone or religion or tribe ,is about who will put food on the table and improve the economy and revamp this country .
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by seunodediranivy: 2:02pm On Feb 19, 2023
A very brilliant analysis, Peter Obi, though a very good and competent candidate can never emerge as next Nigerian president with the political structure on ground. All the present political parameters don't favour him, but is good as he is contesting for the country's number one position. His name is already being engraved on the political scepter.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by SenatePresdo(m): 2:06pm On Feb 19, 2023
princejohnard:
PDP isn't that strong in Osun. PDP won the state elections because of the infighting in Osun APC chapter and the Adelekes family factor ( in Ede, Ilesha and iwọ)


Action Group base is in Ìbàdàn and the current olubadan is a member , judging from how all the AG old ranks was at Mapo hall during Tinubu campaign rally. Oyo is likely to go APC BUT less than 20% margin.

Kano is going NNPP with a vary tiny margin over APC and PDP

ATIKU is projected to win this election. Hopefully he won't make the same last minute mistake he made in 2019.


APC lost Osun to PDP because of infighting? Fine.
But there is a current fight within APC, between pro Buhari and pro Tinubu.

My point is that, if Atiku doesn't win his party controlled state in Tinubu's region, Tinubu can't win his own party controlled state in Atiku’s region.

It baffles me how some of you allocate people's states to Tinubu just because they have an APC governor, but fail to allocate same to Atiku.
In you guy's logic, Atiku is meant to clear all PDP's controlled state in the South.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by coleon(m): 2:07pm On Feb 19, 2023
HardMirror:
i am supporting atiku not tinubu. Why are you people so daft. You think everyone is a tinubu supporter. Oponu. Better join me and support atiku if you truly hate tinubu that much. If you like carry you vote and waste it. If tinubu wins you have yourself to blame.
So according to your irrational thinking faculty , if I vote for someone and he doesn't win I have wasted my vote. Mumu talk indeed.
What if I vote for Atiku and he doesn't win ?then according to you my vote has been wasted niyen. You people think election is arsenal vs manutd that whoever you support must win. Better allow people to vote for whoever they wish and not be saying this mumu talk of wasted vote.
In 2019 I voted Atiku and he didn't win so my vote wasted abi? In 2023 I will vote for Obi and if he doesn't win my life will continue with a clear conscience, as far as I'm concerned there's no difference between tinubu and Atiku so I can't vote any of those old cargoes again.

1 Like

Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by naptu2: 2:07pm On Feb 19, 2023
1Dray:


Naptu2 or whatever you call yourself. Continue posting rubbish predictions, it will soon dawn on you that you wasted your time and your rubbish predictions effected nothing. The election is just 6 days from now, you will will grossly shamed.

1Dray, continue engaging in rubbish by posting on this thread. It will soon dawn on you that you wasted your time entertaining me, while you got absolutely no benefit at all.

Continue entertaining me, you hear!
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by HardMirror(m): 2:17pm On Feb 19, 2023
coleon:

So according to your irrational thinking faculty , if I vote for someone and he doesn't win I have wasted my vote. Mumu talk indeed.
What if I vote for Atiku and he doesn't win ?then according to you my vote has been wasted niyen. You people think election is arsenal vs manutd that whoever you support must win. Better allow people to vote for whoever they wish and not be saying this mumu talk of wasted vote.
In 2019 I voted Atiku and he didn't win so my vote wasted abi? In 2023 I will vote for Obi and if he doesn't win my life will continue with a clear conscience, as far as I'm concerned there's no difference between tinubu and Atiku so I can't vote any of those old cargoes again.
hehehe 😃😂😂😂 we will soon know who is irrational bwtn us. Lol.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by azpekuliar: 2:23pm On Feb 19, 2023
pacespot:
Yoruba are playing tribal politics against Obi, but same Yoruba expect the north to abandon Atiku and Kwankwaso and vote massively for Tinubu.

Yabaleft candidates full this agbado camp

cheesy
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by princejohnard(m): 2:29pm On Feb 19, 2023
If it's by winning each party controlled state then APC would win. What I'm trying to let you know is that some states have old wolves that determine who governs the state cos they control the local votes.

In Lagos the mistake all the oppositions have being making is ignore ALIMOSHO LGA, if you can get all the old wolves in that LGA on your side, you'll win Lagos state hands down!!


I'm expecting PDP to clear or get more than 35% most cosmopolitan states ( Lagos, Oyo, Rivers, Edo, Kaduna,Kaduna,Osun, Sokoto, Nassarawa, Kogi , Plateau, Enugu, Delta)....

Like I said, this election is Atiku to win......

SenatePresdo:


APC lost Osun to PDP because of infighting? Fine.
But there is a current fight within APC, between pro Buhari and pro Tinubu.

My point is that, if Atiku doesn't win his party controlled state in Tinubu's region, Tinubu can't win his own party controlled state in Atiku’s region.

It baffles me how some of you allocate people's states to Tinubu just because they have an APC governor, but fail to allocate same to Atiku.
In you guy's logic, Atiku is meant to clear all PDP's controlled state in the South.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by YoungBlackRico(m): 2:50pm On Feb 19, 2023
GuyWise101:
Nna mehnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn

One yororba fool will just sit in his grandparents old building and will be typing thrash on social media.

The fool said PDP 20% in Abia State?

FYI Peter Obi is winning Abia 90%
won fi sheyin ni? You people can't make your point without insulting others? And you expect people from that same region to vote your candidate? Shey 25 is Saturday na, we shall see
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by SenatePresdo(m): 3:20pm On Feb 19, 2023
princejohnard:
If it's by winning each party controlled state then APC would win. What I'm trying to let you know is that some states have old wolves that determine who governs the state cos they control the local votes.

In Lagos the mistake all the oppositions have being making is ignore ALIMOSHO LGA, if you can get all the old wolves in that LGA on your side, you'll win Lagos state hands down!!


I'm expecting PDP to clear or get more than 35% most cosmopolitan states ( Lagos, Oyo, Rivers, Edo, Kaduna,Kaduna,Osun, Sokoto, Nassarawa, Kogi , Plateau, Enugu, Delta)....

Like I said, this election is Atiku to win......


Regarding the circumstances on ground, no party has a clear cut way to Victory.

Many states in the South and North will definitely be flipped.

As a matter of fact, this election will largely be based on ethnicity.

Atiku can't win any state in Southern Nigeria, if he can then mention that state.

Atiku will clear NE/NW

Tinubu will clear SW.

Obi will clear SE/SS.

NC and FCT will determine who wins the election.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Ogaonos: 3:46pm On Feb 19, 2023
Thinkam:
undecided it's very weird, you expect APC to win in states where they have an APC government, but believe PDP will loose overwhelmingly in states with PDP government, because of Peter Obi?

Despite the fact the labour party hasn't received any defections from the PDP government.

You expect tribalism and religion to earn Peter Obi votes, but believe tribalism and religion won't earn Atiku and Kwankwaso votes, make it make sense na abeg cheesy

Any Mumu that just buy Twitter verification will start reeling out ewedu statistics.
The ewedu man kept SW on lock for Escobar, saying nothing changed, tiefnubu urchins will be shocked.

Delusion is allowed, Atiku is coming



I'm guessing everyone means, just you, because I don't know that.
And If it's truly south turn, the best Southern candidate is Peter Obi.

We're only interested in voting the best, that's Atiku .
d op think na betting wen u go check previous perdormance to decide d option to play.even in betting e still dey cut
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Allisgud: 3:51pm On Feb 19, 2023
All those money u used to buy votes which u called structures that come up with all this assumption will be destroyed,this year election will not be business as usual
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Ogaonos: 4:01pm On Feb 19, 2023
naptu2:
The Classic Man @tkb417



https://twitter.com/tkb417/status/1626093778162397184
obi win win south south flat because wike atiku drop was a huge mistake .okowa is heavy hated by his state pple.due to poor performance as a governor.his performance is jux like cross river governor ben ayade.
north central obi will win benue,abuja ,plateau
obi will win east
obi might win oyo then 25 percent in southwest including 25 percent in lagos
obi might win taraba nd 25 percent pf bauchi because of datti his vp coming from bauchi
tinubu will win south west might nt be all d state
tinubu will win kogi,kwara,
tinubu will win borno or get 50 percent because of shettima nd zulum being from apc nd has quick good performance as a governor. kaduna nd kano is nt too clear for tinubu might go to atiku.i hear kwankwaso don fall em structure to apc nt too sure about d news
atiku will win
north east except maybe borno nd taraba.
atiku will north west esp kano nd maybe kaduna .
for nassarawa will no knw where dey stand in reality.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by garfield1: 4:04pm On Feb 19, 2023
Ogaonos:
obi win win south south flat because wike atiku drop was a huge mistake .okowa is heavy hated by his state pple.due to poor performance as a governor.his performance is jux like cross river governor ben ayade.
north central obi will win benue,abuja ,plateau
obi will win east
obi might win oyo then 25 percent in southwest including 25 percent in lagos
obi might win taraba nd 25 percent pf bauchi because of datti his vp coming from bauchi
tinubu will win south west might nt be all d state
tinubu will win kogi,kwara,
tinubu will win borno or get 50 percent because of shettima nd zulum being from apc nd has quick good performance as a governor. kaduna nd kano is nt too clear for tinubu might go to atiku.i hear kwankwaso don fall em structure to apc nt too sure about d news
atiku will win
north east except maybe borno nd taraba.
atiku will north west esp kano nd maybe kaduna .
for nassarawa will no knw where dey stand in reality.

Tinubu will beat atiku in kano
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by garfield1: 4:05pm On Feb 19, 2023
SenatePresdo:


Regarding the circumstances on ground, no party has a clear cut way to Victory.

Many states in the South and North will definitely be flipped.

As a matter of fact, this election will largely be based on ethnicity.

Atiku can't win any state in Southern Nigeria, if he can then mention that state.

Atiku will clear NE/NW

Tinubu will clear SW.

Obi will clear SE/SS.

NC and FCT will determine who wins the election.

Atiku cant clear ne nw.it will be divided
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by MrEverest(m): 4:09pm On Feb 19, 2023
1Dray:


Naptu2 or whatever you call yourself. Continue posting rubbish predictions, it will soon dawn on you that you wasted your time and your rubbish predictions effected nothing. The election is just 6 days from now, you will will grossly shamed.

Don't mind the fools, they want to play on the intelligence of those that are wiser than them.

What naptu and the rest are doing is trying to use "can't win syndrome" to demoralize Obi supporters but unfortunately for them, Obidients are mostly educated and they understand this more than them.

The only way they can defeat Obi is for Atiku or Tinubu to step down and join forces, otherwise they will lose before 12 noon on Saturday. PDAPC are fighting for the same voters which will diminish their chances.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by benheaven(m): 4:15pm On Feb 19, 2023
Nobody should play God
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by benheaven(m): 4:18pm On Feb 19, 2023
Obi is God's candidate.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by Inosky: 4:21pm On Feb 19, 2023
Agbado analysis.

We the youth and sensible Nigerians will vote Peter Obi, Labour Party LP

1 Like

Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by maybet081: 4:34pm On Feb 19, 2023
Useless analysis.

Rubbish.
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by TOYNEX(f): 5:22pm On Feb 19, 2023
This time next week... Eyes go don dey clear
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by caracas: 5:37pm On Feb 19, 2023
Hopium:
cool

Here's mine
Wow!
Tinubu must be Jesus Christ n Mohammed combined……
Crazy ppl everywhere. 25th is almost here….
Re: TKB417's Presidential Election Analysis by SenatePresdo(m): 5:41pm On Feb 19, 2023
garfield1:


Atiku cant clear ne nw.it will be divided

65-35 in favour of PDP

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